BYUCougars

7-0 T1st (4-0) in B12

Data from 2025-10-19 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

44.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsPortland StatePRST	W69-0
2	9/06	vsStanfordSTAN	W27-3
4	9/20	@East CarolinaECU	W34-13
5	9/27	@ColoradoCOLO	W24-21
6	10/03	vsWest VirginiaWVU	W38-24
7	10/11	@ArizonaARIZ	W33-27
8	10/18	vsUtahUTAH	W24-21
9	10/25	@Iowa StateISU	Win prob:53%
11	11/08	@Texas TechTTU	Win prob:25%
12	11/15	vsTCUTCU	Win prob:55%
13	11/22	@CincinnatiCIN	Win prob:62%
14	11/29	vsUCFUCF	Win prob:75%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	3.3%	100.0%
8-1	18.9%	97.4%
7-2	35.5%	61.1%
6-3	29.6%	4.2%
5-4	11.2%	0%
4-5	1.5%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

57.5%

18.4%

10.0%

8.5%

5.6%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
BaylorBAY@CincinnatiCIN	45.6% (+0.9%)	43.8% (-0.8%)
TCUTCU@West VirginiaWVU	44.2% (-0.4%)	47.3% (+2.7%)
HoustonHOU@Arizona StateASU	48.2% (+3.6%)	43.5% (-1.1%)
ColoradoCOLO@UtahUTAH	46.5% (+1.9%)	44.1% (-0.5%)
Kansas StateKSU@KansasKU	44.1% (-0.6%)	45.3% (+0.6%)
Oklahoma StateOKST@Texas TechTTU	48.7% (+4.1%)	44.6% (-0.1%)
BYUBYU@Iowa StateISU	58.9% (+14.2%)	28.8% (-15.8%)

Best Winner Combination for

West Virginia

Houston

Colorado

Kansas

Oklahoma State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

BYU

CCG: 58.9% • Scenario: 52.7%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

3.3%

Any 1 loss

97.4%

18.9%

100.0%

2.0%

100.0%

1.1%

100.0%

3.0%

100.0%

2.8%

95.2%

10.0%

Any 2 losses

61.1%

35.5%

95.5%

1.0%

87.9%

1.9%

83.1%

0.9%

81.5%

0.7%

80.6%

2.4%

76.7%

1.7%

75.2%

3.2%

58.3%

8.9%

52.5%

6.5%

42.4%

8.3%

Any 3 losses

4.2%

29.6%

9.0%

0.6%

9.0%

3.0%

8.3%

0.9%

6.2%

2.0%

5.7%

2.7%

4.3%

0.5%

3.5%

5.6%

3.2%

1.5%

2.9%

7.6%

1.6%

5.2%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com