VanderbiltCommodores

6-1 T5th (2-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-19 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsCharleston SouthernCHSO	W45-3
2	9/06	@Virginia TechVT	W44-20
3	9/13	@South CarolinaSC	W31-7
4	9/20	vsGeorgia StateGAST	W70-21
5	9/27	vsUtah StateUSU	W55-35
6	10/04	@AlabamaALA	L14-30
8	10/18	vsLSULSU	W31-24
9	10/25	vsMissouriMIZ	Win prob:51%
10	11/01	@TexasTEX	Win prob:17%
11	11/08	vsAuburnAUB	Win prob:66%
13	11/22	vsKentuckyUK	Win prob:84%
14	11/29	@TennesseeTENN	Win prob:31%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	1.5%	69.3%
6-2	13.1%	6.2%
5-3	34.8%	0%
4-4	35.5%	0%
3-5	13.6%	0%
2-6	1.6%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

73.1%

14.8%

7.1%

3.3%

1.6%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
TennesseeTENN@KentuckyUK	1.8% (-0.0%)	1.9% (+0.0%)
TexasTEX@Mississippi StateMSST	1.8% (+0.0%)	1.8% (-0.1%)
Texas A&MTA&M@LSULSU	1.5% (-0.4%)	2.2% (+0.4%)
AuburnAUB@ArkansasARK	1.9% (+0.1%)	1.7% (-0.1%)
Ole MissMISS@OklahomaOU	1.5% (-0.3%)	2.7% (+0.9%)
AlabamaALA@South CarolinaSC	1.6% (-0.2%)	2.7% (+0.9%)
MissouriMIZ@VanderbiltVAN	0.3% (-1.6%)	3.3% (+1.5%)

Best Winner Combination for

Kentucky

Mississippi State

LSU

Arkansas

Oklahoma

South Carolina

Vanderbilt

CCG: 22.2% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Vanderbilt

CCG: 3.3% • Scenario: 51.4%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

69.3%

1.5%

Any 1 loss

6.2%

13.1%

10.0%

0.8%

9.7%

3.3%

9.6%

1.5%

7.5%

0.3%

3.5%

7.3%

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-19 • SportsSimulate.com