USC

USCTrojans

0-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2024-08-23 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.6%

Based on 100,000 simulations

USCSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
19/01
vsLSULSU(N)
Win prob:31%
29/07
vsUtah StUSU
Win prob:90%
49/21
@MichiganMICH
Win prob:11%
59/28
vsWisconsinWIS
Win prob:68%
610/05
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:67%
710/12
vsPenn StPSU
Win prob:31%
810/19
@MarylandMD
Win prob:37%
910/25
vsRutgersRUTG
Win prob:82%
1011/02
@WashingtonWASH
Win prob:31%
1211/16
vsNebraskaNEB
Win prob:71%
1311/23
@UCLAUCLA
Win prob:59%
1411/30
vsNotre DameND
Win prob:28%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

USCRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.1%
100.0%
8-1
1.0%
86.6%
7-2
5.9%
27.8%
6-3
17.0%
0.4%
5-4
28.1%
0%
4-5
26.9%
0%
3-6
15.1%
0%
2-7
5.0%
0%
1-8
0.9%
0%
0-9
0.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely USC CCG Opponents

if USC makes the CCG

MichiganMichigan
37.6%
Ohio StateOhio St
21.2%
OregonOregon
20.4%
Penn StatePenn St
18.0%
WashingtonWashington
2.7%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

USCThis Week's Impact

Game
USCCCG OddsAway
USCCCG OddsHome

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com

USCLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
USC CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
86.0%
<0.1%
Rutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
Minnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
LSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Wisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Nebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
UCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Washington
90.0%
<0.1%
Maryland
84.6%
<0.1%
Michigan
80.6%
<0.1%
Penn St
76.9%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
54.4%
0.9%
LSUNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMaryland
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
WashingtonWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraska
100.0%
<0.1%
LSURutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaPenn St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameWashington
95.2%
<0.1%
LSUPenn St
92.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn St
88.6%
<0.1%
LSUWashington
87.5%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre Dame
87.5%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre Dame
84.6%
<0.1%
MichiganUtah St
80.0%
<0.1%
LSUMichigan
78.4%
<0.1%
MarylandUCLA
75.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre Dame
73.3%
<0.1%
NebraskaRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
Penn StWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesota
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
UCLAWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandWashington
46.2%
<0.1%
NebraskaWashington
44.4%
<0.1%
MichiganNebraska
37.5%
<0.1%
UCLAWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
Penn StUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
MarylandWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
Penn StWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
RutgersWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaWashington
28.6%
<0.1%
MichiganUCLA
26.1%
<0.1%
MarylandPenn St
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNebraska
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMichigan
22.4%
<0.1%
MichiganWashington
21.4%
0.1%
MichiganMinnesota
20.0%
<0.1%
MichiganPenn St
17.6%
0.1%
MinnesotaPenn St
16.7%
<0.1%
MichiganWisconsin
11.8%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
34.6%
3.1%
LSUNotre DameWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUtah StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaPenn StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUUCLAUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaRutgersUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUUCLAWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameUCLA
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesotaUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
RutgersUtah StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNebraskaUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameUtah St
94.1%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameWashington
92.5%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameUCLA
91.7%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre Dame
90.9%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganUtah St
90.9%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DamePenn St
85.1%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNotre Dame
84.7%
0.2%
LSUNebraskaNotre Dame
83.3%
<0.1%
LSUUtah StWashington
80.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMinnesota
77.8%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandUCLA
75.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameUCLA
71.4%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameRutgers
66.7%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameWashington
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaWisconsin
66.7%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameUCLA
64.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAWashington
63.6%
<0.1%
LSURutgersUCLA
60.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameWashington
52.7%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameRutgersWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameWashingtonWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganUtah StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StRutgers
50.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaUtah StWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNebraskaUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DameWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameRutgers
47.4%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganRutgers
43.8%
<0.1%
NebraskaNotre DamePenn St
42.9%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StUCLA
42.9%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandWisconsin
41.7%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaWashington
40.0%
<0.1%
LSURutgersWashington
40.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameRutgers
40.0%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameWisconsin
38.5%
<0.1%
LSUUCLAWashington
35.7%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePenn St
34.1%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaPenn St
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUWashingtonWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNebraska
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StUCLA
33.3%
<0.1%
MichiganNebraskaNotre Dame
32.4%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StWashington
32.3%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StWashington
31.4%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameWisconsin
31.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganMinnesota
30.9%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandWashington
30.9%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameWashington
30.0%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganWisconsin
29.8%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandPenn St
29.4%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganUCLA
29.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNebraska
29.0%
<0.1%
MichiganMinnesotaNotre Dame
28.8%
<0.1%
MarylandNebraskaNotre Dame
28.6%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganWashington
27.3%
0.2%
Notre DamePenn StWisconsin
27.3%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameUCLA
27.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMichigan
25.2%
0.1%
MichiganUtah StWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesotaNotre Dame
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandMichiganNotre Dame
24.9%
0.2%
MichiganNotre DameWashington
20.6%
0.2%
MarylandMichiganUtah St
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganPenn St
16.0%
0.2%
MichiganNotre DamePenn St
14.7%
0.2%
MinnesotaNotre DamePenn St
14.3%
<0.1%
MichiganUCLAWisconsin
12.5%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaPenn St
10.0%
<0.1%
MichiganRutgersUCLA
10.0%
<0.1%
MichiganPenn StUtah St
7.7%
<0.1%
MarylandMichiganRutgers
5.6%
<0.1%
MichiganWashingtonWisconsin
2.5%
<0.1%
MarylandMichiganWashington
1.2%
0.2%
MarylandMichiganPenn St
0.7%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
17.6%
4.7%
LSUMinnesotaNotre DameRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaNotre DameWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaNotre DameRutgers
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNebraskaUtah StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganRutgersUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameRutgersUtah StWashington
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameUCLAUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DameUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNebraskaNotre DameUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaNotre DameUtah St
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAUtah StWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameUtah StWashington
90.9%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNotre DameUtah St
88.6%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DamePenn StUtah St
77.8%
<0.1%
Notre DameUtah StWashingtonWisconsin
75.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre DameRutgers
72.7%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre DameUtah St
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNebraskaNotre Dame
63.2%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre DameWisconsin
63.2%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNotre DameUCLA
61.5%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNotre DameWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameUCLAWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameRutgersWashington
58.3%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNotre DameWashington
55.9%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNotre DameUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaNotre DameUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
Notre DamePenn StUCLAUtah St
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameRutgersUCLA
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUUCLAUtah StWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaUtah StWashington
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNotre DamePenn St
48.3%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaNotre DameWashington
45.0%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaNebraskaNotre Dame
42.9%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganUCLAUtah St
42.9%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandUtah StWashington
40.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre DameWashington
38.2%
0.1%
LSUNotre DameUCLAWashington
37.2%
<0.1%
LSUNebraskaNotre DamePenn St
36.4%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganMinnesotaNotre Dame
33.3%
0.1%
LSUPenn StUtah StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaUtah StWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameWashingtonWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
MichiganNebraskaNotre DameUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameUCLAUtah StWashington
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StUCLAUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganMinnesotaUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMinnesotaUCLAWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNebraskaUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
MinnesotaNotre DamePenn StUtah St
33.3%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameUtah StWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNebraskaNotre Dame
32.6%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre DameUCLA
32.1%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandNotre DamePenn St
31.9%
0.1%
LSUNotre DamePenn StUCLA
31.6%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DamePenn StWashington
31.2%
0.1%
LSUNotre DamePenn StWisconsin
29.6%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNotre DameUCLA
28.8%
0.2%
LSUMarylandMichiganUtah St
28.6%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameUCLAUtah St
28.6%
<0.1%
MarylandMichiganNotre DameUtah St
27.8%
<0.1%
MichiganMinnesotaNotre DameUtah St
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUNotre DameRutgersWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameUtah StWashington
25.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMichiganNotre Dame
24.9%
0.4%
LSUMichiganNotre DameWisconsin
24.6%
0.1%
LSUMichiganNotre DameRutgers
23.3%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DamePenn StUtah St
22.6%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNotre DameWashington
21.6%
0.4%
MichiganNotre DameUtah StWashington
21.4%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganUtah StWashington
21.2%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMinnesotaNotre Dame
21.1%
<0.1%
LSUPenn StUtah StWashington
20.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePenn StUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganPenn StUtah St
16.7%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNotre DamePenn St
14.6%
0.5%
LSUNotre DamePenn StRutgers
13.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganRutgersWisconsin
8.3%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganRutgersUCLA
6.7%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameRutgersUCLA
6.7%
<0.1%
MichiganMinnesotaNotre DameUCLA
6.7%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganMinnesotaNebraska
5.0%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganMinnesotaUCLA
4.3%
<0.1%
MarylandMinnesotaNotre DamePenn St
3.0%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMichiganRutgers
2.6%
<0.1%
MichiganNotre DameRutgersWashington
2.4%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMichiganNebraska
1.4%
<0.1%
MarylandMichiganNotre DameWisconsin
1.3%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePenn StWashington
1.2%
<0.1%
LSUMichiganNebraskaWashington
1.1%
<0.1%
LSUMarylandMichiganUCLA
1.0%
0.1%
MarylandMichiganNotre DameUCLA
0.9%
0.1%
LSUMichiganPenn StUCLA
0.8%
0.1%
MichiganNotre DameUCLAWashington
0.7%
0.1%
MichiganNotre DamePenn StWashington
0.6%
0.5%
LSUMarylandMichiganPenn St
0.6%
0.3%

Data from 2024-08-23 • SportsSimulate.com