Nevada

NevadaWolf Pack

1-1 T1st (0-0) in MWC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

NevadaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
08/24
vsSMUSMU
L24-29
18/31
@TroyTROY
W28-26
29/07
vsGa SouthernGASO
Win prob:42%
39/14
@MinnesotaMINN
Win prob:17%
49/21
vsEastern WashingtonEWU
Win prob:90%
610/05
@San Jose StSJSU
Win prob:13%
710/12
vsOregon StORST
Win prob:14%
810/18
vsFresno StFRES
Win prob:22%
910/26
@HawaiiHAW
Win prob:46%
1011/02
vsColorado StCSU
Win prob:59%
1111/09
@Boise StBOIS
Win prob:8%
1311/23
vsAir ForceAF
Win prob:20%
1411/30
@UNLVUNLV
Win prob:13%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
7-0
0%
100.0%
6-1
0.1%
100.0%
5-2
0.8%
52.4%
4-3
5.1%
0.7%
3-4
18.7%
0%
2-5
35.3%
0%
1-6
30.6%
0%
0-7
9.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Nevada CCG Opponents

if Nevada makes the CCG

Boise StateBoise St
35.6%
Air ForceAir Force
20.0%
San José StateSan Jose St
17.8%
UNLVUNLV
15.6%
Fresno StateFresno St
11.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaThis Week's Impact

Game
NevadaCCG OddsAway
NevadaCCG OddsHome
IdahoIDHO@WyomingWYO
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@USCUSC
0.6%
(+0.1%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
Oregon StORST@San Diego StSDSU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.4%
(-0.0%)
Sacramento StateSAC@Fresno StFRES
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Ga SouthernGASO@NevadaNEV
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
Northern ColoradoUNCO@Colorado StCSU
0.6%
(+0.1%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
Utah TechUTU@UNLVUNLV
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@Air ForceAF
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
Boise StBOIS@OregonORE
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Nevada

IdahoIdahoUSCUSCOregon StOregon StateSacramento StateSacramento StateGa SouthernGeorgia SouthernNorthern ColoradoNorthern ColoradoUtah TechUtah TechAir ForceAir Force

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Nevada

WyomingWyomingFresno StFresno StateSan Jose StSan José StateOregonOregon

CCG: 0.5% • Scenario: 27.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Nevada CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oregon StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StSan Jose St
66.7%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
55.5%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
MinnesotaOregon StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Eastern WashingtonHawaiiSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMinnesotaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StGa SouthernOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGa SouthernHawaii
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMinnesotaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceFresno StMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceBoise StMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StMinnesotaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGa SouthernOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StGa SouthernMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMinnesotaOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSan Jose StUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StGa SouthernOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMinnesotaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiMinnesotaUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
Boise StHawaiiOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StHawaiiOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StGa SouthernUNLV
100.0%
<0.1%
HawaiiOregon StSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernMinnesotaSan Jose St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceGa SouthernMinnesota
100.0%
<0.1%
Colorado StFresno StOregon St
100.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceFresno StOregon St
66.7%
<0.1%
Boise StEastern WashingtonSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceOregon StSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Fresno StOregon StUNLV
50.0%
<0.1%
Air ForceMinnesotaSan Jose St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StFresno StOregon St
50.0%
<0.1%
Boise StOregon StSan Jose St
40.0%
<0.1%
Boise StMinnesotaSan Jose St
37.5%
<0.1%
Oregon StSan Jose StUNLV
33.3%
<0.1%
Boise StGa SouthernSan Jose St
33.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

NevadaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com