Sun Belt Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	Overall
James MadisonJMU	100%	70.4%	20.9%	4.0%	0.5%	-	55.0%
TroyTROY	100%	64.2%	30.0%	10.2%	1.7%	-	37.4%
South AlabamaUSA	100%	72.8%	39.1%	11.1%	1.5%	-	34.8%
App StateAPP	100%	72.8%	39.1%	14.8%	2.6%	-	22.8%
LouisianaUL	100%	74.4%	44.2%	18.4%	2.6%	-	18.0%
Coastal CarolinaCCU	100%	66.8%	37.1%	12.5%	2.2%	-	13.6%
Arkansas StateARST	100%	66.8%	25.4%	6.3%	0.8%	-	5.3%
Texas StateTXST	100%	57.6%	20.9%	4.8%	0.7%	-	4.1%
Old DominionODU	100%	67.8%	23.2%	6.0%	1.0%	-	2.6%
MarshallMRSH	100%	55.6%	12.6%	1.9%	0.1%	-	2.5%
Georgia SouthernGASO	100%	69.6%	47.4%	18.9%	3.8%	<0.1%	2.1%
Georgia StateGAST	100%	58.0%	20.6%	5.2%	0.9%	-	1.4%
Southern MissUSM	-	50.0%	51.6%	13.3%	2.2%	-	0.4%
UL MonroeULM	-	100%	46.7%	13.9%	2.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
James MadisonJMU(0-0)	21.4%	39.1%	27.1%	10.0%	2.1%	0.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
TroyTROY(0-0)	8.1%	26.2%	33.5%	22.0%	8.2%	1.7%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.0
South AlabamaUSA(0-0)	4.9%	19.7%	31.7%	27.1%	12.8%	3.4%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.6
App StateAPP(0-0)	1.8%	9.7%	22.9%	29.5%	22.4%	10.5%	2.8%	0.4%	<0.1%	4.9
LouisianaUL(0-0)	0.7%	5.3%	17.0%	28.0%	27.3%	15.8%	5.1%	0.8%	<0.1%	4.5
Coastal CarolinaCCU(0-0)	0.5%	4.5%	16.0%	28.4%	27.9%	16.2%	5.5%	1.0%	<0.1%	4.5
Texas StateTXST(0-0)	0.1%	1.6%	8.5%	22.1%	30.9%	23.9%	10.4%	2.3%	0.2%	3.9
Arkansas StateARST(0-0)	0.2%	1.9%	8.8%	21.1%	29.7%	24.2%	11.3%	2.5%	0.2%	3.9
MarshallMRSH(0-0)	0.1%	1.7%	8.2%	21.2%	30.1%	24.8%	11.3%	2.5%	0.2%	3.9
Old DominionODU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.7%	4.3%	14.1%	26.1%	28.7%	18.5%	6.6%	0.9%	3.4
Georgia StateGAST(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.4%	9.4%	22.0%	29.8%	24.0%	10.3%	1.8%	3.0
Georgia SouthernGASO(0-0)	<0.1%	0.1%	1.0%	4.9%	14.9%	27.5%	29.9%	17.5%	4.2%	2.5
Southern MissUSM(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	1.2%	6.7%	20.0%	33.4%	29.0%	9.6%	1.9
UL MonroeULM(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.9%	9.9%	28.0%	39.5%	20.4%	1.3

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com