Marshall

MarshallThundering Herd

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SBC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

MarshallSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsStony BrookSTBK
W45-3
29/07
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:22%
49/21
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:4%
59/28
vsW MichiganWMU
Win prob:71%
610/05
vsAppalachian StAPP
Win prob:34%
710/12
@Ga SouthernGASO
Win prob:46%
810/17
vsGeorgia StGAST
Win prob:63%
1011/02
vsULMULM
Win prob:85%
1111/09
@Southern MissUSM
Win prob:67%
1211/16
vsCoastal CarCCU
Win prob:39%
1311/23
@Old DominionODU
Win prob:42%
1411/30
@James MadisonJMU
Win prob:12%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
1.7%
55.6%
6-2
8.2%
12.6%
5-3
21.2%
1.9%
4-4
30.1%
0.1%
3-5
24.8%
0%
2-6
11.3%
0%
1-7
2.5%
0%
0-8
0.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Marshall CCG Opponents

if Marshall makes the CCG

TroyTroy
36.1%
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
34.5%
LouisianaLouisiana
20.1%
Arkansas StateArkansas St
5.6%
Texas StateTexas St
3.6%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallThis Week's Impact

Game
MarshallCCG OddsAway
MarshallCCG OddsHome
TulsaTLSA@Arkansas StARST
2.4%
(-0.1%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
William & MaryW&M@Coastal CarCCU
2.5%
(+0.0%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Virginia TechVT
2.6%
(+0.1%)		2.5%
(-0.0%)
ChattanoogaUTC@Georgia StGAST
2.5%
(-0.0%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
South AlabamaUSA@OhioOHIO
2.5%
(+0.0%)		2.5%
(-0.0%)
UABUAB@ULMULM
2.6%
(+0.1%)		2.3%
(-0.2%)
Ga SouthernGASO@NevadaNEV
2.5%
(+0.0%)		2.5%
(-0.1%)
East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU
2.6%
(+0.1%)		2.5%
(-0.0%)
TroyTROY@MemphisMEM
2.5%
(-0.0%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
Gardner-WebbGWEB@James MadisonJMU
2.5%
(+0.0%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@ClemsonCLEM
2.5%
(-0.0%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
LouisianaUL@KennesawKENN
2.4%
(-0.1%)		2.6%
(+0.1%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@Texas StTXST
2.5%
(-0.0%)		2.5%
(+0.0%)
SE LouisianaSELA@Southern MissUSM
2.6%
(+0.1%)		2.5%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Marshall CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
66.5%
0.4%
Ohio StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
ULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Virginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld Dominion
96.4%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio St
92.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio St
90.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio St
78.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio St
45.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio St
36.4%
0.1%
James MadisonVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames Madison
10.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
35.3%
2.0%
Ohio StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Southern MissULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernSouthern Miss
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
96.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StVirginia Tech
95.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULM
80.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern Miss
71.4%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULM
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernVirginia Tech
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StVirginia Tech
65.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StW Michigan
62.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StW Michigan
57.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StVirginia Tech
50.9%
0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern Miss
50.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StVirginia TechW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio St
46.2%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissVirginia Tech
45.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld Dominion
42.9%
<0.1%
James MadisonVirginia TechW Michigan
37.5%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StW Michigan
32.7%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
32.0%
0.4%
Georgia StOhio StOld Dominion
30.8%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
28.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULM
21.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio St
21.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernVirginia Tech
20.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio St
14.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld Dominion
13.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio St
13.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio St
11.5%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonVirginia Tech
11.1%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld Dominion
8.6%
0.2%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio St
7.2%
0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld Dominion
5.4%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio St
4.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio St
3.9%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio St
2.3%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
17.2%
5.0%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StULMVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOld DominionULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Old DominionSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonULMVirginia TechW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissULM
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernULMVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULMW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
95.6%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionVirginia TechW Michigan
93.9%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
92.0%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionSouthern MissVirginia Tech
91.4%
<0.1%
Ohio StOld DominionULMVirginia Tech
84.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
80.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
76.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULMVirginia Tech
75.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
70.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StULMVirginia Tech
68.2%
<0.1%
James MadisonSouthern MissVirginia TechW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StULMW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
60.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
55.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
53.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern MissULM
53.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionULM
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOld DominionVirginia TechW Michigan
50.0%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern MissW Michigan
40.0%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
40.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
37.8%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StCoastal CarSouthern MissVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernGeorgia StOhio StW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
33.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernSouthern MissVirginia Tech
33.3%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StULMVirginia Tech
31.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
30.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StSouthern MissVirginia Tech
30.0%
0.2%
James MadisonOhio StVirginia TechW Michigan
28.8%
0.2%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
28.6%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio StW Michigan
25.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonULMVirginia Tech
25.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio StULM
25.0%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
24.5%
0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
23.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGeorgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
20.4%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio StULM
20.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
20.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio StVirginia Tech
19.1%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio StW Michigan
18.5%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio StVirginia Tech
17.6%
0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio StSouthern Miss
17.6%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGeorgia StOhio StSouthern Miss
14.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
13.3%
<0.1%
Coastal CarGa SouthernOhio StW Michigan
13.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
13.0%
<0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
12.7%
0.1%
Coastal CarOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
11.7%
0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio StW Michigan
11.1%
<0.1%
Appalachian StGa SouthernOhio StVirginia Tech
10.9%
0.1%
Appalachian StOhio StOld DominionULM
9.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonVirginia TechW Michigan
9.1%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonSouthern MissVirginia Tech
8.3%
<0.1%
Georgia StJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
6.8%
0.2%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
5.9%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
5.8%
0.5%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionVirginia Tech
5.5%
0.6%
Appalachian StCoastal CarOhio StVirginia Tech
4.5%
0.2%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionULM
4.3%
<0.1%
Ga SouthernJames MadisonOhio StW Michigan
3.9%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
3.3%
0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio StULM
2.3%
<0.1%
Appalachian StJames MadisonOhio StW Michigan
2.0%
0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionSouthern Miss
1.4%
<0.1%
James MadisonOhio StOld DominionW Michigan
1.4%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StVirginia Tech
1.2%
0.7%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StSouthern Miss
1.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarJames MadisonOhio StW Michigan
1.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

MarshallCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com