Tulsa

TulsaGolden Hurricane

1-0 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

TulsaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/29
vsNorthwestern StateNWST
W62-28
29/07
@Arkansas StARST
Win prob:23%
39/14
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:22%
49/21
@Louisiana TechLT
Win prob:42%
59/28
@North TexasUNT
Win prob:17%
610/05
vsArmyARMY
Win prob:33%
810/19
@TempleTEM
Win prob:61%
910/26
vsUT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:14%
1011/02
@UABUAB
Win prob:27%
1211/14
vsEast CarolinaECU
Win prob:36%
1311/23
@South FloridaUSF
Win prob:19%
1411/30
vsFL AtlanticFAU
Win prob:35%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TulsaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
95.0%
6-2
0.8%
42.4%
5-3
4.3%
1.3%
4-4
13.7%
0%
3-5
27.0%
0%
2-6
30.6%
0%
1-7
19.0%
0%
0-8
4.5%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Tulsa CCG Opponents

if Tulsa makes the CCG

UTSAUT San Antonio
45.2%
MemphisMemphis
19.0%
TulaneTulane
19.0%
South FloridaSouth Florida
9.5%
ArmyArmy
7.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TulsaThis Week's Impact

Game
TulsaCCG OddsAway
TulsaCCG OddsHome
CharlotteCLT@North CarolinaUNC
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@Arkansas StARST
0.4%
(-0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Texas SouthernTXSO@RiceRICE
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
UABUAB@ULMULM
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@AlabamaALA
0.6%
(+0.1%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
ArmyARMY@FL AtlanticFAU
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
TroyTROY@MemphisMEM
0.5%
(-0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Stephen F. AustinSFA@North TexasUNT
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
Kansas StKSU@TulaneTULN
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(+0.0%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@Texas StTXST
0.5%
(+0.0%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)
TempleTEM@NavyNAVY
0.6%
(+0.1%)		0.5%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TulsaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Tulsa CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
South Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
FL Atlantic
100.0%
<0.1%
UAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Army
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL Atlantic
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
North TexasSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
North TexasUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth Texas
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
44.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTempleUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmySouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOklahoma StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticOklahoma StUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticOklahoma StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUABUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaNorth Texas
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
North TexasOklahoma StUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StUABUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOklahoma StUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
North TexasOklahoma StTemple
50.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaNorth TexasSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyOklahoma StSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StTempleUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTempleUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasUT San Antonio
42.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasSouth Florida
40.0%
<0.1%
North TexasOklahoma StUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticNorth Texas
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth FloridaUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaOklahoma StUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StSouth FloridaUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaOklahoma StSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechUABUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasOklahoma St
25.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
16.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
12.5%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
36.6%
0.4%
Arkansas StArmyLouisiana TechTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaLouisiana TechSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechOklahoma StSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLouisiana TechUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechNorth TexasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaFL AtlanticLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechOklahoma StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyFL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyEast CarolinaLouisiana Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyEast CarolinaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticOklahoma StTemple
100.0%
<0.1%
East CarolinaFL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StTempleUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StTempleUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechSouth Florida
83.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaLouisiana TechUT San Antonio
75.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechNorth Texas
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyOklahoma StSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StSouth FloridaUAB
64.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticOklahoma StUAB
62.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechNorth TexasUAB
62.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasOklahoma StUT San Antonio
55.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasOklahoma StSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticLouisiana TechUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechNorth TexasOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechSouth FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyFL AtlanticLouisiana Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
North TexasOklahoma StTempleUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasOklahoma StUT San Antonio
46.2%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaNorth TexasOklahoma St
45.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyNorth TexasOklahoma St
44.4%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticOklahoma StUT San Antonio
42.9%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
40.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StUABUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechOklahoma StUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasOklahoma StSouth Florida
38.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaOklahoma StUT San Antonio
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticNorth TexasOklahoma St
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticOklahoma StSouth Florida
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StNorth TexasOklahoma StUAB
37.5%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyFL AtlanticOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StUABUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechNorth TexasSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyOklahoma StUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasOklahoma StUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisiana TechOklahoma StUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StTempleUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
East CarolinaLouisiana TechNorth TexasOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechOklahoma StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StEast CarolinaOklahoma StSouth Florida
28.6%
<0.1%
Arkansas StLouisiana TechNorth TexasUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StOklahoma StTempleUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
ArmyLouisiana TechSouth FloridaUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma StSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
Arkansas StFL AtlanticNorth TexasSouth Florida
20.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechOklahoma StUT San Antonio
20.0%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticLouisiana TechNorth TexasUT San Antonio
16.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyOklahoma StUAB
16.7%
<0.1%
Arkansas StArmyLouisiana TechUT San Antonio
14.3%
<0.1%
Louisiana TechNorth TexasUABUT San Antonio
14.3%
<0.1%
ArmyNorth TexasOklahoma StUAB
14.3%
<0.1%
FL AtlanticNorth TexasOklahoma StSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
ArmyOklahoma StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
7.7%
<0.1%
North TexasOklahoma StSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
3.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

TulsaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com