Rice

RiceOwls

1-1 T3rd (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

RiceSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSam Houston StSHSU
L14-34
29/07
vsTexas SouthernTXSO
W69-7
39/14
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:29%
49/21
@ArmyARMY
Win prob:23%
59/28
vsCharlotteCLT
Win prob:73%
710/12
vsUT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:36%
810/19
@TulaneTULN
Win prob:14%
910/26
@UConnCONN
Win prob:66%
1011/02
vsNavyNAVY
Win prob:44%
1111/08
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:11%
1311/23
@UABUAB
Win prob:48%
1411/30
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
100.0%
7-1
0.2%
99.0%
6-2
1.6%
60.7%
5-3
7.9%
2.9%
4-4
20.3%
0%
3-5
30.7%
0%
2-6
26.2%
0%
1-7
11.2%
0%
0-8
1.9%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Rice CCG Opponents

if Rice makes the CCG

MemphisMemphis
44.0%
TulaneTulane
24.8%
ArmyArmy
16.0%
UTSAUT San Antonio
9.6%
East CarolinaEast Carolina
5.6%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceThis Week's Impact

Game
RiceCCG OddsAway
RiceCCG OddsHome
TulaneTULN@OklahomaOU
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
MemphisMEM@Florida StFSU
1.5%
(+0.1%)		1.4%
(-0.1%)
Oklahoma StOKST@TulsaTLSA
1.5%
(+0.0%)		1.3%
(-0.1%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@TexasTEX
1.6%
(+0.2%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU
1.4%
(-0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
Gardner-WebbGWEB@CharlotteCLT
1.4%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(+0.0%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@Southern MissUSM
1.4%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
Coastal CarCCU@TempleTEM
1.4%
(-0.0%)		1.6%
(+0.2%)
UABUAB@ArkansasARK
1.5%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@East CarolinaECU
1.4%
(+0.0%)		1.4%
(-0.0%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU
1.3%
(-0.1%)		1.5%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Rice CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
95.8%
<0.1%
Memphis
100.0%
<0.1%
Houston
100.0%
<0.1%
UAB
100.0%
<0.1%
South Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Army
100.0%
<0.1%
UT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
Navy
100.0%
<0.1%
Tulane
87.5%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
68.0%
0.4%
HoustonTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
UABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphis
97.5%
<0.1%
TulaneUAB
83.3%
<0.1%
NavySouth Florida
75.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUAB
70.0%
<0.1%
NavyTulane
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyNavy
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyUT San Antonio
63.6%
<0.1%
ArmyTulane
63.6%
<0.1%
TulaneUT San Antonio
63.2%
<0.1%
MemphisNavy
62.5%
<0.1%
MemphisUT San Antonio
60.9%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
NavyUT San Antonio
60.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Florida
57.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulane
53.8%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
52.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphis
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTulane
45.1%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
30.9%
2.1%
HoustonMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
88.9%
<0.1%
NavyTulaneUConn
85.7%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyTulane
76.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonTulane
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUAB
75.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth Florida
73.9%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUT San Antonio
73.7%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaTulane
72.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth Florida
71.4%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUConn
71.4%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUAB
70.6%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUAB
70.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth Florida
69.2%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUConn
62.2%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUT San Antonio
61.8%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUT San Antonio
61.5%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
61.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphis
60.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUConn
58.3%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavy
55.6%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphis
54.6%
<0.1%
TulaneUConnUT San Antonio
54.5%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTulane
53.1%
0.2%
ArmyHoustonTulane
50.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavy
46.2%
<0.1%
MemphisUConnUT San Antonio
44.4%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUConn
30.8%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
27.8%
<0.1%
South FloridaUABUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUT San Antonio
20.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUT San Antonio
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUAB
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteTulane
12.5%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyUAB
11.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSouth Florida
10.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUT San Antonio
6.7%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUAB
5.9%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUAB
5.4%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUAB
5.4%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUAB
5.3%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUT San Antonio
4.8%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTulane
4.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisTulane
3.6%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
3.2%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTulane
2.8%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTulane
2.2%
0.3%
ArmyTulaneUT San Antonio
2.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSouth Florida
2.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNavy
1.6%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTulane
0.9%
0.1%
MemphisTulaneUT San Antonio
0.7%
0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com