UAB

UABBlazers

1-1 T3rd (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

UABSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/29
vsAlcorn StateALCN
W41-3
29/07
@ULMULM
L6-32
39/14
@ArkansasARK
Win prob:21%
59/28
vsNavyNAVY
Win prob:38%
610/05
vsTulaneTULN
Win prob:20%
710/12
@ArmyARMY
Win prob:19%
810/19
@South FloridaUSF
Win prob:22%
1011/02
vsTulsaTLSA
Win prob:61%
1111/09
vsUConnCONN
Win prob:74%
1211/16
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:9%
1311/23
vsRiceRICE
Win prob:52%
1411/30
@CharlotteCLT
Win prob:54%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UABRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
100.0%
6-2
1.3%
47.5%
5-3
6.4%
1.3%
4-4
18.5%
0%
3-5
30.9%
0%
2-6
27.6%
0%
1-7
12.8%
0%
0-8
2.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely UAB CCG Opponents

if UAB makes the CCG

MemphisMemphis
51.5%
ArmyArmy
17.6%
TulaneTulane
17.6%
UTSAUT San Antonio
7.4%
North TexasNorth Texas
5.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UABThis Week's Impact

Game
UABCCG OddsAway
UABCCG OddsHome
TulaneTULN@OklahomaOU
0.7%
(-0.1%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
MemphisMEM@Florida StFSU
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
Oklahoma StOKST@TulsaTLSA
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(-0.0%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@TexasTEX
0.7%
(-0.1%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Gardner-WebbGWEB@CharlotteCLT
0.5%
(-0.3%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Florida IntlFIU@FL AtlanticFAU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@Southern MissUSM
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.1%)
Coastal CarCCU@TempleTEM
0.8%
(-0.0%)		1.0%
(+0.2%)
UABUAB@ArkansasARK
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Appalachian StAPP@East CarolinaECU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU
0.7%
(-0.1%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UABLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
UAB CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
62.3%
0.2%
ArkansasArmy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasRice
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotte
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyRice
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotte
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulsa
75.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphis
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyRice
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavy
71.4%
<0.1%
MemphisTulsa
66.7%
<0.1%
NavyTulane
66.7%
<0.1%
RiceTulane
66.7%
<0.1%
RiceSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Florida
57.1%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavy
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
44.8%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
43.8%
<0.1%
MemphisRice
42.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNavy
40.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTulane
30.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTulane
28.6%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
34.5%
1.2%
ArkansasTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth FloridaTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotteNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotteRice
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasRiceTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
RiceTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneTulsaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotteTulsa
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNavySouth Florida
92.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmyRice
88.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotteSouth Florida
77.8%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUConn
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNavyRice
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasRiceSouth Florida
71.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmyCharlotte
70.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphisTulsa
68.4%
<0.1%
ArmyTulsaUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmyNavy
61.9%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
60.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphisNavy
57.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasNavyTulane
57.1%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUConn
57.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmySouth Florida
56.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotteMemphis
55.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth FloridaTulane
54.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphisSouth Florida
50.6%
<0.1%
ArmyRiceUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmyTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNavyTulsa
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasCharlotteTulane
46.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphisRice
37.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasTulaneTulsa
37.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasArmyMemphis
34.0%
0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMemphisTulane
32.2%
0.1%
ArkansasArmyTulane
30.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasRiceTulane
30.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteNavy
25.0%
<0.1%
NavyRiceSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTulsa
12.5%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSouth Florida
11.1%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTulsa
7.7%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteMemphis
6.9%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisTulane
3.5%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSouth Florida
1.7%
0.1%
ArmyMemphisTulane
0.8%
0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

UABCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com