HoustonCougars

0-2 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsUNLVUNLV	L7-27
2	9/07	@OklahomaOU	L12-16
3	9/14	vsRiceRICE	Win prob:71%
4	9/21	@CincinnatiCIN	Win prob:44%
5	9/28	vsIowa StateISU	Win prob:30%
6	10/04	@TCUTCU	Win prob:21%
8	10/19	vsKansasKU(N)	Win prob:25%
9	10/26	vsUtahUTAH	Win prob:28%
10	11/02	vsKansas StateKSU	Win prob:13%
12	11/15	@ArizonaARIZ	Win prob:10%
13	11/23	vsBaylorBAY	Win prob:57%
14	11/30	@BYUBYU	Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.0%	100.0%
7-2	0.2%	63.2%
6-3	1.5%	6.1%
5-4	6.5%	0%
4-5	17.1%	0%
3-6	28.1%	0%
2-7	28.1%	0%
1-8	15.2%	0%
0-9	3.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

43.5%

30.4%

8.7%

8.7%

8.7%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
UCFUCF@TCUTCU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Arizona StateASU@Texas StateTXST	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
ArizonaARIZ@Kansas StateKSU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
BYUBYU@WyomingWYO	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
Oklahoma StateOKST@TulsaTLSA	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
North TexasUNT@Texas TechTTU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Air ForceAF@BaylorBAY	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
CincinnatiCIN@Miami (OH)M-OH	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Utah StateUSU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@Colorado StateCSU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
UNLVUNLV@KansasKU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@HoustonHOU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

61.8%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

76.9%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

73.3%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

54.5%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

46.2%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

35.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com