Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

1-2 T3rd (0-1) in CUSA

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.9%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsTennessee TechTNTC	W32-25
2	9/07	@Ole MissMISS	L3-52
3	9/14	vsWestern KentuckyWKU	L21-49
4	9/21	vsDukeDUKE	Win prob:14%
5	9/28	@MemphisMEM	Win prob:6%
7	10/10	@Louisiana TechLT	Win prob:38%
8	10/15	vsKennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:34%
9	10/23	@Jacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:23%
10	11/02	@UTEPUTEP	Win prob:41%
11	11/09	vsLibertyLIB	Win prob:14%
13	11/23	vsNew Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:45%
14	11/30	vsFlorida InternationalFIU(N)	Win prob:46%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.0%	100.0%
6-2	0.5%	70.0%
5-3	4.0%	11.4%
4-4	13.7%	0.1%
3-5	27.0%	0%
2-6	31.2%	0%
1-7	18.7%	0%
0-8	4.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

64.7%

12.9%

10.6%

5.9%

5.9%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
DukeDUKE@Middle TennesseeMTSU	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.9% (-0.0%)
Southern MissUSM@Jacksonville StateJXST	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.9% (-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@Colorado StateCSU	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.9% (-0.0%)
MonmouthMONM@Florida InternationalFIU	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.9% (+0.0%)
ToledoTOL@Western KentuckyWKU	0.9% (+0.0%)	0.8% (-0.1%)
East CarolinaECU@LibertyLIB	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.9% (-0.0%)
New Mexico StateNMSU@Sam HoustonSHSU	1.0% (+0.1%)	0.8% (-0.1%)
TulsaTLSA@Louisiana TechLT	0.8% (-0.0%)	0.9% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Middle Tennessee

Southern Miss

UTEP

Florida International

Western Kentucky

East Carolina

New Mexico State

Tulsa

CCG: 12.5% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

New Mexico State

CCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 29.6%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

71.4%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

78.6%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

58.3%

<0.1%

56.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com