TulsaGolden Hurricane

1-2 T3rd (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	W62-28
2	9/07	@Arkansas StateARST	L24-28
3	9/14	vsOklahoma StateOKST	L10-45
4	9/21	@Louisiana TechLT	Win prob:34%
5	9/28	@North TexasUNT	Win prob:23%
6	10/05	vsArmyARMY	Win prob:22%
8	10/19	@TempleTEM	Win prob:55%
9	10/26	vsUTSAUTSA	Win prob:30%
10	11/02	@UABUAB	Win prob:31%
12	11/14	vsEast CarolinaECU	Win prob:27%
13	11/23	@South FloridaUSF	Win prob:12%
14	11/30	vsFlorida AtlanticFAU	Win prob:28%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	93.5%
6-2	0.6%	28.1%
5-3	3.5%	0.5%
4-4	11.8%	0%
3-5	25.0%	0%
2-6	31.6%	0%
1-7	21.5%	0%
0-8	5.9%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

40.9%

18.2%

18.2%

13.6%

9.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
WyomingWYO@North TexasUNT	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
TulaneTULN@LouisianaUL	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
CharlotteCLT@IndianaIU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Utah StateUSU@TempleTEM	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@UConnCONN	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
East CarolinaECU@LibertyLIB	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Houston ChristianHCU@UTSAUTSA	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
RiceRICE@ArmyARMY	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
MemphisMEM@NavyNAVY	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
TulsaTLSA@Louisiana TechLT	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
MiamiMIA@South FloridaUSF	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

83.3%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

40.1%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

23.5%

<0.1%

21.7%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com