AuburnTigers

2-1 T5th (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsAlabama A&MAAMU	W73-3
2	9/07	vsCaliforniaCAL	L14-21
3	9/14	vsNew MexicoUNM	W45-19
4	9/21	vsArkansasARK	Win prob:73%
5	9/28	vsOklahomaOU	Win prob:22%
6	10/05	@GeorgiaUGA	Win prob:4%
8	10/19	@MissouriMIZ	Win prob:17%
9	10/26	@KentuckyUK	Win prob:40%
10	11/02	vsVanderbiltVAN	Win prob:86%
12	11/16	vsUL MonroeULM	Win prob:90%
13	11/23	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:41%
14	11/30	@AlabamaALA	Win prob:4%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.0%	77.5%
6-2	0.8%	3.1%
5-3	5.7%	0%
4-4	20.5%	0%
3-5	35.4%	0%
2-6	28.1%	0%
1-7	8.7%	0%
0-8	0.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

40.0%

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%

0.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
AkronAKR@South CarolinaSC	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
UL MonroeULM@TexasTEX	0.2% (+0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@AuburnAUB	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
TennesseeTENN@OklahomaOU	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
OhioOHIO@KentuckyUK	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@LSULSU	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Georgia SouthernGASO@Ole MissMISS	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@Texas A&MTA&M	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
FloridaFLA@Mississippi StateMSST	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@MissouriMIZ	0.0% (-0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

UL Monroe

Auburn

Tennessee

Kentucky

Ole Miss

Bowling Green

Mississippi State

CCG: 5.9% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

South Carolina

Auburn

LSU

Ole Miss

Missouri

CCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 58.0%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

73.8%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

92.3%

<0.1%

69.2%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

2.6%

0.6%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

10.5%

<0.1%

9.7%

<0.1%

4.2%

<0.1%

2.0%

<0.1%

1.7%

0.3%

1.5%

<0.1%

1.4%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

8.8%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

7.3%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com