Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
OhioOHIO	100%	98.1%	51.8%	2.0%	69.7%
Bowling GreenBGSU	100%	90.7%	30.0%	0.7%	31.0%
Miami (OH)M-OH	100%	97.6%	47.3%	2.5%	27.4%
Northern IllinoisNIU	100%	88.4%	26.0%	0.4%	24.3%
ToledoTOL	100%	89.5%	29.8%	0.4%	22.0%
BuffaloBUF	100%	92.0%	30.4%	0.5%	17.0%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	95.9%	38.2%	0.9%	3.3%
Central MichiganCMU	100%	79.0%	21.6%	0.2%	2.7%
AkronAKR	100%	90.3%	24.3%	0.2%	1.5%
Eastern MichiganEMU	100%	95.2%	56.4%	3.2%	0.9%
Ball StateBALL	-	100%	42.3%	1.1%	0.1%
MassachusettsMASS	-	100%	39.4%	1.7%	<0.1%
Kent StateKENT	-	-	33.3%	-	<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(0-0)	19.2%	36.1%	28.6%	12.5%	3.1%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.5
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)	3.4%	19.3%	33.2%	27.8%	12.7%	3.2%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.6
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-0)	2.5%	15.2%	32.0%	30.9%	14.9%	4.0%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.5
ToledoTOL(0-0)	2.2%	12.7%	27.7%	31.3%	18.8%	6.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	5.3
Miami (OH)M-OH(0-0)	1.9%	11.9%	27.6%	31.3%	19.3%	6.6%	1.3%	0.1%	0.0%	5.2
BuffaloBUF(0-0)	1.3%	8.9%	24.1%	31.9%	22.7%	8.9%	1.9%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.0
Central MichiganCMU(0-0)	<0.1%	1.3%	7.0%	19.1%	29.7%	26.3%	13.0%	3.2%	0.4%	3.7
Western MichiganWMU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	5.8%	18.2%	30.0%	27.5%	13.8%	3.5%	0.3%	3.7
AkronAKR(0-0)	<0.1%	0.5%	4.1%	14.9%	29.9%	30.5%	15.8%	3.9%	0.4%	3.5
Eastern MichiganEMU(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.1%	5.6%	16.3%	28.6%	29.2%	15.6%	3.4%	2.6
Ball StateBALL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.7%	9.3%	25.6%	35.9%	22.8%	4.5%	2.2
MassachusettsMASS(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.2%	6.1%	18.9%	33.0%	30.4%	10.2%	1.8
Kent StateKENT(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.5%	11.4%	29.1%	37.9%	18.7%	1.4

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com