MarylandTerrapins

1-0 T1st (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsFlorida AtlanticFAU	W39-7
2	9/05	vsNorthern IllinoisNIU	Win prob:63%
3	9/13	vsTowsonTOW	Win prob:90%
4	9/20	@WisconsinWIS	Win prob:34%
6	10/04	vsWashingtonWASH	Win prob:44%
7	10/11	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:56%
8	10/18	@UCLAUCLA	Win prob:57%
10	11/01	vsIndianaIU	Win prob:20%
11	11/08	@RutgersRUTG	Win prob:40%
12	11/15	@IllinoisILL	Win prob:33%
13	11/22	vsMichiganMICH	Win prob:23%
14	11/29	vsMichigan StateMSU(N)	Win prob:65%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	92.3%
8-1	0.3%	39.3%
7-2	2.2%	2.8%
6-3	7.9%	0%
5-4	18.5%	0%
4-5	27.1%	0%
3-6	25.1%	0%
2-7	14.1%	0%
1-8	4.4%	0%
0-9	0.6%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

52.6%

21.1%

10.5%

10.5%

5.3%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Kennesaw StateKENN@IndianaIU	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Florida InternationalFIU@Penn StatePSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
Georgia SouthernGASO@USCUSC	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
UC DavisUCD@WashingtonWASH	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
AkronAKR@NebraskaNEB	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@Iowa StateISU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Miami (OH)M-OH@RutgersRUTG	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Northern IllinoisNIU@MarylandMD	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
IllinoisILL@DukeDUKE	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
Southern IllinoisSIU@PurduePUR	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Oklahoma StateOKST@OregonORE	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Northwestern StateNWST@MinnesotaMINN	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
GramblingGRAM@Ohio StateOSU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Western IllinoisWIU@NorthwesternNU	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@Michigan StateMSU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@WisconsinWIS	0.3% (+0.1%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@UNLVUNLV	0.1% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

43.1%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

56.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

43.8%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

30.0%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

17.1%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

7.5%

1.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

54.5%

<0.1%

51.6%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

35.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

30.8%

<0.1%

15.4%

<0.1%

12.5%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

7.4%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

6.5%

<0.1%

5.7%

<0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

5.2%

<0.1%

5.0%

<0.1%

3.7%

<0.1%

3.6%

<0.1%

3.3%

<0.1%

2.7%

<0.1%

2.6%

<0.1%

1.6%

0.1%

1.2%

<0.1%

1.1%

<0.1%

1.0%

0.1%

Any 3 losses

8.4%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

11.1%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.4%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

6.7%

<0.1%

6.5%

<0.1%

5.3%

<0.1%

3.9%

<0.1%

3.7%

<0.1%

Any 4 losses

10.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com