Auburn

AuburnTigers

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

AuburnSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/29
@BaylorBAY
W38-24
29/06
vsBall StBALL
Win prob:95%
39/13
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:65%
49/20
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:37%
59/27
@Texas A&MTA&M
Win prob:30%
710/11
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:10%
810/18
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:53%
910/25
@ArkansasARK
Win prob:47%
1011/01
vsKentuckyUK
Win prob:71%
1111/08
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:58%
1311/22
vsMercerMER
Win prob:90%
1411/29
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:37%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.1%
100.0%
7-1
0.7%
76.7%
6-2
4.7%
10.7%
5-3
14.8%
0.1%
4-4
27.3%
0%
3-5
28.5%
0%
2-6
17.6%
0%
1-7
5.5%
0%
0-8
0.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Auburn CCG Opponents

if Auburn makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
61.9%
Ole MissMississippi
21.9%
TexasTexas
8.6%
TennesseeTennessee
5.7%
AlabamaAlabama
1.9%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnThis Week's Impact

Game
AuburnCCG OddsAway
AuburnCCG OddsHome
South FloridaUSF@FloridaFLA
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
MichiganMICH@OklahomaOU
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.0%
(-0.1%)
Louisiana TechLT@LSULSU
1.3%
(+0.2%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@ArkansasARK
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Austin PeayAPSU@GeorgiaUGA
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
South Carolina StateSCST@South CarolinaSC
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
San Jose StSJSU@TexasTEX
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Ball StBALL@AuburnAUB
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Utah StUSU@Texas A&MTA&M
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@Virginia TechVT
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
East Tennessee StateETSU@TennesseeTENN
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
ULMULM@AlabamaALA
0.9%
(-0.3%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Mississippi StMSST
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.1%)
MississippiMISS@KentuckyUK
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.7%
(+0.5%)
KansasKU@MissouriMIZ
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.1%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Auburn CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
79.4%
0.4%
Missouri
100.0%
<0.1%
South Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball St
100.0%
<0.1%
Mercer
100.0%
<0.1%
Alabama
94.4%
<0.1%
Vanderbilt
93.3%
<0.1%
Arkansas
90.9%
<0.1%
Kentucky
88.9%
<0.1%
Texas A&M
88.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma
87.0%
<0.1%
Georgia
67.6%
0.2%
Any 2 losses
16.3%
2.9%
South AlabamaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall St
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasBall St
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StKentucky
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercer
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth Alabama
93.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth Alabama
88.2%
<0.1%
South AlabamaTexas A&M
85.0%
<0.1%
MercerTexas A&M
83.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Alabama
80.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth Alabama
63.6%
0.1%
GeorgiaMercer
59.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercer
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGeorgia
40.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMissouri
40.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyVanderbilt
37.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentucky
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentucky
25.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasTexas A&M
22.7%
<0.1%
MissouriVanderbilt
22.2%
<0.1%
Texas A&MVanderbilt
22.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansas
20.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
20.8%
0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
18.8%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas A&M
18.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaVanderbilt
18.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&M
16.8%
0.1%
ArkansasMissouri
16.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
16.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahoma
15.4%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
15.2%
0.2%
MissouriOklahoma
13.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouri
11.6%
0.2%
AlabamaMissouri
10.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaTexas A&M
9.0%
0.5%
ArkansasVanderbilt
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia
7.9%
0.3%
ArkansasOklahoma
7.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia
6.6%
0.3%
GeorgiaKentucky
5.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahoma
3.9%
0.4%
Any 3 losses
10.3%
1.8%
MercerSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall StSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGeorgiaSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StKentuckyMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMercerTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth Alabama
75.0%
<0.1%
Ball StOklahomaVanderbilt
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerMissouri
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasMercer
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall StKentucky
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerTexas A&MVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMercerOklahoma
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasSouth Alabama
35.7%
<0.1%
KentuckyMissouriSouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriOklahoma
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckySouth Alabama
33.3%
<0.1%
Ball StGeorgiaMercer
33.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasBall StVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouriSouth Alabama
31.6%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
29.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasMissouriSouth Alabama
28.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
28.6%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
South AlabamaTexas A&MVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySouth AlabamaVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerMissouri
20.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGeorgiaMissouri
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
19.6%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
17.4%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
17.2%
<0.1%
Ball StOklahomaTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaSouth Alabama
15.6%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Alabama
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerTexas A&M
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall StGeorgia
13.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
13.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouri
13.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriSouth Alabama
12.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahoma
10.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaTexas A&M
9.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerOklahoma
9.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasBall StGeorgia
9.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
9.1%
0.3%
Ball StGeorgiaVanderbilt
8.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaSouth Alabama
7.5%
0.2%
Ball StGeorgiaTexas A&M
7.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerVanderbilt
6.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMercer
6.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaSouth Alabama
6.3%
0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaSouth Alabama
5.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerTexas A&M
4.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth Alabama
3.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth Alabama
2.5%
0.2%
AlabamaGeorgiaKentucky
0.7%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
9.2%
0.2%
ArkansasBall StOklahomaSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMercerMissouriSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMercerMissouriSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall StMercerMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall StMercerTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasMercerMissouriSouth Alabama
66.7%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasBall StMissouriSouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth AlabamaTexas A&MVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerOklahomaSouth Alabama
40.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasBall StSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouriSouth Alabama
30.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGeorgiaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMercerSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
19.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaBall StGeorgiaSouth Alabama
14.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasBall StGeorgiaSouth Alabama
11.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaMercerSouth Alabama
6.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaMercerSouth Alabama
4.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckySouth AlabamaTexas A&M
0.9%
0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AuburnCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com