Cincinnati

CincinnatiBearcats

0-1 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

CincinnatiSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
vsNebraskaNEB(N)
L17-20
29/06
vsBowling GreenBGSU
Win prob:60%
39/13
vsNorthwestern StateNWST
Win prob:90%
59/27
@KansasKU
Win prob:23%
610/04
vsIowa StISU
Win prob:37%
710/11
vsUCFUCF
Win prob:47%
810/18
@Oklahoma StOKST
Win prob:62%
910/25
vsBaylorBAY
Win prob:45%
1011/01
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:23%
1211/15
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:61%
1311/22
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:34%
1411/29
@TCUTCU
Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.0%
100.0%
8-1
0.2%
98.8%
7-2
1.4%
72.0%
6-3
6.0%
11.6%
5-4
15.5%
0.0%
4-5
26.2%
0%
3-6
26.8%
0%
2-7
17.3%
0%
1-8
5.9%
0%
0-9
0.8%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Cincinnati CCG Opponents

if Cincinnati makes the CCG

Arizona StateArizona St
29.8%
TCUTCU
29.8%
KansasKansas
14.5%
Iowa StateIowa St
13.0%
BYUBYU
13.0%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiThis Week's Impact

Game
CincinnatiCCG OddsAway
CincinnatiCCG OddsHome
Weber StateWEB@ArizonaARIZ
1.8%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
StanfordSTAN@BYUBYU
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
BaylorBAY@SMUSMU
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@Iowa StISU
1.8%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@OhioOHIO
1.8%
(-0.1%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Cal PolyCP@UtahUTAH
1.6%
(-0.2%)		1.9%
(+0.0%)
HoustonHOU@RiceRICE
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Texas TechTTU
2.4%
(+0.6%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
North Carolina A&TNCAT@UCFUCF
1.8%
(-0.1%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
DelawareDEL@ColoradoCOLO
1.8%
(-0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Oklahoma StOKST@OregonORE
1.7%
(-0.1%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@CincinnatiCIN
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(-0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Mississippi StMSST
1.8%
(-0.0%)		1.9%
(+0.1%)
ArmyARMY@Kansas StKSU
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)
KansasKU@MissouriMIZ
1.8%
(+0.0%)		1.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Cincinnati CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
98.8%
<0.1%
Oklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
TCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona
100.0%
<0.1%
UCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Utah
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
BYU
100.0%
<0.1%
Baylor
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Kansas
95.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
72.7%
0.8%
Bowling GreenIowa St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
UCFUtah
93.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenTCU
92.9%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
92.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah
87.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
85.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma St
83.3%
<0.1%
TCUUCF
82.3%
<0.1%
BYUKansas
80.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas
80.0%
<0.1%
BYUBaylor
80.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
80.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StUtah
79.2%
<0.1%
BYUIowa St
76.5%
<0.1%
BYUTCU
73.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCU
73.7%
<0.1%
BaylorTCU
71.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYU
71.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa St
71.4%
<0.1%
BaylorUtah
70.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma St
66.7%
<0.1%
BYUUtah
65.4%
<0.1%
TCUUtah
63.0%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
62.2%
<0.1%
KansasTCU
59.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansas
55.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
55.3%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa St
50.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StUCF
40.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
20.7%
3.8%
BaylorNorthwestern StateUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowa StUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorthwestern StateUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling GreenUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBowling GreenOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowa StOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateOklahoma StTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorNorthwestern StateTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StNorthwestern StateUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenNorthwestern StateUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKansasNorthwestern State
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling GreenOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling GreenUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenNorthwestern StateTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenNorthwestern StateUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateTCUUCF
100.0%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorBowling Green
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling GreenOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaNorthwestern StateTCU
100.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StNorthwestern StateOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
BaylorNorthwestern StateOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateOklahoma StUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenUCFUtah
91.7%
<0.1%
BYUBowling GreenKansas
90.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOklahoma StUtah
90.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling GreenTCU
86.7%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateUtah
85.7%
<0.1%
BYUBowling GreenUtah
85.0%
<0.1%
BYUNorthwestern StateUtah
83.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKansasOklahoma St
80.0%
<0.1%
Northwestern StateTCUUtah
80.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling GreenKansas
78.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKansasUCF
77.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenTCUUCF
77.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUBowling Green
75.0%
<0.1%
BYUNorthwestern StateTCU
75.0%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling GreenIowa St
75.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOklahoma StTCU
75.0%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling GreenUtah
72.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKansasUtah
70.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowa StKansas
70.0%
<0.1%
BYUBowling GreenUCF
70.0%
<0.1%
BYUBowling GreenTCU
69.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenKansasTCU
67.3%
<0.1%
BYUBowling GreenIowa St
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling GreenKansas
66.7%
<0.1%
BaylorBowling GreenTCU
66.7%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasNorthwestern State
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling GreenUtah
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBowling GreenIowa St
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowa StTCU
63.6%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenTCUUtah
58.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenIowa StUtah
55.6%
<0.1%
BYUKansasNorthwestern State
50.0%
<0.1%
KansasNorthwestern StateTCU
50.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorIowa St
40.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StNorthwestern StateTCU
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasOklahoma St
40.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUCF
36.4%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUCF
35.3%
<0.1%
BYUKansasOklahoma St
34.8%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasNorthwestern State
33.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtah
30.3%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtah
29.2%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
28.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansas
27.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFUtah
25.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUUtah
23.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUCF
22.2%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUCF
21.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUUCF
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StTCU
20.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUtah
19.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCUUtah
19.0%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUtah
18.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorTCU
18.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUKansas
17.4%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFUtah
17.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasTCU
17.0%
<0.1%
BYUUCFUtah
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StOklahoma St
16.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUTCU
16.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StUtah
15.8%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StTCU
15.8%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasOklahoma St
15.4%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorTCU
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StUCF
14.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtah
14.3%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUtah
14.3%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorUtah
13.9%
<0.1%
BYUKansasUCF
13.9%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StKansas
13.2%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StKansas
13.2%
<0.1%
BYUKansasUtah
13.0%
0.1%
BYUOklahoma StTCU
12.9%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaIowa StKansas
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaBYUBaylor
12.5%
<0.1%
Iowa StUCFUtah
12.1%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUtah
12.0%
0.2%
ArizonaIowa StTCU
12.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaTCUUtah
11.3%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTCU
11.1%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUCF
10.7%
0.1%
BYUKansasTCU
10.5%
0.2%
BYUIowa StUtah
9.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUtah
9.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansasUCF
9.7%
<0.1%
BYUTCUUCF
9.4%
<0.1%
KansasTCUUtah
9.1%
0.3%
TCUUCFUtah
9.1%
0.1%
Iowa StKansasTCU
9.1%
0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFUtah
9.1%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StUCF
8.3%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorKansas
8.1%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasTCU
7.3%
0.1%
BaylorIowa StTCU
7.1%
<0.1%
BaylorIowa StUtah
6.9%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUtah
6.7%
0.1%
Iowa StTCUUtah
6.4%
0.2%
BYUOklahoma StUtah
6.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUUCF
5.9%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StTCU
5.3%
<0.1%
BYUBaylorIowa St
4.5%
<0.1%
BaylorTCUUCF
2.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CincinnatiCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com