Ohio

OhioBobcats

0-1 T1st (0-0) in MAC

Data from 2025-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

69.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

OhioSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/28
@RutgersRUTG
L31-34
29/06
vsWest VirginiaWVU
Win prob:76%
39/13
@Ohio StOSU
Win prob:8%
49/20
vsGardner-WebbGWEB
Win prob:90%
59/27
vsBowling GreenBGSU
Win prob:77%
610/04
@Ball StBALL
Win prob:92%
810/18
vsN IllinoisNIU
Win prob:76%
910/25
@E MichiganEMU
Win prob:86%
1011/04
vsMiami OHM-OH
Win prob:74%
1111/11
@W MichiganWMU
Win prob:81%
1211/18
vsMassachusettsMASS
Win prob:96%
1411/28
@BuffaloBUF
Win prob:71%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
19.2%
100.0%
7-1
36.1%
98.1%
6-2
28.6%
51.8%
5-3
12.5%
2.0%
4-4
3.1%
0%
3-5
0.5%
0%
2-6
0.0%
0%
1-7
0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Ohio CCG Opponents

if Ohio makes the CCG

Bowling GreenBowling Green
26.5%
Miami (OH)Miami OH
23.0%
Northern IllinoisN Illinois
19.3%
ToledoToledo
18.3%
BuffaloBuffalo
12.9%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioThis Week's Impact

Game
OhioCCG OddsAway
OhioCCG OddsHome
Long Island UniversityLIU@E MichiganEMU
69.3%
(-0.3%)		69.7%
(+0.0%)
AkronAKR@NebraskaNEB
69.9%
(+0.3%)		69.7%
(-0.0%)
Miami OHM-OH@RutgersRUTG
69.7%
(-0.0%)		69.7%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@OhioOHIO
70.1%
(+0.4%)		69.6%
(-0.1%)
N IllinoisNIU@MarylandMD
69.6%
(-0.1%)		69.7%
(+0.1%)
Ball StBALL@AuburnAUB
69.8%
(+0.1%)		69.7%
(+0.0%)
KentKENT@Texas TechTTU
69.2%
(-0.5%)		69.7%
(+0.0%)
St. Francis (PA)SFPA@BuffaloBUF
69.3%
(-0.4%)		69.7%
(+0.0%)
Bowling GreenBGSU@CincinnatiCIN
69.8%
(+0.1%)		69.6%
(-0.1%)
WKUWKU@ToledoTOL
69.5%
(-0.2%)		69.8%
(+0.1%)
North TexasUNT@W MichiganWMU
69.6%
(-0.0%)		69.8%
(+0.1%)
BryantBRY@MassachusettsMASS
69.2%
(-0.5%)		69.7%
(+0.1%)
C MichiganCMU@PittsburghPITT
69.5%
(-0.2%)		69.7%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Ohio CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
1.1%
Any 1 loss
99.7%
14.7%
Ohio St
100.0%
12.1%
E Michigan
100.0%
0.2%
West Virginia
100.0%
0.3%
Gardner-Webb
100.0%
0.1%
Massachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball St
100.0%
0.1%
W Michigan
98.9%
0.3%
Buffalo
98.3%
0.5%
N Illinois
97.9%
0.3%
Bowling Green
97.2%
0.3%
Miami OH
96.8%
0.4%
Any 2 losses
95.9%
30.2%
Ohio StWest Virginia
100.0%
3.6%
Gardner-WebbOhio St
100.0%
1.3%
Bowling GreenGardner-Webb
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganGardner-Webb
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMiami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloGardner-Webb
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGardner-Webb
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganOhio St
99.5%
2.0%
Ball StOhio St
99.1%
1.1%
MassachusettsOhio St
99.0%
0.4%
Bowling GreenWest Virginia
98.9%
<0.1%
W MichiganWest Virginia
98.9%
<0.1%
Ohio StW Michigan
98.8%
2.8%
BuffaloOhio St
98.3%
4.9%
N IllinoisWest Virginia
98.1%
0.1%
BuffaloWest Virginia
97.7%
0.1%
N IllinoisOhio St
97.6%
3.7%
Bowling GreenOhio St
97.4%
3.6%
Miami OHOhio St
97.1%
4.1%
Ball StWest Virginia
97.1%
<0.1%
Miami OHWest Virginia
96.9%
0.1%
Ball StW Michigan
89.5%
<0.1%
Ball StE Michigan
87.5%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OH
75.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffalo
73.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloMassachusetts
70.6%
<0.1%
E MichiganW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
MassachusettsW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMassachusetts
66.7%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMiami OH
66.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE Michigan
64.0%
<0.1%
Ball StN Illinois
63.3%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling Green
62.5%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OH
61.4%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenW Michigan
57.6%
<0.1%
MassachusettsN Illinois
54.5%
<0.1%
Miami OHW Michigan
53.9%
<0.1%
BuffaloE Michigan
53.8%
<0.1%
N IllinoisW Michigan
53.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganN Illinois
52.8%
<0.1%
BuffaloW Michigan
51.0%
0.1%
BuffaloN Illinois
47.8%
0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffalo
43.4%
0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OH
42.2%
0.1%
Bowling GreenN Illinois
40.8%
0.1%
BuffaloMiami OH
40.5%
0.1%
Miami OHN Illinois
40.0%
0.1%
Any 3 losses
67.3%
29.1%
Gardner-WebbOhio StWest Virginia
100.0%
0.4%
E MichiganGardner-WebbWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGardner-WebbWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganMassachusettsWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloGardner-WebbWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGardner-WebbN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMiami OHWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbN IllinoisWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganGardner-Webb
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGardner-WebbW Michigan
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMassachusettsWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbW MichiganWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganGardner-Webb
100.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsMiami OHWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMassachusettsWest Virginia
100.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMassachusettsN Illinois
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganGardner-WebbMassachusetts
100.0%
<0.1%
Ball StGardner-WebbMiami OH
100.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganOhio StWest Virginia
99.7%
0.6%
E MichiganGardner-WebbOhio St
99.6%
0.2%
MassachusettsOhio StWest Virginia
99.3%
0.1%
Gardner-WebbOhio StW Michigan
99.3%
0.3%
Ball StOhio StWest Virginia
98.8%
0.3%
Ohio StW MichiganWest Virginia
98.4%
0.9%
N IllinoisOhio StWest Virginia
98.3%
1.1%
Ball StGardner-WebbOhio St
98.3%
0.1%
BuffaloGardner-WebbOhio St
98.2%
0.6%
Gardner-WebbMassachusettsOhio St
98.2%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbN IllinoisOhio St
98.1%
0.4%
Miami OHOhio StWest Virginia
97.9%
1.3%
BuffaloOhio StWest Virginia
97.5%
1.5%
Bowling GreenOhio StWest Virginia
97.4%
1.1%
Bowling GreenGardner-WebbOhio St
97.4%
0.4%
Gardner-WebbMiami OHOhio St
97.3%
0.4%
Ball StMassachusettsOhio St
95.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenGardner-WebbWest Virginia
92.9%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloWest Virginia
92.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganMassachusettsOhio St
92.2%
<0.1%
Ball StE MichiganOhio St
84.0%
0.2%
Bowling GreenE MichiganGardner-Webb
83.3%
<0.1%
Ball StW MichiganWest Virginia
80.0%
<0.1%
E MichiganGardner-WebbN Illinois
80.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloGardner-WebbW Michigan
79.0%
<0.1%
Ball StOhio StW Michigan
75.1%
0.2%
E MichiganW MichiganWest Virginia
75.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsOhio StW Michigan
73.4%
<0.1%
BuffaloW MichiganWest Virginia
73.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganOhio StW Michigan
72.0%
0.5%
Ball StBuffaloOhio St
68.6%
0.4%
MassachusettsMiami OHOhio St
67.6%
0.1%
MassachusettsN IllinoisOhio St
67.5%
0.1%
BuffaloOhio StW Michigan
67.0%
1.1%
Ball StE MichiganWest Virginia
66.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganGardner-WebbMiami OH
66.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloMassachusettsWest Virginia
66.7%
<0.1%
E MichiganGardner-WebbW Michigan
66.7%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMassachusettsMiami OH
66.7%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenGardner-Webb
66.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloMassachusettsOhio St
64.8%
0.2%
Ball StN IllinoisWest Virginia
64.3%
<0.1%
Miami OHW MichiganWest Virginia
63.6%
<0.1%
Ball StN IllinoisOhio St
63.4%
0.3%
Ball StBowling GreenOhio St
62.4%
0.3%
BuffaloE MichiganOhio St
60.2%
0.8%
Ball StBowling GreenWest Virginia
60.0%
<0.1%
N IllinoisW MichiganWest Virginia
60.0%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbN IllinoisW Michigan
60.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganOhio St
59.9%
0.6%
E MichiganN IllinoisWest Virginia
59.1%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHOhio St
59.0%
0.7%
Gardner-WebbMiami OHW Michigan
58.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloGardner-WebbN Illinois
57.9%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenW MichiganWest Virginia
57.9%
<0.1%
N IllinoisOhio StW Michigan
57.5%
0.8%
Bowling GreenMassachusettsOhio St
57.4%
0.1%
Ball StMiami OHOhio St
57.4%
0.3%
E MichiganMiami OHWest Virginia
57.1%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenGardner-WebbW Michigan
57.1%
<0.1%
Gardner-WebbMiami OHN Illinois
55.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganWest Virginia
55.2%
<0.1%
E MichiganN IllinoisOhio St
54.9%
0.7%
Bowling GreenBuffaloWest Virginia
54.5%
<0.1%
Miami OHOhio StW Michigan
50.5%
1.0%
Bowling GreenE MichiganWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StBuffaloGardner-Webb
50.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsW MichiganWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Ball StMiami OHWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMassachusettsWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
MassachusettsN IllinoisWest Virginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenOhio StW Michigan
49.6%
0.9%
BuffaloN IllinoisOhio St
46.7%
1.6%
Bowling GreenGardner-WebbN Illinois
46.2%
<0.1%
BuffaloN IllinoisWest Virginia
45.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloOhio St
44.3%
1.4%
BuffaloMiami OHOhio St
42.8%
1.7%
Miami OHN IllinoisWest Virginia
41.7%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHWest Virginia
41.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloGardner-Webb
40.0%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHWest Virginia
39.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenGardner-WebbMiami OH
38.5%
<0.1%
Miami OHN IllinoisOhio St
37.4%
1.3%
BuffaloGardner-WebbMiami OH
36.8%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenMiami OHOhio St
35.8%
1.3%
Bowling GreenN IllinoisWest Virginia
33.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloGardner-WebbMassachusetts
33.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenN IllinoisOhio St
32.5%
1.1%
Bowling GreenE MichiganN Illinois
14.3%
<0.1%
Ball StBowling GreenE Michigan
14.3%
<0.1%
E MichiganN IllinoisW Michigan
8.3%
<0.1%
BuffaloE MichiganN Illinois
4.2%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenN IllinoisW Michigan
4.0%
<0.1%
Miami OHN IllinoisW Michigan
3.6%
<0.1%
E MichiganMiami OHN Illinois
3.6%
<0.1%
BuffaloN IllinoisW Michigan
3.3%
<0.1%
Bowling GreenBuffaloN Illinois
2.7%
<0.1%
BuffaloMiami OHN Illinois
2.1%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

OhioCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2025-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com