Kennesaw StateOwls

0-2 T3rd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	@Wake ForestWAKE	L9-10
2	9/06	@IndianaIU	L9-56
3	9/13	vsMerrimackMRMK	Win prob:90%
4	9/20	vsArkansas StateARST	Win prob:47%
5	9/27	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:63%
7	10/09	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:40%
8	10/21	@Florida InternationalFIU	Win prob:29%
9	10/28	vsUTEPUTEP	Win prob:63%
11	11/08	@New Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:45%
12	11/15	@Jacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:8%
13	11/22	vsMissouri StateMOST	Win prob:48%
14	11/29	@LibertyLIB	Win prob:16%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.0%	100.0%
7-1	0.3%	96.9%
6-2	2.7%	52.1%
5-3	11.0%	4.9%
4-4	23.8%	0%
3-5	30.8%	0%
2-6	22.0%	0%
1-7	8.1%	0%
0-8	1.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

70.6%

12.3%

8.1%

5.2%

3.8%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
New Mexico StateNMSU@Louisiana TechLT	2.4% (+0.2%)	2.2% (-0.1%)
UConnCONN@DelawareDEL	2.3% (+0.0%)	2.2% (-0.0%)
SMUSMU@Missouri StateMOST	2.3% (+0.0%)	2.0% (-0.2%)
LibertyLIB@Bowling GreenBGSU	2.2% (-0.1%)	2.3% (+0.1%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Georgia SouthernGASO	2.3% (+0.0%)	2.2% (-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX	2.1% (-0.1%)	2.2% (+0.0%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@Florida InternationalFIU	2.3% (+0.0%)	2.2% (+0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@NevadaNEV	2.3% (+0.1%)	2.2% (-0.0%)
MerrimackMRMK@Kennesaw StateKENN	2.2% (-0.1%)	2.3% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

New Mexico State

UConn

Missouri State

Liberty

Jacksonville State

UTEP

Florida International

Nevada

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

New Mexico State

Kennesaw State

CCG: 2.5% • Scenario: 21.0%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

97.2%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

96.4%

<0.1%

95.5%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

57.9%

1.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

94.7%

<0.1%

94.3%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

74.1%

<0.1%

73.7%

<0.1%

72.2%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

71.1%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

57.6%

<0.1%

55.6%

<0.1%

55.1%

0.2%

53.7%

<0.1%

53.1%

<0.1%

52.9%

<0.1%

41.9%

0.3%

41.7%

0.1%

40.5%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com