UTEPMiners

1-1 T3rd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.7%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	@Utah StateUSU	L16-28
2	9/06	vsUT MartinUTM	W42-17
3	9/13	@TexasTEX	Win prob:2%
4	9/20	vsUL MonroeULM	Win prob:51%
5	9/27	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:34%
7	10/08	vsLibertyLIB	Win prob:22%
8	10/15	vsSam HoustonSHSU(N)	Win prob:28%
9	10/28	@Kennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:37%
11	11/08	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:12%
12	11/15	@Missouri StateMOST	Win prob:28%
13	11/22	vsNew Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:56%
14	11/29	@DelawareDEL	Win prob:13%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	100.0%
6-2	0.6%	60.5%
5-3	3.4%	6.5%
4-4	12.2%	0.0%
3-5	25.5%	0%
2-6	31.4%	0%
1-7	20.9%	0%
0-8	5.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

71.7%

10.0%

10.0%

5.0%

Florida International

3.3%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
New Mexico StateNMSU@Louisiana TechLT	0.8% (+0.2%)	0.6% (-0.1%)
UConnCONN@DelawareDEL	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
SMUSMU@Missouri StateMOST	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.6% (-0.0%)
LibertyLIB@Bowling GreenBGSU	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Georgia SouthernGASO	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX	0.4% (-0.2%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@Florida InternationalFIU	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@NevadaNEV	0.6% (-0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)
MerrimackMRMK@Kennesaw StateKENN	0.7% (+0.0%)	0.7% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Delaware

Liberty

Georgia Southern

UTEP

Florida International

Middle Tennessee

Merrimack

CCG: 33.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

New Mexico State

Texas

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 22.9%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

62.6%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

76.5%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

73.7%

<0.1%

70.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

64.7%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

50.9%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

46.2%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

30.4%

<0.1%

27.8%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com