DelawareBlue Hens

1-1 T3rd (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

28.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsDelaware StateDSU	W35-17
2	9/06	@ColoradoCOLO	L7-31
3	9/13	vsUConnCONN	Win prob:64%
4	9/20	@Florida InternationalFIU	Win prob:60%
6	10/03	vsWestern KentuckyWKU	Win prob:65%
8	10/15	@Jacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:25%
9	10/22	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:87%
10	11/01	@LibertyLIB	Win prob:42%
11	11/08	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:71%
12	11/15	vsSam HoustonSHSU(N)	Win prob:64%
13	11/22	@Wake ForestWAKE	Win prob:57%
14	11/29	vsUTEPUTEP	Win prob:87%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	1.5%	100.0%
7-1	9.6%	98.3%
6-2	24.7%	60.9%
5-3	31.1%	6.4%
4-4	22.0%	0.0%
3-5	8.8%	0%
2-6	2.0%	0%
1-7	0.3%	0%
0-8	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

76.5%

8.6%

6.5%

4.5%

3.9%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
New Mexico StateNMSU@Louisiana TechLT	28.2% (+0.2%)	27.9% (-0.1%)
UConnCONN@DelawareDEL	27.9% (-0.1%)	28.0% (+0.1%)
SMUSMU@Missouri StateMOST	27.9% (-0.1%)	28.7% (+0.7%)
LibertyLIB@Bowling GreenBGSU	27.8% (-0.2%)	28.2% (+0.2%)
Jacksonville StateJXST@Georgia SouthernGASO	28.0% (+0.0%)	27.9% (-0.1%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX	28.9% (+1.0%)	28.0% (-0.0%)
Florida AtlanticFAU@Florida InternationalFIU	28.1% (+0.1%)	27.9% (-0.0%)
Middle TennesseeMTSU@NevadaNEV	27.8% (-0.2%)	28.1% (+0.1%)
MerrimackMRMK@Kennesaw StateKENN	27.7% (-0.3%)	28.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

New Mexico State

Delaware

Missouri State

Georgia Southern

UTEP

Middle Tennessee

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Bowling Green

Nevada

Kennesaw State

CCG: 28.4% • Scenario: 30.7%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

0.5%

Any 1 loss

98.7%

4.3%

100.0%

0.4%

100.0%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.6%

0.3%

99.5%

0.2%

99.3%

0.3%

99.2%

0.4%

97.8%

0.7%

97.8%

1.5%

Any 2 losses

74.0%

14.0%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

0.2%

100.0%

0.3%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.6%

0.2%

99.3%

0.1%

99.1%

0.2%

98.7%

0.5%

98.7%

0.1%

98.0%

<0.1%

98.0%

1.1%

97.7%

0.4%

97.4%

0.9%

96.7%

0.2%

94.0%

<0.1%

92.9%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

84.2%

0.3%

83.8%

0.2%

83.3%

<0.1%

81.8%

0.2%

81.4%

<0.1%

80.8%

<0.1%

80.6%

<0.1%

77.8%

0.1%

75.7%

0.9%

73.3%

1.1%

70.3%

0.1%

68.9%

<0.1%

66.5%

0.2%

66.1%

0.1%

65.7%

0.5%

64.1%

<0.1%

62.3%

0.1%

61.6%

0.4%

60.2%

0.1%

59.3%

0.1%

57.9%

0.6%

56.2%

0.3%

50.0%

0.4%

47.7%

0.9%

45.5%

2.3%

Any 3 losses

38.1%

24.6%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

99.3%

0.1%

98.8%

<0.1%

98.3%

0.3%

97.9%

0.6%

95.2%

<0.1%

94.5%

0.1%

93.3%

<0.1%

93.3%

<0.1%

93.2%

<0.1%

90.0%

<0.1%

89.7%

<0.1%

87.0%

<0.1%

85.1%

0.2%

84.9%

<0.1%

84.5%

0.1%

84.3%

0.1%

81.9%

0.1%

81.1%

0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

79.9%

0.2%

79.9%

0.6%

79.3%

<0.1%

79.2%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

74.4%

<0.1%

74.0%

0.5%

73.3%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

71.2%

0.6%

70.8%

0.1%

70.5%

0.8%

70.5%

<0.1%

69.2%

<0.1%

69.1%

<0.1%

68.8%

<0.1%

68.5%

0.3%

67.7%

0.1%

67.2%

<0.1%

66.5%

0.3%

66.4%

0.2%

66.3%

0.1%

65.7%

<0.1%

64.0%

0.4%

63.9%

<0.1%

63.2%

0.1%

62.0%

<0.1%

57.6%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

55.5%

0.4%

54.2%

0.5%

53.5%

0.2%

53.1%

<0.1%

51.8%

0.2%

50.5%

0.2%

50.2%

0.3%

46.9%

1.6%

46.2%

1.2%

42.5%

0.6%

42.3%

0.4%

29.0%

<0.1%

21.4%

<0.1%

20.9%

0.1%

18.8%

0.1%

18.5%

<0.1%

17.5%

<0.1%

15.9%

0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

13.1%

0.6%

12.7%

0.2%

12.5%

<0.1%

12.0%

<0.1%

11.5%

<0.1%

10.9%

0.1%

10.6%

<0.1%

10.3%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.6%

<0.1%

9.5%

<0.1%

8.9%

0.4%

8.8%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

8.3%

0.3%

8.1%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.1%

<0.1%

7.1%

0.1%

7.0%

0.4%

7.0%

0.2%

6.9%

1.2%

6.6%

0.6%

6.6%

<0.1%

6.6%

<0.1%

6.3%

0.3%

6.3%

<0.1%

6.0%

0.1%

5.8%

<0.1%

5.6%

0.5%

5.6%

0.2%

5.1%

1.4%

4.9%

<0.1%

4.8%

<0.1%

4.6%

0.1%

4.5%

0.3%

4.3%

<0.1%

4.2%

0.2%

3.8%

0.3%

3.7%

1.1%

3.2%

0.9%

3.1%

0.3%

2.3%

<0.1%

2.2%

0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com