Mid-American Conference Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
OhioOHIO	100%	98.1%	51.6%	1.9%	69.8%
Bowling GreenBGSU	100%	90.7%	30.0%	0.7%	31.0%
Miami (OH)M-OH	100%	97.5%	47.1%	2.4%	27.4%
Northern IllinoisNIU	100%	88.6%	25.5%	0.4%	24.2%
ToledoTOL	100%	89.3%	29.8%	0.5%	22.3%
BuffaloBUF	100%	91.8%	29.7%	0.5%	16.8%
Western MichiganWMU	100%	93.9%	38.2%	0.9%	3.3%
Central MichiganCMU	100%	80.1%	21.2%	0.2%	2.7%
AkronAKR	100%	85.9%	25.2%	0.3%	1.5%
Eastern MichiganEMU	100%	100%	58.1%	3.3%	0.9%
Ball StateBALL	-	87.5%	38.1%	0.8%	<0.1%
MassachusettsMASS	-	100%	46.7%	2.1%	<0.1%
Kent StateKENT	-	100%	42.3%	1.7%	<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
OhioOHIO(0-0)	19.4%	36.2%	28.6%	12.2%	3.2%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.5
Bowling GreenBGSU(0-0)	3.3%	19.1%	33.6%	27.5%	12.5%	3.4%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.6
Northern IllinoisNIU(0-0)	2.4%	15.3%	31.8%	30.9%	15.0%	3.9%	0.5%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.4
ToledoTOL(0-0)	2.3%	12.9%	28.0%	30.9%	18.8%	6.2%	1.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	5.3
Miami (OH)M-OH(0-0)	1.9%	11.9%	27.7%	31.4%	19.2%	6.5%	1.3%	0.1%	0.0%	5.2
BuffaloBUF(0-0)	1.3%	8.9%	24.2%	31.9%	22.5%	8.9%	2.0%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.0
Central MichiganCMU(0-0)	0.1%	1.3%	7.0%	18.9%	29.4%	26.4%	13.2%	3.4%	0.3%	3.7
Western MichiganWMU(0-0)	<0.1%	0.9%	5.8%	18.0%	29.9%	27.8%	13.6%	3.5%	0.4%	3.7
AkronAKR(0-0)	<0.1%	0.5%	3.9%	15.0%	29.6%	30.8%	16.0%	3.8%	0.4%	3.5
Eastern MichiganEMU(0-0)	0.0%	0.1%	1.1%	5.7%	16.2%	28.6%	29.1%	15.7%	3.4%	2.6
Ball StateBALL(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.8%	9.0%	26.0%	36.2%	22.4%	4.4%	2.2
MassachusettsMASS(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	1.2%	6.2%	18.9%	33.2%	30.1%	10.4%	1.8
Kent StateKENT(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.3%	2.5%	11.6%	29.3%	37.6%	18.8%	1.4

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com