Kennesaw StateOwls

1-2 T4th (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/29	@Wake ForestWAKE	L9-10
2	9/06	@IndianaIU	L9-56
3	9/13	vsMerrimackMRMK	W27-13
4	9/20	vsArkansas StateARST	Win prob:52%
5	9/27	vsMiddle TennesseeMTSU	Win prob:60%
7	10/09	vsLouisiana TechLT	Win prob:31%
8	10/21	@Florida InternationalFIU	Win prob:23%
9	10/28	vsUTEPUTEP	Win prob:54%
11	11/08	@New Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:36%
12	11/15	@Jacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:5%
13	11/22	vsMissouri StateMOST	Win prob:37%
14	11/29	@LibertyLIB	Win prob:12%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.1%	95.4%
6-2	0.9%	57.8%
5-3	5.1%	4.9%
4-4	16.3%	0%
3-5	29.3%	0%
2-6	29.8%	0%
1-7	15.3%	0%
0-8	3.3%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

81.6%

6.6%

3.9%

3.9%

3.9%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Southern MissUSM@Louisiana TechLT	0.8% (-0.0%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@LibertyLIB	0.8% (+0.0%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@Western KentuckyWKU	0.7% (-0.1%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
UL MonroeULM@UTEPUTEP	0.7% (-0.1%)	0.9% (+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Middle TennesseeMTSU	0.8% (-0.0%)	0.9% (+0.0%)
Arkansas StateARST@Kennesaw StateKENN	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.8% (-0.0%)
DelawareDEL@Florida InternationalFIU	0.7% (-0.1%)	0.9% (+0.1%)
Murray StateMUR@Jacksonville StateJXST	0.7% (-0.1%)	0.8% (+0.0%)
UT MartinUTM@Missouri StateMOST	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.8% (-0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@TexasTEX	0.9% (+0.1%)	0.8% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Nevada

UL Monroe

Delaware

Murray State

UT Martin

Sam Houston

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Florida International

Jacksonville State

CCG: 0.9% • Scenario: 39.4%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

91.1%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

95.0%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

55.4%

0.4%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

92.3%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

73.3%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.0%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

56.3%

<0.1%

52.9%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

44.4%

0.1%

43.8%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

34.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com