IndianaHoosiers

3-0 T3rd (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

11.0%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsOld DominionODU	W27-14
2	9/06	vsKennesaw StateKENN	W56-9
3	9/12	vsIndiana StateINST	W73-0
4	9/20	vsIllinoisILL	Win prob:84%
5	9/27	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:68%
7	10/11	@OregonORE	Win prob:26%
8	10/18	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:95%
9	10/25	vsUCLAUCLA	Win prob:95%
10	11/01	@MarylandMD	Win prob:84%
11	11/08	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:17%
12	11/15	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:85%
14	11/28	@PurduePUR	Win prob:95%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	1.6%	99.5%
8-1	14.2%	57.9%
7-2	36.8%	3.2%
6-3	31.6%	0%
5-4	12.8%	0%
4-5	2.7%	0%
3-6	0.3%	0%
2-7	0.0%	0%
1-8	0%	0%
0-9	0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

40.5%

26.0%

18.0%

13.4%

2.0%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
IllinoisILL@IndianaIU	2.1% (-8.9%)	12.8% (+1.8%)
WashingtonWASH@Washington StateWSU	10.8% (-0.2%)	11.2% (+0.2%)
Oregon StateORST@OregonORE	9.9% (-1.1%)	11.0% (+0.0%)
IowaIOWA@RutgersRUTG	11.1% (+0.1%)	10.8% (-0.2%)
MarylandMD@WisconsinWIS	11.5% (+0.5%)	10.8% (-0.2%)
MichiganMICH@NebraskaNEB	10.6% (-0.4%)	11.4% (+0.4%)
Michigan StateMSU@USCUSC	14.1% (+3.1%)	10.9% (-0.1%)
PurduePUR@Notre DameND	10.5% (-0.4%)	11.0% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Iowa

Maryland

Nebraska

Michigan State

Purdue

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Indiana

CCG: 12.8% • Scenario: 83.4%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.5%

1.6%

Any 1 loss

57.9%

14.2%

81.3%

0.3%

77.1%

0.8%

76.9%

<0.1%

75.6%

0.3%

74.7%

<0.1%

72.3%

<0.1%

68.9%

0.3%

58.7%

4.4%

53.1%

7.9%

Any 2 losses

3.2%

36.8%

29.4%

<0.1%

21.4%

<0.1%

20.8%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

19.1%

<0.1%

18.2%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

14.3%

<0.1%

13.0%

0.1%

12.2%

<0.1%

11.0%

0.1%

10.9%

<0.1%

10.7%

0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

9.1%

<0.1%

8.7%

<0.1%

7.6%

0.2%

7.4%

0.9%

7.1%

<0.1%

6.6%

1.4%

6.2%

0.4%

6.1%

<0.1%

5.6%

<0.1%

5.5%

0.2%

5.4%

0.2%

5.2%

1.3%

5.2%

0.4%

5.1%

0.4%

5.0%

0.8%

4.8%

3.5%

4.7%

0.9%

4.4%

2.1%

3.9%

1.6%

1.5%

21.6%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com