Middle TennesseeBlue Raiders

1-2 T4th (0-0) in CUSA

Data from 2025-09-14 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsAustin PeayAPSU	L14-34
2	9/06	@WisconsinWIS	L10-42
3	9/13	@NevadaNEV	W14-13
4	9/20	vsMarshallMRSH	Win prob:17%
5	9/27	@Kennesaw StateKENN	Win prob:40%
7	10/08	vsMissouri StateMOST	Win prob:35%
9	10/22	@DelawareDEL	Win prob:13%
10	10/29	vsJacksonville StateJXST	Win prob:9%
11	11/08	vsFlorida InternationalFIU	Win prob:33%
12	11/15	@Western KentuckyWKU	Win prob:18%
13	11/22	vsSam HoustonSHSU	Win prob:36%
14	11/29	@New Mexico StateNMSU	Win prob:34%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0%	100.0%
7-1	0.0%	96.3%
6-2	0.4%	51.1%
5-3	2.9%	4.8%
4-4	10.6%	0%
3-5	23.8%	0%
2-6	31.8%	0%
1-7	23.2%	0%
0-8	7.2%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

77.8%

8.3%

5.6%

5.6%

2.8%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Southern MissUSM@Louisiana TechLT	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
James MadisonJMU@LibertyLIB	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
NevadaNEV@Western KentuckyWKU	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
UL MonroeULM@UTEPUTEP	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
MarshallMRSH@Middle TennesseeMTSU	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.3% (-0.1%)
Arkansas StateARST@Kennesaw StateKENN	0.4% (+0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
DelawareDEL@Florida InternationalFIU	0.4% (-0.0%)	0.4% (+0.0%)
Murray StateMUR@Jacksonville StateJXST	0.4% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
UT MartinUTM@Missouri StateMOST	0.4% (+0.1%)	0.4% (-0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@TexasTEX	0.2% (-0.1%)	0.4% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

Southern Miss

James Madison

UL Monroe

Marshall

Kennesaw State

Delaware

Murray State

UT Martin

CCG: 50.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Marshall

Florida International

Texas

CCG: 0.4% • Scenario: 35.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

65.3%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

47.1%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-14 • SportsSimulate.com