Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/30 | W31-0 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W34-17 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | L17-33 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L30-56 | |
| 6 | 10/04 | Win prob:12% | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:13% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:29% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:21% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:3% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:2% | |
| 12 | 11/15 | Win prob:11% | |
| 14 | 11/28 | Win prob:4% |
Data from 2025-09-21
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 7-2 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-3 | 0% | 0% |
| 5-4 | 0.0% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 0.7% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 4.6% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 19.4% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 41.0% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 34.3% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-09-21
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Data from 2025-09-21
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-09-21