MinnesotaGolden Gophers

2-1 T7th (0-0) in B1G

Data from 2025-09-21 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsBuffaloBUF	W23-10
2	9/06	vsNorthwestern StateNWST	W66-0
3	9/13	@CaliforniaCAL	L14-27
5	9/27	vsRutgersRUTG	Win prob:58%
6	10/04	@Ohio StateOSU	Win prob:6%
7	10/11	vsPurduePUR	Win prob:88%
8	10/17	vsNebraskaNEB	Win prob:41%
9	10/25	@IowaIOWA	Win prob:26%
10	11/01	vsMichigan StateMSU	Win prob:80%
12	11/14	@OregonORE	Win prob:7%
13	11/22	vsNorthwesternNU(N)	Win prob:74%
14	11/29	vsWisconsinWIS	Win prob:58%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0.0%	85.7%
8-1	0.3%	40.6%
7-2	3.2%	0.8%
6-3	13.9%	0%
5-4	28.7%	0%
4-5	30.2%	0%
3-6	17.5%	0%
2-7	5.4%	0%
1-8	0.8%	0%
0-9	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

50.0%

21.4%

14.3%

7.1%

7.1%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
OregonORE@Penn StatePSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.1% (-0.0%)
IndianaIU@IowaIOWA	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.1%)
USCUSC@IllinoisILL	0.1% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.1%)
Ohio StateOSU@WashingtonWASH	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
UCLAUCLA@NorthwesternNU	0.1% (+0.0%)	0.1% (+0.0%)
RutgersRUTG@MinnesotaMINN	0.0% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Oregon

Iowa

USC

Washington

Northwestern

Minnesota

CCG: 1.0% • Scenario: 0.2%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Minnesota

CCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 57.7%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

85.7%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

39.4%

0.3%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

62.5%

<0.1%

57.1%

<0.1%

35.0%

0.1%

34.8%

0.1%

Any 2 losses

1.6%

1.4%

25.0%

<0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

5.6%

<0.1%

3.3%

<0.1%

2.4%

<0.1%

1.9%

0.2%

1.3%

0.3%

1.2%

0.2%

1.2%

<0.1%

1.2%

<0.1%

1.2%

<0.1%

0.6%

0.4%

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-21 • SportsSimulate.com