FloridaGators

2-3 T7th (1-1) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsLong Island UniversityLIU	W55-0
2	9/06	vsSouth FloridaUSF	L16-18
3	9/13	@LSULSU	L10-20
4	9/20	@MiamiMIA	L7-26
6	10/04	vsTexasTEX	W29-21
7	10/11	@Texas A&MTA&M	Win prob:26%
8	10/18	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:72%
10	11/01	vsGeorgiaUGA(N)	Win prob:9%
11	11/08	@KentuckyUK	Win prob:59%
12	11/15	@Ole MissMISS	Win prob:9%
13	11/22	vsTennesseeTENN	Win prob:31%
14	11/29	vsFlorida StateFSU	Win prob:67%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
7-1	0.0%	85.2%
6-2	0.7%	26.3%
5-3	6.5%	0.0%
4-4	24.2%	0%
3-5	39.1%	0%
2-6	24.5%	0%
1-7	5.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

42.1%

26.3%

15.8%

10.5%

5.3%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
South CarolinaSC@LSULSU	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TexasTEX	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@MissouriMIZ	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
ArkansasARK@TennesseeTENN	0.2% (+0.0%)	0.2% (+0.0%)
FloridaFLA@Texas A&MTA&M	0.7% (+0.5%)	0.0% (-0.2%)
GeorgiaUGA@AuburnAUB	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.1%)
Washington StateWSU@Ole MissMISS	0.2% (-0.1%)	0.2% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

South Carolina

Texas

Missouri

Tennessee

Florida

Georgia

Washington State

CCG: 3.3% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Florida

CCG: 0.7% • Scenario: 26.4%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

89.5%

<0.1%

Any 1 loss

27.7%

0.5%

75.0%

<0.1%

70.0%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

45.7%

<0.1%

32.8%

<0.1%

27.0%

0.2%

15.4%

0.2%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com