Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W38-24 | |
| 2 | 9/06 | W42-3 | |
| 3 | 9/13 | W31-15 | |
| 4 | 9/20 | L17-24 | |
| 5 | 9/27 | L10-16 | |
| 7 | 10/11 | Win prob:15% | |
| 8 | 10/18 | Win prob:43% | |
| 9 | 10/25 | Win prob:52% | |
| 10 | 11/01 | Win prob:78% | |
| 11 | 11/08 | Win prob:31% | |
| 13 | 11/22 | Win prob:90% | |
| 14 | 11/29 | Win prob:21% |
Data from 2025-10-05
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | 0.2% | 23.0% |
| 5-3 | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| 4-4 | 12.5% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 30.4% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 34.5% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 17.3% | 0% |
| 0-8 | 2.8% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2025-10-05
Most Likely CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2025-10-05
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (-0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.1% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (-0.0%) | 0.3% (+0.2%) | |
| 0.1% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
South Carolina
Oklahoma
Missouri
Arkansas
FloridaAuburnCCG: 15.4% • Scenario: 0.0%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
AuburnCCG: 0.3% • Scenario: 14.8%
Data from 2025-10-05
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Win out
22.4%
0.2%
27.3%
<0.1%Data from 2025-10-05
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2025-10-05