MissouriTigers

5-0 T1st (1-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

9.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/28	vsCentral ArkansasCARK	W61-6
2	9/06	vsKansasKU	W42-31
3	9/13	vsLouisianaUL	W52-10
4	9/20	vsSouth CarolinaSC	W29-20
5	9/27	vsMassachusettsMASS	W42-6
7	10/11	vsAlabamaALA	Win prob:33%
8	10/18	@AuburnAUB	Win prob:57%
9	10/25	@VanderbiltVAN	Win prob:45%
11	11/08	vsTexas A&MTA&M	Win prob:62%
12	11/15	vsMississippi StateMSST	Win prob:86%
13	11/22	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:47%
14	11/29	@ArkansasARK	Win prob:66%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	1.4%	100.0%
7-1	9.2%	70.1%
6-2	23.4%	6.6%
5-3	31.1%	0%
4-4	23.3%	0%
3-5	9.6%	0%
2-6	1.9%	0%
1-7	0.1%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

36.3%

34.0%

19.8%

7.1%

2.8%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
South CarolinaSC@LSULSU	9.8% (+0.4%)	9.2% (-0.2%)
OklahomaOU@TexasTEX	10.8% (+1.4%)	9.0% (-0.4%)
AlabamaALA@MissouriMIZ	3.3% (-6.1%)	21.5% (+12.1%)
ArkansasARK@TennesseeTENN	10.4% (+1.0%)	9.2% (-0.2%)
FloridaFLA@Texas A&MTA&M	9.0% (-0.3%)	9.5% (+0.1%)
GeorgiaUGA@AuburnAUB	8.9% (-0.4%)	12.0% (+2.6%)
Washington StateWSU@Ole MissMISS	8.8% (-0.6%)	9.4% (+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for

South Carolina

Missouri

Arkansas

Florida

Auburn

Washington State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Missouri

CCG: 21.5% • Scenario: 33.4%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

100.0%

1.4%

Any 1 loss

70.1%

9.2%

84.8%

1.1%

81.9%

1.7%

76.5%

0.9%

67.1%

1.6%

67.1%

0.7%

59.1%

0.3%

58.9%

2.9%

Any 2 losses

6.6%

23.4%

12.3%

0.6%

12.1%

1.4%

10.0%

1.0%

9.6%

1.2%

9.4%

0.9%

9.4%

1.9%

9.3%

0.6%

8.9%

0.2%

8.8%

0.3%

8.7%

0.8%

8.3%

0.3%

8.0%

0.1%

7.9%

0.1%

7.0%

0.5%

6.6%

0.9%

6.2%

2.2%

4.0%

3.5%

3.8%

1.8%

3.8%

1.5%

3.3%

3.2%

2.8%

0.5%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com