Ole MissRebels

5-0 T1st (3-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-10-05 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

50.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsGeorgia StateGAST	W63-7
2	9/06	@KentuckyUK	W30-23
3	9/13	vsArkansasARK	W41-35
4	9/20	vsTulaneTULN	W45-10
5	9/27	vsLSULSU	W24-19
7	10/11	vsWashington StateWSU	Win prob:98%
8	10/18	@GeorgiaUGA	Win prob:35%
9	10/25	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:73%
10	11/01	vsSouth CarolinaSC	Win prob:88%
11	11/08	vsThe CitadelCIT	Win prob:90%
12	11/15	vsFloridaFLA	Win prob:91%
14	11/28	@Mississippi StateMSST	Win prob:91%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	18.7%	99.9%
7-1	47.6%	63.4%
6-2	27.4%	6.3%
5-3	5.9%	0%
4-4	0.5%	0%
3-5	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

61.5%

17.7%

8.7%

7.1%

5.0%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
South CarolinaSC@LSULSU	50.6% (+0.0%)	50.5% (-0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TexasTEX	54.1% (+3.5%)	49.6% (-1.0%)
AlabamaALA@MissouriMIZ	48.2% (-2.4%)	55.3% (+4.8%)
ArkansasARK@TennesseeTENN	52.4% (+1.9%)	50.1% (-0.4%)
FloridaFLA@Texas A&MTA&M	52.0% (+1.5%)	50.0% (-0.5%)
GeorgiaUGA@AuburnAUB	48.6% (-1.9%)	61.8% (+11.2%)
Washington StateWSU@Ole MissMISS	53.6% (+3.0%)	50.5% (-0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for

Oklahoma

Missouri

Arkansas

Auburn

Washington State

CCG: 100.0% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for

Auburn

CCG: 61.8% • Scenario: 14.8%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

99.9%

16.4%

Any 1 loss

65.1%

44.1%

100.0%

1.8%

99.7%

0.4%

89.8%

2.1%

89.1%

1.7%

86.1%

1.6%

82.6%

5.7%

55.3%

30.8%

Any 2 losses

17.2%

29.8%

100.0%

<0.1%

93.1%

<0.1%

91.5%

0.2%

91.2%

0.2%

90.0%

<0.1%

87.5%

<0.1%

85.3%

0.2%

83.3%

0.1%

82.9%

0.7%

59.7%

0.6%

55.2%

3.4%

25.9%

0.8%

24.0%

0.2%

23.9%

0.2%

19.6%

0.2%

16.7%

0.6%

11.9%

0.6%

6.2%

4.1%

5.2%

3.1%

4.1%

3.0%

4.0%

11.4%

Any 3 losses

8.9%

3.3%

85.7%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

80.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

49.4%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

34.5%

<0.1%

30.6%

<0.1%

26.7%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

23.2%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

18.7%

<0.1%

8.8%

<0.1%

8.5%

<0.1%

7.7%

<0.1%

7.5%

<0.1%

6.8%

0.4%

4.6%

0.4%

3.9%

1.2%

3.8%

0.2%

3.3%

0.4%

Any 4 losses

8.3%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-10-05 • SportsSimulate.com