SEC Tiebreaker Scenarios

Scenarios where tiebreakers determine conference championship game participants

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50 of 89 scenarios

Scenario	CCG Matchup	Probability
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	AlabamaALAOle MissMISS	3.3%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA KentuckyUK	AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA	3.1%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS	LSULSUOle MissMISS	3.0%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 KentuckyUK LSULSU	GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK	2.7%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 57.0% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 31.3% GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK 11.7%	2.1%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK LSULSU	GeorgiaUGALSULSU	1.8%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 61.4% AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 24.0% AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 6.1%	1.7%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGATexasTEX	1.6%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGATexasTEX	1.5%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK LSULSU Ole MissMISS	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGALSULSU 78.7% LSULSUOle MissMISS 17.9% KentuckyUKOle MissMISS 2.6%	1.5%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 52.3% GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK 47.7%	1.4%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 KentuckyUK TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK	1.4%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 46.6% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 41.5% AlabamaALATexasTEX 11.8%	1.1%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK	1.0%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA TennesseeTENN	GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN	0.9%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 47.5% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 30.3% AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 16.0%	0.9%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	Ole MissMISSTennesseeTENN	0.8%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA KentuckyUK TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK 55.8% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 44.2%	0.8%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK 52.9% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 47.1%	0.8%
7-2 AlabamaALA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 51.0% KentuckyUKOle MissMISS 33.4% AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 15.6%	0.7%
7-2 KentuckyUK LSULSU Ole MissMISS	KentuckyUKOle MissMISS	0.6%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN	GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN	0.6%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 61.3% AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 21.1% AlabamaALATexasTEX 6.6%	0.6%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA	GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK	0.5%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 72.8% Ole MissMISSTennesseeTENN 24.3% AlabamaALATennesseeTENN 2.9%	0.5%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 38.1% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 30.9% Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 14.7%	0.4%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 KentuckyUK TennesseeTENN	GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN	0.4%
7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 83.2% AlabamaALATexasTEX 12.4% AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 4.3%	0.4%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGATexasTEX	0.4%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK 59.5% KentuckyUKLSULSU 40.5%	0.4%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	KentuckyUKOle MissMISS	0.4%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS	KentuckyUKOle MissMISS	0.4%
7-2 KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain KentuckyUKOle MissMISS 54.6% KentuckyUKTexasTEX 45.4%	0.3%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 GeorgiaUGA LSULSU Ole MissMISS	KentuckyUKOle MissMISS	0.3%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN 98.5% KentuckyUKTennesseeTENN 1.5%	0.3%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 52.4% TennesseeTENNTexasTEX 40.1% GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN 7.4%	0.3%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA KentuckyUK TennesseeTENN	GeorgiaUGATennesseeTENN	0.2%
8-1 GeorgiaUGA 7-2 AlabamaALA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 72.8% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 27.1%	0.2%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 GeorgiaUGA TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK	0.2%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain KentuckyUKOle MissMISS 47.3% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 27.8% KentuckyUKTennesseeTENN 13.2%	0.2%
7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 91.8% GeorgiaUGAOle MissMISS 6.1% Ole MissMISSTennesseeTENN 2.1%	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 33.9% KentuckyUKOle MissMISS 26.3% Ole MissMISSTexasTEX 14.0%	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 55.7% Ole MissMISSTennesseeTENN 23.7% AlabamaALATennesseeTENN 20.5%	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 54.6% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 41.0% GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK 4.4%	0.2%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 AlabamaALA Ole MissMISS	KentuckyUKOle MissMISS	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA MissouriMIZ	CCG participants not 100% certain GeorgiaUGAMissouriMIZ 73.6% AlabamaALAMissouriMIZ 24.3% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 2.1%	0.2%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA TennesseeTENN TexasTEX	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALATexasTEX 35.6% GeorgiaUGATexasTEX 27.7% AlabamaALAGeorgiaUGA 20.2%	0.2%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 GeorgiaUGA Ole MissMISS TexasTEX	GeorgiaUGAKentuckyUK	0.2%
8-1 KentuckyUK 7-2 LSULSU Ole MissMISS	KentuckyUKOle MissMISS	0.1%
7-2 AlabamaALA GeorgiaUGA KentuckyUK Ole MissMISS TennesseeTENN	CCG participants not 100% certain AlabamaALAKentuckyUK 74.5% AlabamaALATennesseeTENN 14.8% AlabamaALAOle MissMISS 6.5%	0.1%

How SEC Tiebreakers Work

See the full SEC tiebreaker procedure step-by-step, what this simulation can and can't evaluate, and a link to the conference's official policy, on the Tiebreaker Rules page.