MissouriTigers
6-2 T5th (3-2) in SEC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
2.4%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Missouri's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?
Missouri has a 2.4% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Missouri's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What does Missouri need to do to reach the SEC Championship Game?
A perfect run to the end of the season puts Missouri's SEC Championship Game odds at 97.3%; even one more loss drops that to 7.6%.
What is the biggest game this week for Missouri's SEC Championship Game odds?
Missouri's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Texas would put its SEC Championship Game odds at 7.9%, while a loss would drop them to 0.4%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/03 | W54-14 | |
| 2 | 9/11 | W38-21 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W27-17 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L24-31 | |
| 5 | 10/03 | W45-17 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W27-6 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | L3-31 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W34-10 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:27% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:12% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:62% | |
| 13 | 11/28 | Win prob:65% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 1.3% | 97.3% |
| 6-3 | 14.6% | 7.6% |
| 5-4 | 41.4% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 34.1% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 8.6% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 0.4% (-2.0%) | 7.9% (+5.5%) | ||
| 3.3% (+0.9%) | 2.2% (-0.2%) | ||
| 2.8% (+0.4%) | 2.1% (-0.3%) | ||
| 1.7% (-0.7%) | 2.9% (+0.5%) | ||
| 1.8% (-0.5%) | 2.5% (+0.1%) | ||
| 2.3% (-0.1%) | 2.5% (+0.1%) | ||
| 2.5% (+0.1%) | 2.2% (-0.2%) | ||
| 2.4% (+0.0%) | 2.4% (+0.0%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
Mississippi State
Georgia
Tennessee
Florida
Arkansas
LSUMissouri
Texas A&MCCG: 21.1% • Scenario: 0.2%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
MissouriCCG: 8.0% • Scenario: 26.9%
Data from 2026-11-02
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
CCG Probability
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02