Ole MissRebels
6-2 T3rd (4-2) in SEC
Data from 2026-11-02
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
25.1%
Based on 1,000,000 simulations
What is Ole Miss's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?
Ole Miss has a 25.1% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Ole Miss's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
What does Ole Miss need to do to reach the SEC Championship Game?
A perfect run to the end of the season puts Ole Miss's SEC Championship Game odds at 78.0%; even one more loss drops that to 8.6%.
What is the biggest game this week for Ole Miss's SEC Championship Game odds?
Ole Miss's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Georgia would put its SEC Championship Game odds at 52.8%, while a loss would drop them to 2.3%.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9/06 | W41-38 | |
| 2 | 9/12 | W41-9 | |
| 3 | 9/19 | W32-24 | |
| 4 | 9/26 | L28-52 | |
| 6 | 10/10 | W52-17 | |
| 7 | 10/17 | W31-3 | |
| 8 | 10/24 | L27-34 | |
| 9 | 10/31 | W45-15 | |
| 10 | 11/07 | Win prob:45% | |
| 11 | 11/14 | Win prob:72% | |
| 12 | 11/21 | Win prob:90% | |
| 13 | 11/27 | Win prob:91% |
Data from 2026-11-02
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | 29.6% | 77.9% |
| 6-3 | 50.3% | 4.0% |
| 5-4 | 18.7% | 0% |
| 4-5 | 1.4% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-11-02
Possible CCG Opponents
if makes the CCG
Data from 2026-11-02
This Week's Impact
| Time | Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway Wins | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome Wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 7Saturday, November 7 | |||
| 23.8% (-1.4%) | 28.8% (+3.7%) | ||
| 23.8% (-1.3%) | 25.4% (+0.3%) | ||
| 24.9% (-0.3%) | 25.3% (+0.2%) | ||
| 24.4% (-0.7%) | 25.6% (+0.5%) | ||
| 25.4% (+0.3%) | 25.1% (-0.1%) | ||
| 24.5% (-0.6%) | 25.4% (+0.3%) | ||
| 2.3% (-22.8%) | 52.8% (+27.6%) | ||
| 26.5% (+1.4%) | 24.4% (-0.8%) | ||
Best Winner Combination for
VanderbiltOle Miss
Kentucky
Oklahoma
Auburn
LSU
Missouri
South CarolinaCCG: 66.1% • Scenario: 0.1%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Ole MissCCG: 52.7% • Scenario: 45.2%
Data from 2026-11-02
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
CCG Probability
Data from 2026-11-02
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2026-11-02