Georgia

GeorgiaBulldogs

7-1 T1st (5-1) in SEC

Data from 2026-11-02

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

71.2%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Georgia's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Georgia has a 71.2% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of latest of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

What does Georgia need to do to reach the SEC Championship Game?

A perfect run to the end of the season puts Georgia's SEC Championship Game odds at 100%; even one more loss drops that to 71.7%.

What is the biggest game this week for Georgia's SEC Championship Game odds?

Georgia's biggest swing game this week is its own: beating Ole Miss would put its SEC Championship Game odds at 94.5%, while a loss would drop them to 43.1%.

GeorgiaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsTennessee StateTNST
W63-3
29/12
vsWKUWKU
W70-20
39/19
@ArkansasARK
W45-17
49/26
vsOklahomaOU
W41-13
510/03
vsVanderbiltVAN
W38-14
610/10
@AlabamaALA
W20-17
710/17
vsAuburnAUB
L24-27
910/31
vsFloridaFLA(N)
W27-8
1011/07
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:55%
1111/14
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:88%
1211/21
@South CarolinaSC
Win prob:78%
1311/28
vsGeorgia TechGT
Win prob:99%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-1
37.7%
100.0%
7-2
46.8%
71.5%
6-3
14.4%
1.0%
5-4
1.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Georgia CCG Opponents

if Georgia makes the CCG

ALAAlabama
24.6%
UKKentucky
22.0%
LSULSU
19.8%
TEXTexas
13.8%
MISSMississippi
8.0%
TENNTennessee
7.2%
FLAFlorida
2.6%
MIZMissouri
1.6%
OUOklahoma
0.2%
SCSouth Carolina
0.2%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaThis Week's Impact

Game
GeorgiaCCG OddsAway Wins
GeorgiaCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Nov 7
TexasTEX@MissouriMIZ
71.5%
(+0.3%)		70.6%
(-0.7%)
ArkansasARK@AuburnAUB
71.1%
(-0.2%)		71.3%
(+0.0%)
Texas A&MTA&M@South CarolinaSC
70.9%
(-0.4%)		71.5%
(+0.3%)
AlabamaALA@LSULSU
65.3%
(-5.9%)		75.4%
(+4.1%)
VanderbiltVAN@Mississippi StMSST
71.2%
(-0.1%)		71.3%
(+0.0%)
KentuckyUK@TennesseeTENN
71.0%
(-0.3%)		71.4%
(+0.1%)
GeorgiaUGA@MississippiMISS
94.5%
(+23.2%)		43.1%
(-28.1%)
OklahomaOU@FloridaFLA
71.2%
(-0.0%)		71.3%
(+0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for Georgia

VanderbiltVanderbiltGeorgiaGeorgiaTennesseeTennesseeOklahomaOklahomaArkansasArkansasLSULSUMissouriMissouriSouth CarolinaSouth Carolina

CCG: 97.7% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Georgia

GeorgiaGeorgia

CCG: 94.5% • Scenario: 54.8%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Georgia CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
37.3%
Any 1 loss
71.7%
46.7%
Georgia Tech
100.0%
0.4%
Missouri
92.3%
5.3%
South Carolina
88.3%
10.3%
Mississippi
62.3%
30.8%
Any 2 losses
4.3%
10.3%
Georgia TechMissouri
92.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechSouth Carolina
88.7%
0.1%
Georgia TechMississippi
62.0%
0.3%
MissouriSouth Carolina
1.7%
1.4%
MississippiSouth Carolina
1.1%
8.5%
Any 3 losses
1.5%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiSouth Carolina
1.5%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMissouriSouth Carolina
1.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%PreseasonWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com