Georgia

GeorgiaBulldogs

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-09-17

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

53.8%

Based on 1,000,000 simulations

What is Georgia's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Georgia has a 53.8% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 3 of the 2026 season, based on a 1,000,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

GeorgiaSchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
19/05
vsTennessee StateTNST
W63-3
29/12
vsWKUWKU
W70-20
39/19
@ArkansasARK
Win prob:98%
49/26
vsOklahomaOU
Win prob:83%
510/03
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:97%
610/10
@AlabamaALA
Win prob:53%
710/17
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:89%
910/31
vsFloridaFLA(N)
Win prob:81%
1011/07
@MississippiMISS
Win prob:76%
1111/14
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:92%
1211/21
@South CarolinaSC
Win prob:78%
1311/28
vsGeorgia TechGT
Win prob:99%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
16.4%
100.0%
8-1
36.0%
83.2%
7-2
30.3%
24.2%
6-3
13.3%
0.5%
5-4
3.3%
0%
4-5
0.5%
0%
3-6
0.1%
0%
2-7
0%
0%
1-8
0%
0%
0-9
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

Possible Georgia CCG Opponents

if Georgia makes the CCG

TEXTexas
56.5%
ALAAlabama
13.5%
LSULSU
12.0%
TA&MTexas A&M
10.0%
TENNTennessee
3.2%
OUOklahoma
1.7%
FLAFlorida
1.0%
MISSMississippi
0.7%
SCSouth Carolina
0.7%
AUBAuburn
0.4%
MIZMissouri
0.2%
MSSTMississippi St
0.1%
VANVanderbilt
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaThis Week's Impact

Game
GeorgiaCCG OddsAway Wins
GeorgiaCCG OddsHome Wins
Sat, Sep 19
GeorgiaUGA@ArkansasARK
54.3%
(+0.4%)		26.3%
(-27.5%)
NC StateNCSU@VanderbiltVAN
53.8%
(-0.0%)		53.8%
(+0.0%)
Florida StFSU@AlabamaALA
53.9%
(+0.1%)		53.8%
(-0.0%)
KentuckyUK@Texas A&MTA&M
56.9%
(+3.1%)		53.7%
(-0.1%)
Mississippi StMSST@South CarolinaSC
53.3%
(-0.6%)		54.1%
(+0.3%)
FloridaFLA@AuburnAUB
53.5%
(-0.4%)		54.2%
(+0.3%)
TroyTROY@MissouriMIZ
53.6%
(-0.3%)		53.8%
(+0.0%)
LSULSU@MississippiMISS
51.7%
(-2.1%)		57.8%
(+4.0%)
New MexicoUNM@OklahomaOU
53.8%
(-0.0%)		53.8%
(+0.0%)
KennesawKENN@TennesseeTENN
54.2%
(+0.4%)		53.8%
(+0.0%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@TexasTEX
53.7%
(-0.2%)		53.8%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Georgia CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
16.2%
Any 1 loss
83.3%
35.8%
Georgia Tech
100.0%
0.2%
Vanderbilt
91.5%
0.5%
South Carolina
89.8%
4.5%
Missouri
89.4%
1.5%
Auburn
89.3%
1.9%
Florida
88.2%
3.9%
Arkansas
87.9%
0.3%
Mississippi
87.8%
5.1%
Oklahoma
87.2%
3.4%
Alabama
75.5%
14.6%
Any 2 losses
25.0%
30.4%
Georgia TechSouth Carolina
92.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechOklahoma
90.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia Tech
90.3%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia Tech
89.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia Tech
89.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippi
89.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechVanderbilt
87.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMissouri
85.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia Tech
76.6%
0.2%
ArkansasVanderbilt
50.9%
<0.1%
MissouriVanderbilt
49.1%
<0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbilt
48.0%
0.1%
FloridaVanderbilt
46.4%
0.1%
MississippiVanderbilt
44.2%
0.2%
AuburnVanderbilt
44.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasFlorida
42.2%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburn
40.7%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth Carolina
40.4%
0.4%
AuburnSouth Carolina
40.2%
0.5%
ArkansasSouth Carolina
40.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouri
39.9%
0.2%
MississippiMissouri
39.3%
0.4%
FloridaMissouri
39.0%
0.3%
ArkansasMissouri
38.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
38.4%
0.1%
AuburnMississippi
37.7%
0.6%
MississippiSouth Carolina
37.4%
1.4%
ArkansasMississippi
37.4%
<0.1%
AuburnFlorida
37.4%
0.4%
FloridaSouth Carolina
37.0%
1.1%
FloridaMississippi
36.9%
1.2%
MissouriOklahoma
35.1%
0.3%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
33.1%
0.9%
AuburnOklahoma
32.6%
0.4%
FloridaOklahoma
32.6%
0.8%
ArkansasOklahoma
32.2%
<0.1%
MississippiOklahoma
30.7%
1.1%
AlabamaVanderbilt
22.3%
0.5%
AlabamaArkansas
19.4%
0.2%
AlabamaSouth Carolina
18.7%
4.1%
AlabamaAuburn
18.6%
1.7%
AlabamaMissouri
17.7%
1.3%
AlabamaFlorida
16.6%
3.5%
AlabamaMississippi
16.1%
4.5%
AlabamaOklahoma
13.7%
3.1%
Any 3 losses
2.0%
5.3%
ArkansasAuburnGeorgia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia TechVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia TechMissouri
75.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia TechSouth Carolina
66.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia TechMissouri
58.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMissouriSouth Carolina
54.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
52.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaGeorgia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia TechSouth Carolina
44.4%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechVanderbilt
43.8%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaGeorgia Tech
41.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiSouth Carolina
40.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechOklahomaVanderbilt
40.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMissouriVanderbilt
40.0%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechMissouri
37.5%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiMissouri
37.1%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechSouth Carolina
36.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMissouriOklahoma
36.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia TechMississippi
33.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechMississippi
32.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechOklahomaSouth Carolina
31.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia TechOklahoma
31.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechVanderbilt
30.8%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiOklahoma
29.6%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechOklahoma
24.2%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiVanderbilt
23.1%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia TechMississippi
21.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnGeorgia Tech
18.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechSouth Carolina
18.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgia TechOklahoma
16.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgia TechVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaGeorgia Tech
16.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechOklahoma
15.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechMississippi
14.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasGeorgia Tech
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechMissouri
13.8%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiVanderbilt
4.8%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaMississippi
4.4%
<0.1%
MississippiMissouriVanderbilt
4.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
4.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaMissouri
3.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaVanderbilt
3.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasMissouriSouth Carolina
3.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnMississippi
2.9%
<0.1%
FloridaMissouriVanderbilt
2.5%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
2.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiMissouri
2.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiVanderbilt
2.1%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriVanderbilt
2.0%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaMissouri
1.9%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriSouth Carolina
1.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiSouth Carolina
1.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaOklahoma
1.7%
<0.1%
MississippiMissouriOklahoma
1.6%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
1.5%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiMissouri
1.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasMississippiOklahoma
1.4%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaSouth Carolina
1.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
1.3%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiMissouri
1.3%
0.1%
FloridaMissouriSouth Carolina
1.2%
0.1%
AlabamaArkansasMississippi
1.2%
<0.1%
MississippiOklahomaVanderbilt
1.2%
<0.1%
FloridaMissouriOklahoma
1.1%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiOklahoma
1.1%
0.2%
FloridaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
1.1%
<0.1%
ArkansasAuburnSouth Carolina
1.1%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaVanderbilt
1.1%
<0.1%
MississippiMissouriSouth Carolina
1.1%
0.1%
AlabamaArkansasFlorida
1.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaMississippi
1.0%
0.1%
AlabamaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
1.0%
0.1%
MississippiSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
0.9%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Carolina
0.9%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasMissouri
0.9%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaOklahoma
0.9%
0.1%
AuburnMissouriOklahoma
0.8%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippiSouth Carolina
0.8%
0.3%
AlabamaFloridaVanderbilt
0.8%
0.1%
AlabamaMississippiVanderbilt
0.8%
0.1%
AuburnOklahomaVanderbilt
0.8%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiSouth Carolina
0.8%
0.2%
AuburnFloridaVanderbilt
0.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMississippiOklahoma
0.7%
0.1%
ArkansasOklahomaSouth Carolina
0.7%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaSouth Carolina
0.7%
0.2%
AuburnFloridaSouth Carolina
0.7%
0.1%
AlabamaMissouriSouth Carolina
0.6%
0.3%
AlabamaMissouriOklahoma
0.6%
0.3%
AlabamaArkansasOklahoma
0.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasSouth Carolina
0.6%
<0.1%
AuburnOklahomaSouth Carolina
0.6%
0.1%
AlabamaAuburnSouth Carolina
0.6%
0.5%
AlabamaAuburnMissouri
0.5%
0.1%
AlabamaAuburnVanderbilt
0.5%
<0.1%
MississippiOklahomaSouth Carolina
0.5%
0.3%
Any 4 losses
1.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaGeorgia TechVanderbilt
10.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiMissouriOklahoma
9.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiMissouriSouth Carolina
7.1%
<0.1%
AuburnFloridaGeorgia TechMississippi
6.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechMississippiSouth Carolina
4.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechMississippiMissouri
4.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMississippiOklahomaSouth Carolina
4.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgia TechMississippiOklahoma
3.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechMissouriSouth Carolina
3.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaAuburnGeorgia TechSouth Carolina
1.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgia TechOklahomaSouth Carolina
1.0%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com

GeorgiaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1 (8/4)Week 1 (8/31)Week 3 (9/8)Week 3 (9/13)

Data from 2026-09-17 • SportsSimulate.com