GeorgiaBulldogs
0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC
Data from 2026-08-26
Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
47.5%
Based on 100,000 simulations
What is Georgia's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?
Georgia has a 47.5% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Georgia's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.
Schedule & Results
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/05 | Win prob:90% | ||
| 9/12 | Win prob:97% | ||
| 9/19 | Win prob:85% | ||
| 9/26 | Win prob:71% | ||
| 10/03 | Win prob:86% | ||
| 10/10 | Win prob:55% | ||
| 10/17 | Win prob:82% | ||
| 10/31 | Win prob:75% | ||
| 11/07 | Win prob:64% | ||
| 11/14 | Win prob:81% | ||
| 11/21 | Win prob:73% | ||
| 11/28 | Win prob:91% |
Data from 2026-08-26
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 9-0 | 6.7% | 100.0% |
| 8-1 | 22.4% | 96.3% |
| 7-2 | 30.4% | 57.6% |
| 6-3 | 24.2% | 7.0% |
| 5-4 | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| 4-5 | 3.8% | 0% |
| 3-6 | 0.8% | 0% |
| 2-7 | 0.1% | 0% |
| 1-8 | 0% | 0% |
| 0-9 | 0% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2026-08-26
Most Likely
CCG Opponents
if
makes the CCG
Data from 2026-08-26
This Week's Impact
| Game |
|---|
Data from 2026-08-26
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
5.3%Any 1 loss
96.5%
19.1%100.0%
0.5%100.0%
0.6%100.0%
0.1%98.5%
0.9%98.1%
2.0%97.2%
1.3%97.1%
1.3%97.0%
1.8%96.7%
0.9%95.8%
3.0%95.8%
2.2%94.8%
4.5%Any 2 losses
63.1%
28.7%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%98.4%
0.1%98.0%
0.2%97.9%
0.1%97.9%
0.2%97.7%
0.2%97.6%
0.2%97.4%
<0.1%97.2%
0.1%97.1%
<0.1%96.8%
<0.1%96.7%
0.1%96.7%
0.2%96.6%
0.3%96.4%
0.1%96.4%
<0.1%96.3%
<0.1%96.1%
0.4%96.1%
0.1%96.1%
0.2%95.9%
0.1%95.8%
<0.1%95.1%
0.1%94.4%
0.4%93.8%
0.5%74.7%
0.1%74.1%
0.4%72.8%
0.3%70.9%
0.2%70.6%
0.4%70.5%
0.2%70.2%
0.4%68.9%
0.5%68.7%
0.7%68.3%
0.3%65.8%
0.4%65.2%
1.1%64.4%
0.2%64.3%
0.4%64.0%
0.2%63.9%
0.4%63.0%
0.3%61.8%
0.5%61.5%
1.0%61.3%
0.5%60.6%
0.5%60.2%
0.3%59.9%
0.4%58.6%
0.7%58.6%
0.7%57.7%
0.7%56.8%
0.7%56.6%
0.8%54.3%
0.7%52.8%
1.5%52.6%
1.0%52.2%
1.0%51.8%
1.6%50.7%
1.2%47.3%
2.5%43.9%
1.7%Any 3 losses
20.1%
25.3%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%96.0%
<0.1%94.6%
<0.1%94.4%
<0.1%93.8%
<0.1%92.9%
<0.1%92.3%
<0.1%90.5%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%88.9%
<0.1%86.7%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%85.2%
<0.1%82.6%
<0.1%82.1%
<0.1%82.1%
<0.1%81.8%
<0.1%80.8%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%77.8%
<0.1%75.8%
<0.1%75.7%
<0.1%75.7%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%74.3%
<0.1%73.3%
<0.1%73.0%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%72.7%
<0.1%72.3%
<0.1%72.2%
<0.1%72.1%
0.1%71.7%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%71.4%
<0.1%70.6%
<0.1%70.4%
<0.1%70.2%
<0.1%70.0%
<0.1%69.6%
<0.1%69.2%
<0.1%69.0%
<0.1%68.4%
<0.1%68.0%
<0.1%67.9%
<0.1%67.8%
<0.1%67.4%
<0.1%67.3%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%65.4%
<0.1%65.3%
<0.1%63.6%
<0.1%63.6%
0.1%63.2%
<0.1%62.9%
<0.1%62.2%
<0.1%61.9%
<0.1%61.9%
<0.1%61.5%
<0.1%61.5%
<0.1%60.9%
<0.1%60.7%
<0.1%60.5%
<0.1%60.3%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%58.9%
0.2%58.3%
0.1%58.1%
0.2%57.9%
0.1%57.6%
<0.1%57.3%
<0.1%56.9%
<0.1%56.6%
<0.1%56.4%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%55.6%
0.1%55.0%
<0.1%54.6%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%54.3%
<0.1%54.3%
0.1%52.9%
<0.1%52.0%
<0.1%51.7%
<0.1%51.5%
<0.1%51.2%
<0.1%51.1%
<0.1%51.0%
0.2%50.0%
0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%49.3%
0.1%49.2%
0.1%49.1%
0.3%48.9%
<0.1%48.4%
<0.1%47.5%
0.1%46.7%
<0.1%45.6%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%41.9%
<0.1%41.5%
0.2%38.0%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%16.4%
0.2%15.9%
0.1%15.4%
<0.1%15.1%
<0.1%14.7%
0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.3%
0.3%13.2%
<0.1%13.1%
<0.1%12.9%
0.1%12.8%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.5%
0.3%11.5%
0.1%11.4%
0.2%11.3%
0.2%11.1%
<0.1%11.0%
0.2%10.8%
0.1%10.6%
0.1%10.6%
0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.3%
<0.1%10.2%
0.2%10.2%
<0.1%10.2%
0.3%10.2%
0.1%10.1%
0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.7%
<0.1%9.3%
0.1%9.1%
0.1%8.7%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%8.6%
<0.1%8.6%
0.1%8.4%
<0.1%8.4%
0.4%8.2%
0.3%8.1%
0.2%8.1%
0.2%8.1%
0.1%7.9%
0.6%7.8%
0.4%7.5%
0.6%7.2%
0.4%7.2%
0.2%6.9%
0.4%6.9%
<0.1%6.9%
0.3%6.8%
0.3%6.8%
0.1%6.7%
0.3%6.6%
0.3%6.6%
0.4%6.5%
0.2%6.3%
0.2%6.3%
0.3%6.3%
0.2%6.2%
0.2%6.1%
0.9%6.0%
0.2%6.0%
0.5%6.0%
<0.1%5.8%
0.4%5.8%
0.2%5.7%
0.2%5.2%
0.5%5.2%
0.3%5.0%
0.4%4.6%
0.6%4.6%
0.3%4.5%
0.3%4.5%
0.5%4.4%
0.8%4.3%
0.2%4.3%
0.4%4.1%
0.4%4.1%
1.0%3.3%
0.1%3.3%
0.1%3.2%
0.2%Any 4 losses
11.7%
4.0%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%85.7%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%83.3%
<0.1%80.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%75.0%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%66.7%
<0.1%60.0%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%55.6%
<0.1%54.5%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%50.0%
<0.1%47.6%
<0.1%47.1%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%42.9%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%40.0%
<0.1%38.5%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%33.3%
<0.1%31.6%
<0.1%28.6%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%25.0%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%22.2%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%20.0%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%18.2%
<0.1%17.6%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%16.7%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%15.4%
<0.1%15.0%
<0.1%14.6%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%14.3%
<0.1%13.3%
<0.1%13.0%
<0.1%13.0%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%12.5%
<0.1%11.8%
<0.1%11.6%
<0.1%11.5%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%11.1%
<0.1%10.7%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.5%
<0.1%10.3%
<0.1%10.3%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%10.0%
<0.1%9.7%
<0.1%9.5%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%9.1%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%8.7%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.3%
<0.1%8.0%
<0.1%8.0%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%7.7%
<0.1%7.5%
<0.1%7.3%
<0.1%7.2%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.1%
<0.1%7.0%
<0.1%6.9%
<0.1%6.9%
<0.1%6.7%
<0.1%6.4%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.3%
<0.1%6.0%
0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.9%
<0.1%5.8%
<0.1%5.6%
<0.1%5.6%
<0.1%5.6%
<0.1%5.4%
<0.1%5.4%
<0.1%5.4%
<0.1%5.3%
<0.1%5.3%
<0.1%5.0%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.8%
<0.1%4.7%
<0.1%4.5%
<0.1%4.2%
<0.1%4.0%
<0.1%3.9%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.7%
<0.1%3.5%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%3.3%
<0.1%3.2%
<0.1%3.2%
<0.1%3.0%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.7%
<0.1%2.3%
<0.1%1.9%
<0.1%1.8%
0.1%1.8%
0.1%1.3%
<0.1%Data from 2026-08-26