Kentucky

KentuckyWildcats

0-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2026-08-26

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

What is Kentucky's probability of making the SEC Championship Game?

Kentucky has a 0.2% chance to reach the SEC Championship Game, as of week 1 of the 2026 season, based on a 100,000-season Monte Carlo simulation. Kentucky's SEC Championship Game race is still mathematically wide open.

KentuckySchedule & Results

WkDateOpponentResult
9/05
vsYoungstown StateYSU
Win prob:90%
9/12
vsAlabamaALA
Win prob:24%
9/19
@Texas A&MTA&M
Win prob:16%
9/26
vsSouth AlabamaUSA
Win prob:86%
10/03
@South CarolinaSC
Win prob:30%
10/10
vsLSULSU
Win prob:24%
10/17
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:19%
10/24
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:47%
11/07
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:24%
11/14
vsFloridaFLA
Win prob:37%
11/21
@MissouriMIZ
Win prob:29%
11/28
vsLouisvilleLOU
Win prob:46%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.0%
89.5%
7-2
0.2%
61.1%
6-3
1.3%
6.8%
5-4
5.3%
0%
4-5
14.8%
0%
3-6
26.1%
0%
2-7
29.1%
0%
1-8
18.2%
0%
0-9
5.0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Kentucky CCG Opponents

if Kentucky makes the CCG

TexasTexas
33.3%
GeorgiaGeorgia
33.3%
AlabamaAlabama
11.1%
Texas A&MTexas A&M
11.1%
LSULSU
11.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyThis Week's Impact

Game
KentuckyCCG OddsAway
KentuckyCCG OddsHome

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

KentuckyLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Kentucky CCG Probability
Likelihood
Any 1 loss
<0.1%
<0.1%
Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
Missouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSU
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
Vanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
63.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisville
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisville
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisville
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas A&MYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMissouri
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaTexas A&M
83.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaFlorida
80.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&M
71.4%
<0.1%
FloridaTexas A&M
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUTennessee
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOklahoma
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexas A&M
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSU
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
26.1%
0.3%
LouisvilleOklahomaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth AlabamaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeTexas A&MYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOklahomaSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleTexas A&MVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennesseeYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaTexas A&MVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleOklahoma
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleTennesseeVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOklahomaTexas A&M
83.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriOklahoma
66.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
66.7%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleMissouri
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleMissouri
66.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisville
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUTexas A&MYoungstown State
50.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaTennesseeVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
40.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleTexas A&M
40.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTexas A&MVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaTennesseeTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleTennesseeTexas A&M
25.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTexas A&MVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaTexas A&MVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaMissouriTexas A&M
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaTennessee
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaTexas A&M
11.8%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaSouth Carolina
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSUTexas A&M
11.1%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaTexas A&M
10.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSUTexas A&M
9.1%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaSouth Carolina
9.1%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
17.6%
0.2%
LouisvilleSouth CarolinaVanderbiltYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleSouth AlabamaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriTexas A&MYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth AlabamaSouth CarolinaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleTexas A&MYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriOklahomaSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisvilleYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSULouisvilleSouth Alabama
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriSouth AlabamaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSULouisvilleYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaSouth AlabamaSouth CarolinaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleTexas A&MYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaSouth CarolinaYoungstown State
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOklahomaTexas A&MVanderbilt
57.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisvilleMissouri
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOklahomaSouth AlabamaTexas A&M
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleSouth AlabamaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleSouth AlabamaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleMissouriSouth Alabama
50.0%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriSouth AlabamaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth AlabamaSouth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSULouisvilleVanderbilt
28.6%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleMissouriTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaOklahomaSouth AlabamaTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriSouth CarolinaTennessee
25.0%
<0.1%
FloridaLSULouisvilleSouth Carolina
25.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisvilleOklahoma
22.2%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleSouth CarolinaTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleMissouriSouth Carolina
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSULouisvilleMissouri
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriOklahomaSouth Carolina
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisvilleTennessee
20.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMissouriTexas A&MVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleOklahomaSouth Carolina
18.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSULouisvilleSouth Carolina
16.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleOklahomaVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleOklahomaTexas A&M
16.7%
<0.1%
LouisvilleOklahomaSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
15.4%
<0.1%
LSULouisvilleTexas A&MVanderbilt
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleOklahomaTennessee
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaLouisvilleTexas A&M
14.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleMissouriTexas A&M
14.3%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleSouth CarolinaTexas A&M
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleTexas A&MVanderbilt
11.1%
<0.1%
FloridaLSULouisvilleOklahoma
11.1%
<0.1%
LouisvilleSouth CarolinaTennesseeTexas A&M
11.1%
<0.1%
FloridaLouisvilleMissouriOklahoma
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaLouisvilleOklahomaTennessee
7.7%
<0.1%
AlabamaLSULouisvilleOklahoma
6.7%
<0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com