SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-1	7-2	6-3	Overall
GeorgiaUGA	100%	71.5%	1.0%	71.2%
AlabamaALA	-	74.8%	2.5%	29.0%
KentuckyUK	100%	58.1%	2.9%	25.3%
Ole MissMISS	-	77.9%	4.0%	25.1%
LSULSU	-	79.5%	7.1%	21.6%
TexasTEX	-	64.2%	1.8%	14.2%
TennesseeTENN	-	72.6%	0.5%	7.5%
FloridaFLA	-	-	10.8%	2.8%
MissouriMIZ	-	97.3%	7.6%	2.4%
South CarolinaSC	-	-	4.9%	0.5%
OklahomaOU	-	-	17.4%	0.3%
ArkansasARK	-	-	-	-
AuburnAUB	-	-	-	-
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	-	-
Texas A&MTA&M	-	-	-	-
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	-	-

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
GeorgiaUGA(5-1)	37.7%	46.8%	14.4%	1.2%	-	-	-	-	-	7.2
AlabamaALA(4-2)	-	36.9%	56.9%	6.1%	0.1%	-	-	-	-	6.3
KentuckyUK(5-1)	6.3%	30.3%	44.2%	19.2%	-	-	-	-	-	6.2
Ole MissMISS(4-2)	-	29.6%	50.3%	18.7%	1.4%	-	-	-	-	6.1
TexasTEX(3-2)	-	20.8%	47.7%	26.8%	4.6%	<0.1%	-	-	-	5.8
LSULSU(3-2)	-	23.4%	43.5%	27.0%	5.9%	0.2%	-	-	-	5.8
TennesseeTENN(3-2)	-	10.1%	36.6%	38.6%	13.5%	1.2%	-	-	-	5.4
FloridaFLA(3-3)	-	-	26.0%	49.4%	22.9%	1.8%	-	-	-	5.0
MissouriMIZ(3-2)	-	1.3%	14.6%	41.4%	34.1%	8.6%	-	-	-	4.7
South CarolinaSC(3-3)	-	-	9.9%	46.1%	37.5%	6.4%	-	-	-	4.6
OklahomaOU(2-3)	-	-	1.9%	13.3%	34.0%	36.8%	14.1%	-	-	3.5
Mississippi StateMSST(2-4)	-	-	-	3.6%	42.3%	45.3%	8.8%	-	-	3.4
AuburnAUB(2-4)	-	-	-	2.8%	40.6%	48.5%	8.1%	-	-	3.4
Texas A&MTA&M(1-4)	-	-	-	2.6%	16.4%	36.1%	33.6%	11.3%	-	2.7
ArkansasARK(1-4)	-	-	-	0.0%	0.2%	4.5%	31.3%	64.0%	-	1.4
VanderbiltVAN(0-5)	-	-	-	-	<0.1%	0.4%	5.6%	32.5%	61.5%	0.4

Data from 2026-11-02 • SportsSimulate.com