SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	Overall
TexasTEX	100%	97.3%	62.7%	8.0%	-	52.8%
GeorgiaUGA	100%	96.3%	57.6%	7.0%	<0.1%	47.5%
AlabamaALA	100%	96.6%	54.8%	5.3%	-	21.8%
LSULSU	100%	96.4%	55.0%	4.4%	-	19.8%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	97.1%	59.2%	7.4%	<0.1%	17.1%
OklahomaOU	100%	98.0%	58.5%	5.9%	-	11.3%
Ole MissMISS	100%	99.1%	62.0%	8.6%	<0.1%	7.8%
TennesseeTENN	100%	97.2%	55.7%	5.0%	-	7.2%
FloridaFLA	100%	96.6%	56.7%	6.6%	<0.1%	4.2%
South CarolinaSC	100%	95.8%	53.5%	3.3%	-	2.9%
MissouriMIZ	100%	97.8%	55.1%	4.3%	<0.1%	2.9%
AuburnAUB	100%	97.0%	53.7%	4.1%	-	2.7%
VanderbiltVAN	100%	93.2%	46.2%	2.9%	-	1.5%
KentuckyUK	100%	89.5%	61.1%	6.8%	-	0.2%
ArkansasARK	-	100%	66.7%	11.6%	-	0.2%
Mississippi StateMSST	100%	100%	58.2%	7.4%	<0.1%	0.1%

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	9-0	8-1	7-2	6-3	5-4	4-5	3-6	2-7	1-8	0-9	Avg Wins
TexasTEX(0-0)	7.7%	24.1%	31.5%	23.1%	10.2%	2.9%	0.5%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	6.9
GeorgiaUGA(0-0)	6.7%	22.4%	30.4%	24.2%	11.6%	3.8%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	6.7
AlabamaALA(0-0)	1.4%	8.2%	20.1%	27.9%	23.9%	12.8%	4.5%	1.0%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.7
LSULSU(0-0)	1.2%	7.3%	18.9%	27.5%	24.6%	14.2%	5.0%	1.1%	0.1%	<0.1%	5.6
Texas A&MTA&M(0-0)	0.7%	5.2%	15.8%	26.2%	26.6%	17.1%	6.6%	1.6%	0.2%	<0.1%	5.4
OklahomaOU(0-0)	0.3%	3.0%	11.5%	22.9%	27.8%	21.3%	9.9%	2.8%	0.4%	<0.1%	5.0
TennesseeTENN(0-0)	0.2%	1.8%	7.9%	18.7%	26.9%	24.5%	14.1%	5.0%	1.0%	<0.1%	4.7
Ole MissMISS(0-0)	0.1%	1.6%	7.3%	18.1%	27.0%	24.9%	14.6%	5.3%	1.0%	<0.1%	4.6
FloridaFLA(0-0)	<0.1%	0.8%	4.4%	13.4%	23.8%	27.1%	19.4%	8.7%	2.2%	0.2%	4.2
South CarolinaSC(0-0)	<0.1%	0.6%	3.6%	11.5%	22.9%	27.7%	21.3%	9.8%	2.4%	0.2%	4.1
MissouriMIZ(0-0)	<0.1%	0.5%	3.3%	11.2%	22.5%	27.7%	21.7%	10.1%	2.6%	0.3%	4.1
AuburnAUB(0-0)	<0.1%	0.5%	3.2%	11.0%	22.2%	28.2%	21.7%	10.3%	2.7%	0.3%	4.0
VanderbiltVAN(0-0)	<0.1%	0.3%	2.1%	7.8%	18.2%	26.8%	25.3%	14.3%	4.6%	0.6%	3.7
KentuckyUK(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.2%	1.3%	5.3%	14.8%	26.1%	29.1%	18.2%	5.0%	2.5
Mississippi StateMSST(0-0)	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.8%	4.0%	12.8%	25.0%	30.6%	20.8%	5.9%	2.3
ArkansasARK(0-0)	0.0%	<0.1%	0.1%	0.7%	3.7%	11.9%	24.4%	30.6%	21.9%	6.6%	2.3

Data from 2026-08-26 • SportsSimulate.com