Rice

RiceOwls

0-1 T1st (0-0) in AAC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

RiceSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSam Houston StSHSU
L14-34
29/07
vsTexas SouthernTXSO
Win prob:90%
39/14
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:31%
49/21
@ArmyARMY
Win prob:28%
59/28
vsCharlotteCLT
Win prob:73%
710/12
vsUT San AntonioUTSA
Win prob:20%
810/19
@TulaneTULN
Win prob:15%
910/26
@UConnCONN
Win prob:64%
1011/02
vsNavyNAVY
Win prob:50%
1111/08
@MemphisMEM
Win prob:14%
1311/23
@UABUAB
Win prob:35%
1411/30
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:40%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0.0%
100.0%
7-1
0.1%
99.2%
6-2
1.3%
56.8%
5-3
6.4%
4.0%
4-4
18.3%
0%
3-5
30.3%
0%
2-6
28.1%
0%
1-7
13.2%
0%
0-8
2.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Rice CCG Opponents

if Rice makes the CCG

UTSAUT San Antonio
39.6%
MemphisMemphis
26.7%
TulaneTulane
21.8%
ArmyArmy
5.9%
North TexasNorth Texas
5.9%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceThis Week's Impact

Game
RiceCCG OddsAway
RiceCCG OddsHome
CharlotteCLT@North CarolinaUNC
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(+0.0%)
TulsaTLSA@Arkansas StARST
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Texas SouthernTXSO@RiceRICE
1.3%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
UABUAB@ULMULM
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.3%
(+0.1%)
East CarolinaECU@Old DominionODU
1.2%
(+0.0%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@AlabamaALA
1.0%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
ArmyARMY@FL AtlanticFAU
1.2%
(+0.1%)		1.1%
(-0.1%)
TroyTROY@MemphisMEM
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
Stephen F. AustinSFA@North TexasUNT
1.5%
(+0.3%)		1.1%
(-0.0%)
Kansas StKSU@TulaneTULN
1.1%
(-0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
UT San AntonioUTSA@Texas StTXST
1.1%
(+0.0%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)
TempleTEM@NavyNAVY
1.1%
(-0.1%)		1.2%
(+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Rice CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
67.6%
0.3%
HoustonTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernTulane
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotte
100.0%
<0.1%
UABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavy
75.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphis
71.4%
<0.1%
UABUT San Antonio
70.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
UConnUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisUAB
64.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulane
62.5%
<0.1%
ArmyTulane
56.3%
<0.1%
ArmyUT San Antonio
55.6%
<0.1%
MemphisUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUAB
46.7%
<0.1%
TulaneUT San Antonio
42.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaUT San Antonio
25.0%
<0.1%
NavyTulane
25.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
28.5%
1.7%
HoustonTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
NavyUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUConnUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteUABUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonNavy
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonMemphis
100.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisTexas Southern
100.0%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernTulaneUConn
100.0%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTexas SouthernUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUAB
87.5%
<0.1%
HoustonNavySouth Florida
85.7%
<0.1%
NavyUConnUT San Antonio
83.3%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUConn
81.8%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonTulane
70.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyUT San Antonio
70.0%
<0.1%
HoustonNavyTulane
68.4%
<0.1%
NavySouth FloridaUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyUConnUT San Antonio
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
NavyTulaneUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonTulane
66.7%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUConn
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisSouth Florida
60.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisNavy
60.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUAB
60.0%
<0.1%
MemphisTexas SouthernTulane
60.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonMemphis
56.7%
<0.1%
HoustonUABUT San Antonio
56.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonNavy
55.6%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonUT San Antonio
54.5%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUAB
54.5%
<0.1%
MemphisUConnUT San Antonio
52.6%
<0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyTexas SouthernTulane
50.0%
<0.1%
NavyTexas SouthernUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaUAB
50.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUConn
50.0%
<0.1%
UABUConnUT San Antonio
50.0%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisTulane
49.0%
0.1%
HoustonSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
46.2%
<0.1%
HoustonMemphisUT San Antonio
44.4%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUConn
43.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteHoustonUT San Antonio
40.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteNavyTulane
40.0%
<0.1%
ArmyHoustonSouth Florida
40.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUConnUT San Antonio
38.9%
<0.1%
HoustonTulaneUT San Antonio
37.7%
<0.1%
ArmyNavyUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUConn
33.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisNavy
33.3%
<0.1%
Texas SouthernTulaneUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
South FloridaUConnUT San Antonio
33.3%
<0.1%
NavyUABUT San Antonio
28.6%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisUAB
25.0%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUConn
16.7%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
ArmyCharlotteTulane
14.3%
<0.1%
ArmySouth FloridaTulane
11.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUAB
10.0%
<0.1%
NavyTulaneUAB
10.0%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyTulane
9.1%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUAB
8.3%
<0.1%
CharlotteTulaneUT San Antonio
8.3%
<0.1%
MemphisUABUT San Antonio
8.2%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUT San Antonio
8.1%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisNavy
7.7%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaUAB
7.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaUABUT San Antonio
6.7%
<0.1%
MemphisNavyUT San Antonio
6.7%
<0.1%
CharlotteMemphisTulane
6.3%
<0.1%
NavyTulaneUT San Antonio
5.0%
<0.1%
TulaneUABUT San Antonio
4.5%
<0.1%
ArmyUABUT San Antonio
4.2%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUT San Antonio
3.6%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUAB
2.9%
<0.1%
MemphisSouth FloridaTulane
2.8%
<0.1%
South FloridaTulaneUT San Antonio
2.3%
<0.1%
ArmyTulaneUAB
2.2%
<0.1%
ArmyMemphisUT San Antonio
1.5%
<0.1%
MemphisTulaneUT San Antonio
0.7%
0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

RiceCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com