HoustonCougars

0-1 T1st (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsUNLVUNLV	L7-27
2	9/07	@OklahomaOU	Win prob:5%
3	9/14	vsRiceRICE	Win prob:69%
4	9/21	@CincinnatiCIN	Win prob:43%
5	9/28	vsIowa StateISU	Win prob:29%
6	10/04	@TCUTCU	Win prob:21%
8	10/19	vsKansasKU(N)	Win prob:22%
9	10/26	vsUtahUTAH	Win prob:28%
10	11/02	vsKansas StateKSU	Win prob:13%
12	11/15	@ArizonaARIZ	Win prob:10%
13	11/23	vsBaylorBAY	Win prob:55%
14	11/30	@BYUBYU	Win prob:41%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
9-0	0%	100.0%
8-1	0.0%	93.8%
7-2	0.2%	66.8%
6-3	1.5%	6.3%
5-4	6.0%	0.0%
4-5	16.4%	0%
3-6	27.8%	0%
2-7	28.4%	0%
1-8	15.9%	0%
0-9	3.8%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

50.0%

27.3%

9.1%

9.1%

4.5%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Texas TechTTU@Washington StateWSU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
ColoradoCOLO@NebraskaNEB	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Iowa StateISU@IowaIOWA	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
BaylorBAY@UtahUTAH	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Long Island UniversityLIU@TCUTCU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
ArkansasARK@Oklahoma StateOKST	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Mississippi StateMSST@Arizona StateASU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
KansasKU@IllinoisILL	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Sam HoustonSHSU@UCFUCF	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
PittsburghPITT@CincinnatiCIN	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
BYUBYU@SMUSMU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
UAlbanyUALB@West VirginiaWVU	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Kansas StateKSU@TulaneTULN	0.3% (+0.0%)	0.2% (-0.0%)
HoustonHOU@OklahomaOU	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)
Northern ArizonaNAU@ArizonaARIZ	0.2% (-0.0%)	0.3% (+0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

61.3%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

88.9%

<0.1%

83.3%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

63.6%

<0.1%

52.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

10.0%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com