Alabama

AlabamaCrimson Tide

1-0 T1st (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2024-09-02 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

47.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

AlabamaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsWKUWKU
W63-0
29/07
vsSouth FloridaUSF
Win prob:97%
39/14
@WisconsinWIS
Win prob:88%
59/28
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:48%
610/05
@VanderbiltVAN
Win prob:97%
710/12
vsSouth CarolinaSC
Win prob:94%
810/19
@TennesseeTENN
Win prob:75%
910/26
vsMissouriMIZ
Win prob:85%
1111/09
@LSULSU
Win prob:69%
1211/16
vsMercerMER
Win prob:90%
1311/23
@OklahomaOU
Win prob:63%
1411/30
vsAuburnAUB
Win prob:95%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
11.7%
100.0%
7-1
32.4%
90.3%
6-2
33.4%
19.5%
5-3
17.1%
0.1%
4-4
4.7%
0%
3-5
0.7%
0%
2-6
0.0%
0%
1-7
0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Alabama CCG Opponents

if Alabama makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
52.9%
TexasTexas
27.2%
OklahomaOklahoma
9.0%
LSULSU
7.6%
MissouriMissouri
3.4%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaThis Week's Impact

Game
AlabamaCCG OddsAway
AlabamaCCG OddsHome
BuffaloBUF@MissouriMIZ
48.2%
(+0.7%)		47.4%
(-0.1%)
TexasTEX@MichiganMICH
47.7%
(+0.2%)		47.4%
(-0.1%)
TennesseeTENN@NC StateNCSU
47.3%
(-0.1%)		47.8%
(+0.3%)
Tennessee TechTNTC@GeorgiaUGA
47.4%
(-0.1%)		47.5%
(+0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@VanderbiltVAN
46.8%
(-0.7%)		47.6%
(+0.1%)
McNeeseMCN@Texas A&MTA&M
47.0%
(-0.5%)		47.5%
(+0.1%)
ArkansasARK@Oklahoma StOKST
47.2%
(-0.3%)		47.6%
(+0.1%)
Mississippi StMSST@Arizona StASU
47.4%
(-0.1%)		47.5%
(+0.0%)
MTSUMTSU@MississippiMISS
47.4%
(-0.1%)		47.5%
(+0.0%)
South FloridaUSF@AlabamaALA
47.7%
(+0.2%)		47.5%
(-0.0%)
NichollsNICH@LSULSU
48.5%
(+1.0%)		47.4%
(-0.1%)
SamfordSAM@FloridaFLA
47.7%
(+0.2%)		47.5%
(-0.0%)
South CarolinaSC@KentuckyUK
48.2%
(+0.7%)		47.2%
(-0.3%)
HoustonHOU@OklahomaOU
46.6%
(-0.9%)		47.5%
(+0.1%)
CaliforniaCAL@AuburnAUB
46.9%
(-0.6%)		47.8%
(+0.3%)

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Alabama CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
9.0%
Any 1 loss
91.2%
27.5%
Wisconsin
100.0%
1.3%
Mercer
100.0%
1.0%
South Florida
100.0%
0.3%
South Carolina
98.5%
0.5%
Auburn
98.1%
0.5%
Tennessee
97.0%
3.0%
Vanderbilt
95.7%
0.3%
Missouri
93.8%
1.5%
LSU
92.5%
4.1%
Oklahoma
92.4%
5.3%
Georgia
84.7%
9.8%
Any 2 losses
35.0%
32.8%
MercerWisconsin
100.0%
0.1%
MercerSouth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
VanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerTennessee
98.1%
0.3%
AuburnMercer
98.1%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennessee
98.0%
0.1%
TennesseeWisconsin
97.9%
0.4%
AuburnWisconsin
94.9%
<0.1%
MercerVanderbilt
94.7%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth Florida
93.9%
0.2%
LSUSouth Florida
93.7%
<0.1%
MissouriWisconsin
93.7%
0.2%
LSUMercer
92.7%
0.4%
MercerOklahoma
92.3%
0.6%
OklahomaWisconsin
91.8%
0.7%
MercerMissouri
91.5%
0.2%
LSUWisconsin
91.0%
0.5%
MissouriSouth Florida
87.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaWisconsin
85.8%
1.3%
GeorgiaSouth Florida
85.0%
0.3%
GeorgiaMercer
82.9%
1.1%
South CarolinaVanderbilt
76.9%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth Carolina
56.4%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennessee
47.6%
0.2%
AuburnMissouri
42.4%
<0.1%
TennesseeVanderbilt
41.9%
<0.1%
AuburnTennessee
38.0%
0.2%
OklahomaSouth Carolina
32.4%
0.3%
AuburnVanderbilt
31.6%
<0.1%
MissouriTennessee
31.5%
0.5%
MissouriSouth Carolina
31.3%
0.1%
LSUSouth Carolina
30.8%
0.2%
AuburnLSU
29.5%
0.2%
AuburnOklahoma
28.8%
0.3%
LSUVanderbilt
28.4%
0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
28.4%
0.1%
AuburnGeorgia
28.1%
0.6%
LSUTennessee
27.2%
1.3%
GeorgiaSouth Carolina
27.0%
0.6%
MissouriVanderbilt
26.3%
<0.1%
LSUMissouri
24.7%
0.7%
OklahomaTennessee
23.6%
1.8%
GeorgiaTennessee
21.0%
3.2%
MissouriOklahoma
20.3%
0.9%
GeorgiaMissouri
19.5%
1.6%
LSUOklahoma
18.8%
2.3%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
18.1%
0.3%
GeorgiaLSU
16.4%
4.3%
GeorgiaOklahoma
10.6%
5.6%
Any 3 losses
22.7%
8.0%
MercerOklahomaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaTennessee
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerVanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth FloridaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaVanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaSouth FloridaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriWisconsin
96.0%
<0.1%
MercerTennesseeWisconsin
95.6%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaWisconsin
95.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaWisconsin
94.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth Florida
93.8%
<0.1%
LSUMercerWisconsin
92.2%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerWisconsin
85.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerWisconsin
85.4%
0.2%
OklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
77.8%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaWisconsin
64.9%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaWisconsin
60.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaTennessee
56.3%
<0.1%
MissouriVanderbiltWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
South CarolinaTennesseeWisconsin
45.0%
<0.1%
AuburnOklahomaSouth Florida
44.4%
<0.1%
South FloridaTennesseeVanderbilt
40.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth Carolina
38.5%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaWisconsin
38.5%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth Carolina
36.4%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriWisconsin
35.7%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerTennessee
34.8%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMercer
34.3%
<0.1%
MissouriTennesseeWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerOklahoma
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUMercerVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth Carolina
33.3%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth FloridaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
LSUSouth CarolinaWisconsin
32.5%
<0.1%
AuburnTennesseeWisconsin
32.0%
<0.1%
TennesseeVanderbiltWisconsin
30.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriSouth Florida
29.7%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbiltWisconsin
29.4%
<0.1%
LSUTennesseeWisconsin
28.5%
0.2%
MercerMissouriTennessee
27.4%
<0.1%
AuburnOklahomaWisconsin
27.3%
<0.1%
MissouriOklahomaSouth Florida
26.9%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaWisconsin
26.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaVanderbiltWisconsin
25.9%
<0.1%
LSUMercerMissouri
25.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMercerMissouri
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
MercerTennesseeVanderbilt
25.0%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth FloridaTennessee
24.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth CarolinaWisconsin
24.3%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMercer
24.2%
<0.1%
LSUMercerTennessee
24.2%
0.2%
AuburnLSUWisconsin
24.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth Carolina
22.6%
<0.1%
LSUMissouriWisconsin
22.4%
0.1%
LSUOklahomaWisconsin
22.4%
0.3%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaTennessee
22.1%
0.1%
LSUOklahomaSouth Florida
21.6%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaWisconsin
21.4%
<0.1%
LSUMercerOklahoma
21.1%
0.2%
GeorgiaMercerTennessee
20.7%
0.4%
GeorgiaTennesseeWisconsin
20.1%
0.4%
LSUVanderbiltWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaSouth FloridaVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriWisconsin
19.6%
0.2%
GeorgiaLSUSouth Florida
18.6%
0.1%
GeorgiaMercerVanderbilt
18.5%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaTennessee
18.5%
0.2%
LSUMissouriSouth Florida
18.2%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaVanderbilt
17.6%
<0.1%
LSUSouth FloridaTennessee
17.2%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth FloridaVanderbilt
16.7%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriOklahoma
16.0%
0.1%
OklahomaTennesseeWisconsin
15.6%
0.2%
GeorgiaLSUWisconsin
15.3%
0.6%
GeorgiaLSUMercer
14.8%
0.5%
AuburnLSUSouth Florida
14.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouri
13.5%
0.2%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth Florida
13.4%
0.2%
MissouriOklahomaWisconsin
13.3%
0.1%
MercerMissouriVanderbilt
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaWisconsin
10.7%
0.8%
GeorgiaMercerOklahoma
10.2%
0.6%
AuburnGeorgiaSouth Florida
7.1%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaSouth Carolina
3.7%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMissouri
2.0%
0.1%
GeorgiaLSUVanderbilt
0.9%
0.1%
LSUOklahomaSouth Carolina
0.7%
0.1%
Any 4 losses
19.4%
0.6%
GeorgiaMercerSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnSouth CarolinaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerVanderbiltWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnMissouriSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaSouth FloridaWisconsin
100.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMercerSouth Florida
100.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth CarolinaSouth Florida
66.7%
<0.1%
LSUMercerSouth CarolinaWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriSouth FloridaTennessee
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnLSUMercerWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaSouth FloridaWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaVanderbiltWisconsin
50.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriTennesseeWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerVanderbiltWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMissouriSouth FloridaWisconsin
40.0%
<0.1%
LSUMercerOklahomaSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriOklahomaSouth Florida
33.3%
<0.1%
MissouriSouth FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth FloridaTennessee
33.3%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaTennesseeWisconsin
31.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerSouth CarolinaWisconsin
30.8%
<0.1%
LSUMercerTennesseeWisconsin
28.6%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMercerWisconsin
28.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouriSouth Florida
25.0%
<0.1%
MercerSouth CarolinaTennesseeWisconsin
25.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerTennesseeWisconsin
24.0%
<0.1%
MercerOklahomaSouth CarolinaWisconsin
22.2%
<0.1%
LSUMercerMissouriWisconsin
20.0%
<0.1%
MercerMissouriOklahomaWisconsin
18.2%
<0.1%
AuburnGeorgiaMercerWisconsin
18.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahomaSouth Florida
15.4%
<0.1%
LSUMercerOklahomaWisconsin
14.3%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth FloridaTennesseeWisconsin
12.5%
<0.1%
LSUOklahomaSouth FloridaWisconsin
12.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouriWisconsin
10.5%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerMissouriVanderbilt
10.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMercerOklahomaWisconsin
9.2%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaSouth FloridaVanderbilt
9.1%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUSouth FloridaWisconsin
7.1%
<0.1%
OklahomaSouth CarolinaTennesseeWisconsin
6.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaLSUMercerSouth Florida
6.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaVanderbiltWisconsin
4.5%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com

AlabamaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2

Data from 2024-09-02 • SportsSimulate.com