Louisville

LouisvilleCardinals

2-0 T5th (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

41.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

LouisvilleSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsAustin PeayAPSU
W62-0
29/07
vsJacksonville StJXST
W49-14
49/21
vsGeorgia TechGT
Win prob:76%
59/28
@Notre DameND
Win prob:23%
610/05
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:65%
710/12
@VirginiaUVA
Win prob:87%
810/19
vsMiami FLMIA
Win prob:68%
910/25
@Boston CollegeBC
Win prob:75%
1011/02
@ClemsonCLEM
Win prob:34%
1211/16
@StanfordSTAN
Win prob:89%
1311/23
vsPittsburghPITT
Win prob:83%
1411/30
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:62%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
5.6%
100.0%
7-1
22.4%
96.3%
6-2
33.1%
42.4%
5-3
24.9%
1.2%
4-4
10.7%
0%
3-5
2.8%
0%
2-6
0.4%
0%
1-7
0.0%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Louisville CCG Opponents

if Louisville makes the CCG

ClemsonClemson
48.9%
SMUSMU
18.6%
MiamiMiami FL
11.8%
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
11.8%
DukeDuke
8.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleThis Week's Impact

Game
LouisvilleCCG OddsAway
LouisvilleCCG OddsHome
Louisiana TechLT@NC StateNCSU
41.0%
(-0.5%)		41.6%
(+0.1%)
MemphisMEM@Florida StFSU
41.3%
(-0.2%)		41.6%
(+0.1%)
UConnCONN@DukeDUKE
40.4%
(-1.1%)		41.5%
(+0.1%)
MississippiMISS@Wake ForestWAKE
41.5%
(+0.0%)		41.4%
(-0.1%)
VMIVMI@Georgia TechGT
41.3%
(-0.2%)		41.5%
(+0.0%)
North Carolina CentralNCCU@North CarolinaUNC
41.4%
(-0.1%)		41.5%
(+0.0%)
San Diego StSDSU@CaliforniaCAL
41.4%
(-0.1%)		41.5%
(+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@MissouriMIZ
41.0%
(-0.5%)		41.5%
(+0.1%)
Virginia TechVT@Old DominionODU
41.4%
(-0.1%)		41.7%
(+0.2%)
MarylandMD@VirginiaUVA
41.5%
(-0.0%)		41.6%
(+0.1%)
Ball StBALL@Miami FLMIA
41.7%
(+0.3%)		41.5%
(-0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT
41.4%
(-0.1%)		41.6%
(+0.1%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Louisville CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
0.8%
Any 1 loss
98.2%
6.2%
Notre Dame
100.0%
2.6%
Kentucky
100.0%
0.5%
SMU
98.6%
0.4%
Virginia
98.3%
0.1%
Georgia Tech
98.2%
0.2%
Miami FL
97.8%
0.4%
Boston College
97.1%
0.3%
Pittsburgh
96.5%
0.1%
Clemson
94.9%
1.4%
Stanford
94.7%
0.1%
Any 2 losses
83.8%
18.9%
KentuckyNotre Dame
100.0%
1.7%
Georgia TechKentucky
99.5%
0.2%
KentuckyVirginia
98.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre Dame
98.2%
1.2%
Boston CollegeKentucky
98.0%
0.1%
KentuckySMU
97.9%
0.2%
KentuckyPittsburgh
97.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre Dame
97.8%
0.8%
Boston CollegeNotre Dame
97.7%
0.9%
Notre DameSMU
97.3%
1.4%
Notre DameStanford
96.8%
0.3%
KentuckyStanford
96.7%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburgh
96.3%
0.5%
KentuckyMiami FL
96.3%
0.2%
ClemsonKentucky
95.8%
1.0%
ClemsonNotre Dame
95.0%
5.1%
Notre DameVirginia
94.9%
0.4%
StanfordVirginia
72.7%
<0.1%
PittsburghStanford
65.2%
<0.1%
Georgia TechStanford
61.8%
<0.1%
Miami FLPittsburgh
57.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia Tech
57.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLVirginia
56.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechVirginia
55.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FL
54.9%
0.1%
Boston CollegePittsburgh
52.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonStanford
51.0%
0.2%
Boston CollegeStanford
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
PittsburghVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FL
49.6%
0.1%
Georgia TechSMU
48.8%
0.1%
Boston CollegeSMU
48.3%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemson
47.1%
0.5%
ClemsonVirginia
46.6%
0.2%
Georgia TechPittsburgh
46.4%
<0.1%
SMUVirginia
45.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia Tech
43.6%
0.4%
PittsburghSMU
43.5%
<0.1%
SMUStanford
42.5%
<0.1%
Miami FLSMU
39.3%
0.2%
ClemsonMiami FL
38.9%
0.7%
ClemsonPittsburgh
38.4%
0.3%
Miami FLStanford
35.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonSMU
32.2%
0.8%
Any 3 losses
52.1%
27.6%
Georgia TechKentuckyNotre Dame
99.0%
0.5%
KentuckyNotre DameStanford
98.1%
0.2%
KentuckyMiami FLNotre Dame
97.9%
0.8%
Boston CollegeKentuckyNotre Dame
97.6%
0.5%
KentuckyNotre DameVirginia
97.5%
0.2%
KentuckyNotre DameSMU
96.4%
0.9%
KentuckyNotre DamePittsburgh
95.2%
0.4%
ClemsonKentuckyNotre Dame
94.8%
3.2%
KentuckyPittsburghStanford
83.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyStanford
79.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechKentucky
69.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameStanford
66.1%
0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghStanford
64.6%
<0.1%
KentuckyPittsburghVirginia
63.6%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyPittsburgh
62.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyStanford
61.5%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyVirginia
61.1%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghVirginia
60.4%
<0.1%
KentuckyStanfordVirginia
60.0%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameVirginia
59.4%
0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechNotre Dame
59.3%
0.3%
KentuckyMiami FLStanford
59.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyMiami FL
58.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameVirginia
58.1%
0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DamePittsburgh
56.1%
0.2%
Georgia TechKentuckySMU
54.3%
<0.1%
Notre DameSMUStanford
53.2%
0.2%
Boston CollegeNotre DamePittsburgh
53.0%
0.2%
Miami FLNotre DameVirginia
52.3%
0.2%
Boston CollegeKentuckyVirginia
52.2%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameStanford
50.9%
0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyStanford
50.8%
0.1%
Miami FLNotre DamePittsburgh
50.6%
0.3%
Boston CollegeNotre DameSMU
50.4%
0.4%
ClemsonNotre DameStanford
50.4%
0.6%
Notre DameStanfordVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DameStanford
50.0%
0.2%
KentuckyMiami FLVirginia
50.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FLNotre Dame
49.5%
0.4%
Notre DamePittsburghSMU
48.7%
0.3%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FL
48.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLNotre Dame
48.0%
0.4%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentucky
46.7%
0.3%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre Dame
45.9%
1.6%
Georgia TechNotre DameSMU
44.6%
0.4%
KentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
44.4%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DameSMU
43.6%
0.7%
Notre DameSMUVirginia
43.4%
0.2%
ClemsonNotre DameVirginia
42.8%
0.7%
ClemsonKentuckyVirginia
42.6%
0.1%
KentuckySMUVirginia
42.0%
<0.1%
KentuckySMUStanford
41.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechNotre Dame
41.6%
1.7%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburgh
41.3%
1.1%
KentuckyMiami FLSMU
40.6%
0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechKentucky
39.6%
0.3%
Boston CollegeKentuckySMU
38.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyPittsburgh
38.0%
0.2%
Boston CollegeKentuckyPittsburgh
36.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FL
35.3%
0.4%
ClemsonMiami FLNotre Dame
34.9%
2.3%
KentuckyPittsburghSMU
33.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameSMU
32.5%
2.8%
ClemsonKentuckySMU
29.3%
0.5%
Boston CollegeSMUVirginia
10.5%
<0.1%
PittsburghSMUStanford
8.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLStanford
5.9%
<0.1%
Georgia TechSMUStanford
5.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonPittsburghStanford
4.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechMiami FL
4.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonPittsburgh
4.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonStanford
3.8%
<0.1%
ClemsonPittsburghVirginia
3.6%
<0.1%
ClemsonSMUVirginia
2.6%
0.1%
ClemsonMiami FLVirginia
1.7%
0.1%
Boston CollegeMiami FLSMU
1.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonMiami FLPittsburgh
1.3%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemsonVirginia
1.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonMiami FLStanford
1.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonSMUStanford
1.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechMiami FL
1.0%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemsonMiami FL
0.9%
0.2%
ClemsonGeorgia TechPittsburgh
0.8%
0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonSMU
0.8%
0.3%
Boston CollegeClemsonGeorgia Tech
0.6%
0.2%
ClemsonPittsburghSMU
0.5%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
23.2%
18.4%
Boston CollegeKentuckyNotre DameVirginia
63.9%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLNotre DameVirginia
62.4%
0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyNotre DameStanford
61.8%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyNotre DameStanford
58.5%
<0.1%
KentuckyNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
58.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyNotre DamePittsburghStanford
57.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyNotre DameVirginia
57.1%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyNotre DamePittsburgh
54.5%
0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechKentuckyNotre Dame
53.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegeKentuckyNotre DamePittsburgh
52.3%
0.1%
KentuckyNotre DameStanfordVirginia
52.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyNotre DameStanford
49.7%
0.4%
KentuckyNotre DameSMUStanford
49.5%
0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyNotre DameSMU
49.1%
0.3%
KentuckyMiami FLNotre DameStanford
48.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLNotre Dame
48.5%
0.2%
KentuckyMiami FLNotre DamePittsburgh
48.0%
0.1%
KentuckyNotre DamePittsburghSMU
47.3%
0.2%
Georgia TechKentuckyNotre DameSMU
46.8%
0.3%
ClemsonKentuckyNotre DamePittsburgh
46.8%
0.7%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckyNotre Dame
45.8%
1.0%
ClemsonKentuckyNotre DameVirginia
45.2%
0.4%
KentuckyNotre DameSMUVirginia
45.0%
0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyMiami FLNotre Dame
44.5%
0.3%
KentuckyMiami FLNotre DameSMU
41.0%
0.4%
ClemsonGeorgia TechKentuckyNotre Dame
40.2%
1.0%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FLNotre Dame
34.0%
1.4%
Boston CollegeKentuckyStanfordVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyPittsburghVirginia
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyNotre DameSMU
29.8%
1.8%
KentuckyMiami FLStanfordVirginia
20.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMiami FLPittsburghVirginia
16.7%
<0.1%
Georgia TechKentuckyMiami FLStanford
16.7%
<0.1%
KentuckySMUStanfordVirginia
14.3%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckyVirginia
9.6%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghSMUVirginia
8.1%
<0.1%
Miami FLNotre DamePittsburghStanford
7.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
7.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechKentuckyStanford
7.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLPittsburgh
7.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyPittsburghVirginia
6.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckySMUStanford
6.3%
<0.1%
Notre DamePittsburghSMUStanford
5.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechNotre DameVirginia
5.4%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechNotre DameStanford
4.7%
0.2%
Notre DameSMUStanfordVirginia
4.3%
<0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DamePittsburghSMU
3.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckyPittsburgh
3.6%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLNotre DameVirginia
3.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameStanfordVirginia
3.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameSMUVirginia
3.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckySMUStanford
2.9%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DameStanford
2.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechNotre DameStanford
2.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckyPittsburghSMU
2.8%
0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameSMUStanford
2.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonGeorgia TechKentucky
2.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechNotre DameVirginia
2.5%
0.2%
Miami FLNotre DameSMUStanford
2.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeNotre DameSMUStanford
2.4%
<0.1%
Georgia TechMiami FLNotre DameStanford
2.2%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeKentuckyMiami FLSMU
2.2%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechKentuckyVirginia
2.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburghVirginia
1.9%
0.2%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechNotre DamePittsburgh
1.9%
<0.1%
ClemsonMiami FLNotre DamePittsburgh
1.9%
0.5%
ClemsonKentuckyMiami FLVirginia
1.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechKentuckyPittsburgh
1.7%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DamePittsburgh
1.6%
0.4%
ClemsonNotre DamePittsburghStanford
1.5%
0.1%
Georgia TechNotre DameSMUVirginia
1.5%
<0.1%
ClemsonKentuckySMUVirginia
1.5%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DameSMU
1.4%
0.9%
Boston CollegeClemsonNotre DameVirginia
1.4%
0.3%
Georgia TechMiami FLNotre DamePittsburgh
1.4%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechNotre DameSMU
1.2%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemsonMiami FLNotre Dame
1.2%
0.8%
ClemsonNotre DameSMUStanford
1.2%
0.3%
ClemsonGeorgia TechNotre DamePittsburgh
1.1%
0.4%
ClemsonMiami FLNotre DameStanford
1.1%
0.3%
Boston CollegeGeorgia TechMiami FLNotre Dame
0.8%
0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechMiami FLNotre Dame
0.8%
0.7%
ClemsonNotre DameSMUVirginia
0.7%
0.4%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckyMiami FL
0.7%
0.1%
Miami FLNotre DamePittsburghSMU
0.7%
0.1%
ClemsonGeorgia TechKentuckyMiami FL
0.6%
0.2%
Boston CollegeClemsonKentuckySMU
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

LouisvilleCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com