MarylandTerrapins

1-1 T2nd (0-1) in B1G

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.1%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/31	vsUConnCONN	W50-7
2	9/07	vsMichigan StateMSU	L24-27
3	9/14	@VirginiaUVA	Win prob:85%
4	9/21	vsVillanovaVILL	Win prob:90%
5	9/28	@IndianaIU	Win prob:74%
7	10/11	vsNorthwesternNU	Win prob:78%
8	10/19	vsUSCUSC	Win prob:45%
9	10/26	@MinnesotaMINN	Win prob:68%
11	11/09	@OregonORE	Win prob:17%
12	11/16	vsRutgersRUTG	Win prob:78%
13	11/23	vsIowaIOWA	Win prob:74%
14	11/30	@Penn StatePSU	Win prob:22%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-1	0.4%	81.2%
7-2	4.5%	16.7%
6-3	17.5%	0.1%
5-4	30.9%	0%
4-5	28.1%	0%
3-6	14.1%	0%
2-7	4.0%	0%
1-8	0.6%	0%
0-9	0.0%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

57.3%

20.4%

12.6%

6.8%

2.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
Notre DameND@PurduePUR	1.1% (-0.0%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
AlabamaALA@WisconsinWIS	1.1% (-0.0%)	1.3% (+0.2%)
Arkansas StateARST@MichiganMICH	0.9% (-0.2%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
Northern IowaUNI@NebraskaNEB	1.1% (+0.0%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
Washington StateWSU@WashingtonWASH	1.0% (-0.1%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
TroyTROY@IowaIOWA	1.1% (+0.0%)	1.1% (-0.0%)
OregonORE@Oregon StateORST	1.1% (-0.0%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
Central MichiganCMU@IllinoisILL	1.2% (+0.1%)	1.1% (-0.0%)
NevadaNEV@MinnesotaMINN	1.2% (+0.1%)	1.1% (-0.0%)
Prairie View A&MPV@Michigan StateMSU	1.1% (+0.0%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
Eastern IllinoisEIU@NorthwesternNU	1.1% (-0.0%)	1.1% (+0.0%)
IndianaIU@UCLAUCLA	1.1% (+0.0%)	1.1% (-0.0%)
MarylandMD@VirginiaUVA	1.1% (+0.0%)	1.0% (-0.1%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Win out

80.8%

0.3%

Any 1 loss

18.4%

3.5%

85.4%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

51.3%

<0.1%

35.6%

0.1%

32.4%

0.1%

29.7%

0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

19.5%

0.4%

17.1%

1.1%

10.1%

1.5%

Any 2 losses

13.7%

1.2%

83.3%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

43.8%

<0.1%

40.0%

<0.1%

37.5%

<0.1%

35.7%

<0.1%

35.0%

<0.1%

30.6%

<0.1%

26.7%

<0.1%

25.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

17.1%

0.1%

16.7%

<0.1%

14.7%

0.2%

9.5%

0.3%

7.3%

0.2%

4.2%

<0.1%

3.9%

<0.1%

1.9%

<0.1%

0.9%

0.1%

Any 3 losses

18.6%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

33.3%

<0.1%

26.3%

<0.1%

22.2%

<0.1%

20.0%

<0.1%

8.3%

<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com