Virginia

VirginiaCavaliers

2-0 T1st (1-0) in ACC

Data from 2024-09-08 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.2%

Based on 100,000 simulations

VirginiaSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsRichmondRICH
W34-13
29/07
@Wake ForestWAKE
W31-30
39/14
vsMarylandMD
Win prob:15%
49/21
@Coastal CarCCU
Win prob:17%
610/05
vsBoston CollegeBC
Win prob:39%
710/12
vsLouisvilleLOU
Win prob:13%
810/19
@ClemsonCLEM
Win prob:5%
910/26
vsNorth CarolinaUNC
Win prob:26%
1111/09
@PittsburghPITT
Win prob:22%
1211/16
@Notre DameND
Win prob:3%
1311/23
vsSMUSMU
Win prob:17%
1411/30
@Virginia TechVT
Win prob:13%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
0%
0%
7-1
0.0%
100.0%
6-2
0.3%
53.8%
5-3
2.2%
3.3%
4-4
10.3%
0%
3-5
27.8%
0%
2-6
38.5%
0%
1-7
21.1%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Virginia CCG Opponents

if Virginia makes the CCG

ClemsonClemson
47.1%
LouisvilleLouisville
23.5%
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
11.8%
SMUSMU
11.8%
MiamiMiami FL
5.9%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaThis Week's Impact

Game
VirginiaCCG OddsAway
VirginiaCCG OddsHome
Louisiana TechLT@NC StateNCSU
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
MemphisMEM@Florida StFSU
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)
UConnCONN@DukeDUKE
0.3%
(+0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
MississippiMISS@Wake ForestWAKE
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
VMIVMI@Georgia TechGT
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
North Carolina CentralNCCU@North CarolinaUNC
0.2%
(-0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
San Diego StSDSU@CaliforniaCAL
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@MissouriMIZ
0.2%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
Virginia TechVT@Old DominionODU
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
MarylandMD@VirginiaUVA
0.2%
(-0.0%)		0.3%
(+0.1%)
Ball StBALL@Miami FLMIA
0.1%
(-0.1%)		0.2%
(+0.0%)
West VirginiaWVU@PittsburghPITT
0.3%
(+0.0%)		0.2%
(-0.0%)

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Virginia CCG Probability
Likelihood
LouisvilleNorth Carolina
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
<0.1%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
57.1%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNorth CarolinaNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandPittsburghVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMarylandNotre DamePittsburgh
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeMarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCoastal CarMarylandNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNotre DameSMU
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNotre DameSMUVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeClemsonCoastal CarNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Boston CollegeCoastal CarLouisvilleNotre Dame
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarMarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
100.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNotre DamePittsburghSMU
75.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonMarylandNotre DamePittsburgh
66.7%
<0.1%
Coastal CarLouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarLouisvilleNotre Dame
66.7%
<0.1%
ClemsonMarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleNorth CarolinaNotre Dame
50.0%
<0.1%
LouisvilleMarylandNotre DameVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarMarylandNorth Carolina
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarNotre DameVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
Coastal CarNorth CarolinaNotre DameVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
MarylandNotre DamePittsburghVirginia Tech
50.0%
<0.1%
ClemsonCoastal CarNotre DamePittsburgh
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonNorth CarolinaNotre DamePittsburgh
33.3%
<0.1%
ClemsonLouisvilleMarylandNotre Dame
28.6%
<0.1%

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com

VirginiaCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2024-09-08 • SportsSimulate.com