Baylor

BaylorBears

2-1 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

2.4%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BaylorSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsTarleton StateTAR
W45-3
29/07
@UtahUTAH
L12-23
39/14
vsAir ForceAF
W31-3
49/21
@ColoradoCOLO
Win prob:64%
59/28
vsBYUBYU
Win prob:63%
610/05
@Iowa StISU
Win prob:29%
810/19
@Texas TechTTU
Win prob:27%
910/26
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:45%
1011/02
vsTCUTCU
Win prob:47%
1211/16
@West VirginiaWVU
Win prob:37%
1311/23
@HoustonHOU
Win prob:48%
1411/30
vsKansasKU
Win prob:44%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0.1%
100.0%
8-1
0.7%
87.7%
7-2
3.7%
39.6%
6-3
11.3%
2.1%
5-4
21.9%
0%
4-5
26.8%
0%
3-6
21.7%
0%
2-7
10.6%
0%
1-8
2.9%
0%
0-9
0.4%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Baylor CCG Opponents

if Baylor makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
65.6%
UCFUCF
12.9%
ArizonaArizona
10.5%
UtahUtah
6.7%
Texas TechTexas Tech
4.3%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorThis Week's Impact

Game
BaylorCCG OddsAway
BaylorCCG OddsHome
BaylorBAY@ColoradoCOLO
3.3%
(+1.0%)		0.6%
(-1.8%)
TCUTCU@SMUSMU
2.3%
(-0.0%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@Iowa StISU
2.3%
(-0.1%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Texas TechTTU
2.4%
(+0.0%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)
Kansas StKSU@BYUBYU
2.3%
(-0.1%)		2.9%
(+0.5%)
HoustonHOU@CincinnatiCIN
2.3%
(-0.0%)		2.4%
(+0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Oklahoma StOKST
2.2%
(-0.1%)		2.5%
(+0.1%)
KansasKU@West VirginiaWVU
2.3%
(-0.1%)		2.4%
(+0.1%)

Best Winner Combination for Baylor

BaylorBaylorTCUTCUArkansas StArkansas StateArizona StArizona StateBYUBYUHoustonHoustonUtahUtahKansasKansas

CCG: 15.4% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for Baylor

BaylorBaylor

CCG: 3.3% • Scenario: 64.3%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Baylor CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
87.6%
0.7%
TCU
91.4%
<0.1%
Houston
91.1%
<0.1%
Kansas
90.5%
<0.1%
Texas Tech
90.0%
0.1%
Oklahoma St
89.1%
<0.1%
BYU
85.7%
<0.1%
Iowa St
85.5%
0.1%
West Virginia
85.3%
<0.1%
Colorado
77.8%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
39.6%
3.7%
HoustonKansas
55.0%
<0.1%
KansasTCU
52.8%
<0.1%
BYUKansas
51.4%
<0.1%
HoustonTexas Tech
50.9%
0.2%
BYUTexas Tech
49.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoHouston
48.8%
<0.1%
BYUHouston
46.7%
<0.1%
KansasTexas Tech
46.5%
0.2%
BYUTCU
45.7%
<0.1%
HoustonTCU
45.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoKansas
45.5%
<0.1%
ColoradoWest Virginia
43.6%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
43.1%
<0.1%
KansasWest Virginia
42.5%
0.1%
ColoradoTexas Tech
42.5%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma St
42.5%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas Tech
41.8%
0.2%
HoustonIowa St
40.6%
0.2%
ColoradoIowa St
40.6%
<0.1%
Texas TechWest Virginia
40.3%
0.2%
TCUTexas Tech
40.2%
0.2%
HoustonWest Virginia
40.2%
<0.1%
BYUIowa St
40.0%
<0.1%
BYUColorado
40.0%
<0.1%
Iowa StKansas
39.4%
0.1%
TCUWest Virginia
38.5%
0.1%
BYUOklahoma St
37.8%
<0.1%
Iowa StOklahoma St
36.9%
0.2%
ColoradoTCU
36.1%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StWest Virginia
34.2%
0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma St
33.3%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StTCU
33.3%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCU
30.3%
0.1%
Iowa StTexas Tech
29.8%
0.3%
BYUWest Virginia
28.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StWest Virginia
26.3%
0.2%
Any 3 losses
2.3%
10.2%
BYUHoustonOklahoma St
11.8%
<0.1%
BYUHoustonTexas Tech
8.9%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasOklahoma St
6.8%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoHouston
6.7%
<0.1%
KansasTexas TechWest Virginia
5.1%
0.3%
Iowa StKansasOklahoma St
5.1%
0.2%
BYUKansasOklahoma St
4.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonOklahoma St
4.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonWest Virginia
4.6%
<0.1%
BYUColoradoKansas
4.5%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasWest Virginia
4.3%
0.1%
BYUColoradoTexas Tech
4.2%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StKansas
4.1%
0.2%
ColoradoIowa StKansas
4.1%
<0.1%
BYUOklahoma StTexas Tech
4.0%
0.1%
ColoradoKansasTexas Tech
4.0%
0.1%
HoustonKansasTexas Tech
4.0%
0.2%
BYUColoradoOklahoma St
4.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StTexas Tech
3.9%
0.2%
HoustonIowa StOklahoma St
3.9%
0.2%
BYUHoustonKansas
3.9%
<0.1%
BYUIowa StKansas
3.7%
0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StWest Virginia
3.2%
0.1%
ColoradoHoustonKansas
3.0%
<0.1%
BYUKansasTexas Tech
2.9%
0.1%
Oklahoma StTexas TechWest Virginia
2.7%
0.3%
Iowa StOklahoma StTCU
2.7%
0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTexas Tech
2.6%
0.2%
ColoradoOklahoma StTCU
2.6%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUWest Virginia
2.6%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StTexas Tech
2.3%
0.4%
BYUIowa StWest Virginia
2.3%
0.1%
BYUIowa StTCU
2.3%
<0.1%
KansasTCUTexas Tech
2.1%
0.2%
BYUTexas TechWest Virginia
2.1%
0.1%
ColoradoHoustonTexas Tech
2.0%
0.1%
HoustonTexas TechWest Virginia
1.9%
0.3%
Iowa StKansasTexas Tech
1.8%
0.5%
KansasOklahoma StWest Virginia
1.8%
0.1%
BYUTCUWest Virginia
1.8%
<0.1%
HoustonIowa StWest Virginia
1.7%
0.2%
Oklahoma StTCUWest Virginia
1.7%
0.1%
BYUOklahoma StWest Virginia
1.7%
<0.1%
BYUKansasWest Virginia
1.7%
<0.1%
ColoradoOklahoma StWest Virginia
1.6%
<0.1%
Iowa StTCUWest Virginia
1.6%
0.3%
Iowa StOklahoma StTexas Tech
1.5%
0.5%
Iowa StOklahoma StWest Virginia
1.5%
0.3%
Oklahoma StTCUTexas Tech
1.5%
0.2%
Iowa StTCUTexas Tech
1.5%
0.4%
Iowa StKansasWest Virginia
1.5%
0.3%
BYUIowa StTexas Tech
1.5%
0.2%
HoustonOklahoma StTCU
1.4%
<0.1%
ColoradoHoustonIowa St
1.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoTCUTexas Tech
1.3%
<0.1%
ColoradoTexas TechWest Virginia
1.2%
0.2%
ColoradoIowa StOklahoma St
1.2%
<0.1%
HoustonTCUTexas Tech
1.2%
0.2%
ColoradoIowa StTCU
1.1%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StTCU
1.1%
<0.1%
BYUTCUTexas Tech
1.1%
<0.1%
Iowa StTexas TechWest Virginia
1.0%
0.6%
BYUIowa StOklahoma St
1.0%
0.1%
HoustonTCUWest Virginia
0.9%
0.1%
ColoradoIowa StWest Virginia
0.8%
0.1%
HoustonIowa StTCU
0.7%
0.1%
Iowa StKansasTCU
0.5%
0.2%
ColoradoIowa StTexas Tech
0.5%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BaylorCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com