BYU

BYUCougars

3-0 T2nd (0-0) in B12

Data from 2024-09-15 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

0.8%

Based on 100,000 simulations

BYUSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/31
vsSouthern IllinoisSIU
W41-13
29/06
@SMUSMU
W18-15
39/14
@WyomingWYO
W34-14
49/21
vsKansas StKSU
Win prob:14%
59/28
@BaylorBAY
Win prob:37%
710/12
vsArizonaARIZ
Win prob:31%
810/18
vsOklahoma StOKST
Win prob:40%
910/26
@UCFUCF
Win prob:22%
1111/09
@UtahUTAH
Win prob:23%
1211/16
vsKansasKU
Win prob:39%
1311/23
@Arizona StASU
Win prob:37%
1411/30
vsHoustonHOU
Win prob:59%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BYURecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
9-0
0%
100.0%
8-1
0.1%
100.0%
7-2
0.6%
68.0%
6-3
3.0%
10.1%
5-4
10.1%
0.1%
4-5
21.0%
0%
3-6
28.4%
0%
2-7
23.8%
0%
1-8
10.9%
0%
0-9
2.2%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely BYU CCG Opponents

if BYU makes the CCG

Kansas StateKansas St
63.6%
UCFUCF
12.1%
ArizonaArizona
10.6%
Texas TechTexas Tech
7.6%
UtahUtah
6.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUThis Week's Impact

Game
BYUCCG OddsAway
BYUCCG OddsHome
BaylorBAY@ColoradoCOLO
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.1%)
TCUTCU@SMUSMU
0.7%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Arkansas StARST@Iowa StISU
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
Arizona StASU@Texas TechTTU
1.0%
(+0.2%)		0.7%
(-0.1%)
Kansas StKSU@BYUBYU
0.4%
(-0.3%)		2.8%
(+2.1%)
HoustonHOU@CincinnatiCIN
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
UtahUTAH@Oklahoma StOKST
0.8%
(-0.0%)		0.8%
(+0.0%)
KansasKU@West VirginiaWVU
0.8%
(+0.0%)		0.7%
(-0.0%)

Best Winner Combination for BYU

BaylorBaylorSMUSMUArkansas StArkansas StateArizona StArizona StateBYUBYUCincinnatiCincinnatiUtahUtahKansasKansas

CCG: 10.5% • Scenario: 0.0%

Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for BYU

BYUBYU

CCG: 2.8% • Scenario: 14.1%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BYULoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
BYU CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 1 loss
100.0%
<0.1%
Any 2 losses
67.0%
0.6%
BaylorHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma St
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas
100.0%
<0.1%
HoustonUtah
100.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StHouston
100.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylor
92.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylor
90.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona St
90.0%
<0.1%
KansasUCF
88.2%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma St
85.7%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma St
85.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas St
80.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StUtah
78.6%
<0.1%
BaylorUtah
76.9%
<0.1%
Kansas StUtah
75.6%
<0.1%
UCFUtah
74.2%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUtah
73.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaUtah
73.7%
<0.1%
KansasKansas St
70.6%
<0.1%
BaylorUCF
68.8%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas St
68.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas St
67.7%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas
66.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCF
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas
66.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma St
63.6%
<0.1%
HoustonUCF
62.5%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma St
62.5%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma St
61.5%
<0.1%
KansasUtah
53.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCF
53.6%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas St
51.0%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas
50.0%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCF
49.2%
<0.1%
Any 3 losses
10.5%
2.9%
BaylorHoustonOklahoma St
50.0%
<0.1%
BaylorHoustonUCF
50.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorHouston
42.9%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StOklahoma St
35.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StHouston
27.3%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUCF
27.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasKansas St
26.8%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUtah
26.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansas St
23.8%
<0.1%
HoustonOklahoma StUtah
22.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonKansas
22.2%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasUtah
21.4%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUtah
21.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansas
20.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansas St
18.9%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUtah
18.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorKansas
18.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StHoustonUCF
17.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasUtah
17.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUCF
17.2%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasKansas St
17.1%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUCF
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorHouston
16.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorKansas St
15.6%
<0.1%
KansasOklahoma StUCF
15.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorUCF
14.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasKansas St
14.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StOklahoma St
13.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StBaylor
12.5%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasOklahoma St
12.5%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasUtah
12.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUCF
12.5%
<0.1%
BaylorOklahoma StUCF
12.1%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUCF
12.1%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasUCF
12.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansasOklahoma St
11.8%
<0.1%
BaylorUCFUtah
11.8%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StUtah
11.5%
0.1%
HoustonKansas StUtah
11.1%
<0.1%
BaylorHoustonKansas St
11.1%
<0.1%
BaylorHoustonUtah
10.0%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUCF
10.0%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorUtah
9.7%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StOklahoma St
9.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StOklahoma St
9.3%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StUtah
9.2%
<0.1%
HoustonUCFUtah
9.1%
<0.1%
Kansas StUCFUtah
8.8%
0.2%
ArizonaKansas StOklahoma St
8.7%
<0.1%
Arizona StUCFUtah
8.6%
<0.1%
Arizona StKansas StUtah
8.3%
0.1%
ArizonaKansasUCF
8.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansas StUCF
8.1%
0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StUCF
7.7%
<0.1%
HoustonKansasKansas St
7.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaUCFUtah
7.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUtah
7.4%
0.1%
ArizonaHoustonKansas St
7.1%
<0.1%
Arizona StBaylorOklahoma St
6.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StOklahoma St
6.7%
<0.1%
KansasUCFUtah
6.5%
<0.1%
HoustonKansas StUCF
6.3%
<0.1%
Arizona StOklahoma StUtah
5.9%
<0.1%
ArizonaHoustonUCF
5.9%
<0.1%
KansasKansas StUCF
5.7%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansasOklahoma St
5.6%
<0.1%
Oklahoma StUCFUtah
5.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaOklahoma StUtah
5.4%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StKansas St
4.8%
<0.1%
ArizonaBaylorKansas
4.5%
<0.1%
Kansas StOklahoma StUtah
4.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StUtah
4.3%
<0.1%
ArizonaKansas StUCF
3.8%
0.1%
Arizona StKansasUCF
2.9%
<0.1%
Any 4 losses
0.9%
0.7%
Arizona StHoustonKansasKansas St
3.3%
<0.1%
BaylorKansasKansas StOklahoma St
1.5%
<0.1%
ArizonaArizona StKansas StOklahoma St
1.0%
0.1%
Arizona StKansasKansas StUtah
0.7%
0.1%
BaylorKansasKansas StUCF
0.7%
0.1%
Arizona StBaylorKansas StUCF
0.6%
0.2%

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com

BYUCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4

Data from 2024-09-15 • SportsSimulate.com