Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/29 | W70-0 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | L31-39 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | W37-27 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W24-14 | |
| 5 | 9/28 | L17-21 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:8% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:13% | |
| 9 | 10/26 | Win prob:58% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:14% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:4% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:86% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:11% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| 5-3 | 0.4% | 0% |
| 4-4 | 4.4% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 22.2% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 48.4% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 24.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Georgia
Ole Miss
UCF
Texas A&MArkansas
AlabamaCCG: 0.2% • Scenario: 0.9%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
GeorgiaArkansasAlabamaCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 7.2%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
Any 1 loss
20.0%
<0.1%100.0%
<0.1%
20.0%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29