SEC Championship Probabilities

CCG Odds by Conference Record

Probability of making the conference championship game given a final conference record

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	Overall
TexasTEX	99.4%	46.5%	1.3%	-	60.1%
AlabamaALA	100%	80.8%	11.7%	-	55.5%
TennesseeTENN	99.4%	61.2%	1.8%	-	36.1%
LSULSU	99.9%	53.9%	1.9%	-	20.3%
GeorgiaUGA	-	92.0%	5.8%	-	15.2%
MissouriMIZ	96.6%	32.6%	0.6%	-	6.3%
Texas A&MTA&M	100%	52.3%	1.1%	-	2.7%
Ole MissMISS	-	58.9%	1.9%	-	2.5%
OklahomaOU	-	97.3%	26.8%	<0.1%	1.0%
South CarolinaSC	-	80.3%	7.0%	-	0.4%
KentuckyUK	-	-	5.1%	-	<0.1%
ArkansasARK	-	-	16.7%	-	-
AuburnAUB	-	-	-	-	-
FloridaFLA	-	-	50.0%	0.7%	-
Mississippi StateMSST	-	-	-	-	-
VanderbiltVAN	-	-	-	-	-

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com

Team	8-0	7-1	6-2	5-3	4-4	3-5	2-6	1-7	0-8	Avg Wins
TexasTEX(1-0)	40.5%	42.2%	14.7%	2.4%	0.2%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	7.2
AlabamaALA(1-0)	19.7%	40.0%	29.1%	9.5%	1.6%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	6.7
TennesseeTENN(1-0)	11.3%	39.5%	38.1%	10.0%	1.1%	<0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-	6.5
LSULSU(1-0)	6.1%	25.1%	35.8%	23.8%	7.8%	1.3%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	5.9
GeorgiaUGA(1-1)	-	13.9%	41.2%	34.1%	10.0%	0.8%	<0.1%	0.0%	-	5.6
MissouriMIZ(1-0)	1.5%	14.1%	32.5%	32.3%	15.6%	3.6%	0.4%	<0.1%	-	5.4
Texas A&MTA&M(2-0)	0.3%	4.2%	17.7%	34.1%	30.4%	11.8%	1.5%	-	-	4.7
Ole MissMISS(0-1)	-	3.7%	19.0%	34.8%	28.5%	11.7%	2.2%	0.2%	<0.1%	4.7
South CarolinaSC(1-1)	-	0.2%	3.1%	16.0%	34.2%	32.6%	12.7%	1.3%	-	3.6
KentuckyUK(1-2)	-	-	0.4%	8.3%	44.7%	37.0%	9.1%	0.5%	-	3.5
OklahomaOU(1-1)	-	0.3%	2.8%	13.0%	29.2%	33.7%	17.9%	3.2%	-	3.4
ArkansasARK(1-1)	-	0.0%	<0.1%	0.4%	4.4%	22.2%	48.4%	24.5%	-	2.1
FloridaFLA(1-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	2.1%	14.0%	42.2%	41.5%	-	1.8
AuburnAUB(0-2)	-	-	0.0%	0.1%	2.2%	14.9%	39.6%	37.5%	5.7%	1.7
Mississippi StateMSST(0-2)	-	-	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	1.7%	14.4%	44.7%	39.1%	0.8
VanderbiltVAN(0-1)	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	<0.1%	0.6%	6.4%	32.1%	60.8%	0.5

Data from 2024-09-29 • SportsSimulate.com