Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game
0.0%
Based on 100,000 simulations
Schedule & Results
| Week | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8/31 | L17-41 | |
| 2 | 9/07 | W45-7 | |
| 3 | 9/14 | L20-33 | |
| 4 | 9/21 | W45-28 | |
| 6 | 10/05 | Win prob:56% | |
| 7 | 10/12 | Win prob:5% | |
| 8 | 10/19 | Win prob:34% | |
| 10 | 11/02 | Win prob:5% | |
| 11 | 11/09 | Win prob:3% | |
| 12 | 11/16 | Win prob:15% | |
| 13 | 11/23 | Win prob:16% | |
| 14 | 11/30 | Win prob:38% |
Data from 2024-09-29
Record Probabilities
| Conf Record | Probability | CCG if this record |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | 0% | 0% |
| 6-2 | 0% | 50.0% |
| 5-3 | 0.1% | 0.7% |
| 4-4 | 2.1% | 0% |
| 3-5 | 14.0% | 0% |
| 2-6 | 42.2% | 0% |
| 1-7 | 41.5% | 0% |
Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.
CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.
Data from 2024-09-29
This Week's Impact
| Game | CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway | CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) | |
| 0.0% (+0.0%) | 0.0% (+0.0%) |
Best Winner Combination for
Auburn
Ole MissFlorida
Missouri
Tennessee
AlabamaCCG: 0.1% • Scenario: 0.8%
Most Realistic Good Winner Combination for
Ole MissMissouriAlabamaCCG: 0.0% • Scenario: 36.5%
Data from 2024-09-29
Loss Combination Scenarios
CCG probability given specific future losses
Future Losses
CCG ProbabilityLikelihood
100.0%
<0.1%Any 2 losses
8.3%
<0.1%
100.0%
<0.1%
8.3%
<0.1%Data from 2024-09-29
CCG Probability Over Time
Data from 2024-09-29