SyracuseOrange

1-1 T2nd (0-0) in ACC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

1.3%

Based on 100,000 simulations

Schedule & Results

Week	Date	Opponent	Result
1	8/30	vsTennesseeTENN(N)	L26-45
2	9/06	vsUConnCONN	W27-20
3	9/12	vsColgateCOLG	Win prob:90%
4	9/20	@ClemsonCLEM	Win prob:17%
5	9/27	vsDukeDUKE	Win prob:51%
6	10/04	@SMUSMU	Win prob:15%
8	10/18	vsPittsburghPITT	Win prob:59%
9	10/25	@Georgia TechGT	Win prob:31%
10	10/31	vsNorth CarolinaUNC	Win prob:66%
11	11/08	@MiamiMIA	Win prob:14%
13	11/22	@Notre DameND	Win prob:1%
14	11/29	vsBoston CollegeBC	Win prob:53%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Record Probabilities

Conf Record	Probability	CCG if this record
8-0	0.0%	100.0%
7-1	0.2%	95.7%
6-2	2.2%	44.2%
5-3	9.8%	1.3%
4-4	23.5%	0%
3-5	31.2%	0%
2-6	23.0%	0%
1-7	8.7%	0%
0-8	1.4%	0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely CCG Opponents

if makes the CCG

34.3%

25.0%

18.5%

16.7%

5.6%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

This Week's Impact

Game	CCG OddsIf Away WinsAway	CCG OddsIf Home WinsHome
RichmondRICH@North CarolinaUNC	1.3% (-0.1%)	1.3% (+0.0%)
NC StateNCSU@Wake ForestWAKE	1.3% (-0.1%)	1.5% (+0.1%)
ColgateCOLG@SyracuseSYR	1.2% (-0.1%)	1.4% (+0.0%)
SMUSMU@Missouri StateMOST	1.3% (+0.0%)	1.2% (-0.1%)
South FloridaUSF@MiamiMIA	1.5% (+0.1%)	1.3% (-0.0%)
Boston CollegeBC@StanfordSTAN	1.4% (+0.0%)	1.3% (-0.0%)
Old DominionODU@Virginia TechVT	1.4% (+0.0%)	1.3% (-0.0%)
ClemsonCLEM@Georgia TechGT	1.3% (-0.1%)	1.4% (+0.1%)
DukeDUKE@TulaneTULN	1.4% (+0.0%)	1.3% (-0.0%)
MinnesotaMINN@CaliforniaCAL	1.4% (+0.0%)	1.3% (-0.0%)
PittsburghPITT@West VirginiaWVU	1.4% (+0.1%)	1.3% (-0.0%)
William & MaryW&M@VirginiaUVA	1.0% (-0.3%)	1.4% (+0.0%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Loss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses

CCG Probability

Likelihood

Any 1 loss

100.0%

<0.1%

Any 2 losses

91.1%

0.2%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

98.1%

<0.1%

94.1%

<0.1%

93.6%

<0.1%

93.4%

<0.1%

90.0%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

66.7%

<0.1%

60.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

28.6%

<0.1%

Any 3 losses

44.8%

1.9%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

100.0%

<0.1%

77.8%

<0.1%

75.0%

<0.1%

71.4%

<0.1%

70.6%

<0.1%

68.4%

<0.1%

65.4%

<0.1%

65.0%

<0.1%

64.3%

0.1%

63.0%

<0.1%

56.7%

<0.1%

55.3%

<0.1%

54.5%

<0.1%

52.5%

<0.1%

51.6%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

50.0%

<0.1%

48.4%

<0.1%

47.6%

<0.1%

47.4%

<0.1%

47.2%

0.2%

46.0%

<0.1%

44.4%

<0.1%

40.9%

<0.1%

35.9%

0.3%

35.1%

0.3%

31.3%

0.4%

16.7%

<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

CCG Probability Over Time

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com