Tennessee

TennesseeVolunteers

2-0 T2nd (0-0) in SEC

Data from 2025-09-07 · View latest

Probability to Make the Conference Championship Game

15.5%

Based on 100,000 simulations

TennesseeSchedule & Results

WeekDateOpponentResult
18/30
vsSyracuseSYR(N)
W45-26
29/06
vsEast Tennessee StateETSU
W72-17
39/13
vsGeorgiaUGA
Win prob:24%
49/20
vsUABUAB
Win prob:96%
59/27
@Mississippi StMSST
Win prob:86%
710/11
vsArkansasARK
Win prob:83%
810/18
@AlabamaALA
Win prob:48%
910/25
@KentuckyUK
Win prob:80%
1011/01
vsOklahomaOU
Win prob:76%
1211/15
vsNew Mexico StNMSU
Win prob:97%
1311/22
@FloridaFLA
Win prob:59%
1411/29
vsVanderbiltVAN
Win prob:89%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeRecord Probabilities

Conf RecordProbabilityCCG if this record
8-0
2.8%
99.7%
7-1
15.7%
63.2%
6-2
31.9%
8.6%
5-3
29.7%
0.0%
4-4
14.9%
0%
3-5
4.2%
0%
2-6
0.7%
0%
1-7
0.1%
0%
0-8
0%
0%

Conf Record: Probability of finishing with each conference record.

CCG if this record: If the team finishes with this conference record, their probability of making the championship game.

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

Most Likely Tennessee CCG Opponents

if Tennessee makes the CCG

GeorgiaGeorgia
57.4%
Ole MissMississippi
26.2%
TexasTexas
11.7%
LSULSU
2.5%
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
2.3%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeThis Week's Impact

Game
TennesseeCCG OddsAway
TennesseeCCG OddsHome
ArkansasARK@MississippiMISS
20.4%
(+5.0%)		15.0%
(-0.4%)
FloridaFLA@LSULSU
16.3%
(+0.9%)		15.0%
(-0.5%)
South AlabamaUSA@AuburnAUB
15.3%
(-0.2%)		15.6%
(+0.1%)
E MichiganEMU@KentuckyUK
15.7%
(+0.2%)		15.4%
(-0.0%)
VanderbiltVAN@South CarolinaSC
16.5%
(+1.0%)		15.3%
(-0.2%)
LouisianaUL@MissouriMIZ
15.6%
(+0.2%)		15.4%
(-0.0%)
UTEPUTEP@TexasTEX
15.2%
(-0.3%)		15.5%
(+0.0%)
Alcorn StateALCN@Mississippi StMSST
15.9%
(+0.4%)		15.4%
(-0.1%)
WisconsinWIS@AlabamaALA
15.4%
(-0.1%)		15.5%
(+0.0%)
OklahomaOU@TempleTEM
15.4%
(-0.1%)		15.8%
(+0.4%)
Texas A&MTA&M@Notre DameND
16.2%
(+0.7%)		15.4%
(-0.0%)
GeorgiaUGA@TennesseeTENN
7.4%
(-8.1%)		40.8%
(+25.3%)

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeLoss Combination Scenarios

CCG probability given specific future losses

Future Losses
Tennessee CCG Probability
Likelihood
Win out
99.7%
2.6%
Any 1 loss
63.5%
14.8%
UAB
100.0%
0.1%
New Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
Vanderbilt
88.0%
0.3%
Alabama
86.7%
2.6%
Oklahoma
86.3%
0.8%
Arkansas
84.2%
0.5%
Mississippi St
69.9%
0.4%
Florida
69.2%
1.7%
Kentucky
67.5%
0.6%
Georgia
48.6%
7.8%
Any 2 losses
10.6%
30.7%
ArkansasUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
UABVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNew Mexico St
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StVanderbilt
100.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaUAB
89.2%
0.1%
KentuckyUAB
86.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico St
80.5%
<0.1%
Mississippi StNew Mexico St
80.0%
<0.1%
New Mexico StOklahoma
76.9%
<0.1%
FloridaNew Mexico St
76.4%
<0.1%
FloridaUAB
73.8%
<0.1%
OklahomaUAB
72.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico St
70.6%
<0.1%
Mississippi StUAB
60.9%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico St
55.0%
0.2%
GeorgiaUAB
49.1%
0.3%
KentuckyVanderbilt
22.4%
<0.1%
OklahomaVanderbilt
21.7%
0.1%
FloridaVanderbilt
20.3%
0.2%
ArkansasMississippi St
20.0%
<0.1%
Mississippi StVanderbilt
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansas
18.3%
0.5%
ArkansasVanderbilt
17.6%
<0.1%
FloridaKentucky
17.5%
0.5%
KentuckyOklahoma
16.7%
0.2%
FloridaMississippi St
16.7%
0.3%
ArkansasKentucky
16.4%
0.1%
AlabamaKentucky
15.4%
0.7%
AlabamaVanderbilt
15.2%
0.4%
AlabamaMississippi St
15.0%
0.4%
ArkansasFlorida
14.5%
0.3%
Mississippi StOklahoma
14.2%
0.1%
KentuckyMississippi St
14.0%
0.1%
AlabamaOklahoma
12.8%
0.8%
AlabamaFlorida
12.8%
1.9%
FloridaOklahoma
10.6%
0.5%
ArkansasOklahoma
10.0%
0.2%
GeorgiaVanderbilt
9.9%
1.0%
GeorgiaKentucky
9.8%
2.0%
GeorgiaMississippi St
9.8%
1.2%
AlabamaGeorgia
7.1%
8.4%
FloridaGeorgia
4.8%
5.5%
ArkansasGeorgia
4.7%
1.6%
GeorgiaOklahoma
3.3%
2.3%
Any 3 losses
8.1%
2.5%
AlabamaNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
FloridaNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
KentuckyMississippi StUAB
66.7%
<0.1%
New Mexico StUABVanderbilt
50.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaUABVanderbilt
35.0%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
KentuckyUABVanderbilt
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyNew Mexico St
26.7%
<0.1%
FloridaUABVanderbilt
22.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasNew Mexico St
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasNew Mexico StOklahoma
20.0%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaNew Mexico St
20.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StUAB
20.0%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyUAB
19.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaOklahomaUAB
18.9%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaUAB
18.2%
<0.1%
FloridaKentuckyNew Mexico St
18.2%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StUAB
17.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaArkansasUAB
16.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StVanderbilt
15.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaNew Mexico St
15.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaMississippi StNew Mexico St
15.4%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StOklahoma
13.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasKentuckyUAB
12.5%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaUAB
12.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaNew Mexico StVanderbilt
11.1%
<0.1%
FloridaMississippi StNew Mexico St
11.1%
<0.1%
AlabamaKentuckyUAB
10.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaKentuckyNew Mexico St
10.2%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaUAB
9.7%
0.4%
GeorgiaKentuckyUAB
9.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StNew Mexico St
8.1%
<0.1%
KentuckyOklahomaUAB
7.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaUABVanderbilt
7.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaUAB
7.3%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaNew Mexico St
6.7%
<0.1%
GeorgiaMississippi StUAB
5.6%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNew Mexico St
5.5%
0.3%
GeorgiaNew Mexico StOklahoma
5.3%
<0.1%
GeorgiaOklahomaUAB
4.6%
0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaUAB
4.4%
0.3%
FloridaOklahomaUAB
4.3%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaNew Mexico St
3.3%
0.2%
AlabamaMississippi StVanderbilt
1.7%
<0.1%
ArkansasGeorgiaVanderbilt
1.0%
0.2%
Any 4 losses
15.5%
<0.1%
ArkansasFloridaNew Mexico StUAB
100.0%
<0.1%
AlabamaFloridaNew Mexico StUAB
33.3%
<0.1%
AlabamaGeorgiaNew Mexico StUAB
16.7%
<0.1%
FloridaGeorgiaNew Mexico StUAB
14.3%
<0.1%

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com

TennesseeCCG Probability Over Time

0%20%40%60%80%100%Week 1Week 2Week 3

Data from 2025-09-07 • SportsSimulate.com